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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slippy Bridgetb 2y 24 | A Ioannou — 13% R93 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 48 | 78 (3) | 65 (2) | 64 (2) | 60 (2) | 28 (2) | 27 (3) | 47 (4) | 65 (4) | 67 (1) | 45 (3) | 25 | 41 | 29 | 42 | 60 | 45 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Salacres Selectb 1y 23 | P H Harnden — 15% R354 W54 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 51 | 46 (5) | 33 (1) | 29 (2) | 19 (5) | 18 (5) | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 28 (2) | 30 (3) | - | 30 | 61 | - | - | 46 | 39 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Denanvald 1y 1 | K J Crocker — 18% R121 W22 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 49 | 68 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 25 | - | 30 | 68 | 54 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mums Jillb 2y 36 | D D Porter — 16% R472 W77 P252 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 59 | 67 (1) | 51 (2) | 62 (1) | 33 (2) | 23 (5) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 27 (4) | 24 (6) | 55 (1) | 20 | 43 | - | 63 | 54 | 38 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dairyland Jimmyd 1y 7 | R A Baker — 19% R70 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 65 | 51 (4) | 67 (1) | 45 (5) | 39 (5) | 54 (3) | 37 (6) | 62 (1) | - | - | - | 35 | 23 | 11 | 29 | 51 | 37 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Chelms Jacobd 4y 15 | P H Harnden — 15% R354 W54 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 24 | 44 (5) | 60 (3) | 61 (3) | 51 (3) | 72 (1) | 42 (6) | 54 (2) | 63 (2) | 76 (1) | 64 (3) | 32 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 57 | 50 | 4 | 9/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slippy Bridget | 29.89 | 30.03 | 30.19 | 49 | +0.30 | Best trap, in-form | |
| 2 | Salacres Select | 30.09 | 30.09 | 30.09 | 46 | 0.00 | Stepped down from OR grade | |
| 3 | Denanval | 29.86 | 29.86 | 29.86 | 58 | 0.00 | Fastest, but only 1 run of form | |
| 4 | Mums Jill | 30.03 | 30.46 | 30.03 | 41 | 0.00 | Below-average trap here | |
| 5 | Dairyland Jimmy | 29.94 | 30.27 | 29.97 | 47 | +0.03 | Weakest trap here | |
| 6 | Chelms Jacob | 29.56 | 29.95 | 30.11 | 57 | +0.55 | Best C&D record, weak trap |
The last race on the Towcester card is also the best-rated field, back over the 500m trip where trap 1 has been the standout box at A5 grade (27.2% from 261 runs) and trap 5 the weakest (13.86%). Slippy Bridget holds that plum draw and arrives with the strongest, most established recent form in the race, having placed in her last few starts. Denanval boasts eye-catching figures on debut in this company after a taking win last time out, but that's a single run of visible form and needs treating with real caution rather than face value. Chelms Jacob, the most proven course-and-distance performer here, rounds out the leading contenders from a tougher draw.
Drawn in trap 1, comfortably the best-performing box at this grade and trip, and arrives with the strongest established recent form in the race - placed in each of her last three starts with a career-best effort last time out. A very consistent finisher who does her best work from off the pace. Still hunting a course-and-distance win despite three straight places here, but the combination of the plum draw and genuinely solid recent level makes her the one to beat.
Won impressively last time out at the grade below and is the fastest recorded time in this field on that single run, stepping up to face tougher opposition tonight. The catch is there's only that one race to go on - a single big performance is exciting but not the same as established form, and it's worth treating the eye-catching figures with some caution until she proves it again. If the promise is real, she has the pace to win. If it was a flattering run, she could just as easily struggle.
Steps down after racing in open-class company, where a fifth-place finish still came against much stiffer opposition than tonight. A fair trap for this grade, but the average speed figures don't suggest she's fast enough to trouble the front two.
Won last time out at the grade below and has a strong course-and-distance record with three wins and four places from five runs, showing real affinity for this track and trip. The raw speed figures are the weakest of the leading contenders, though, which is the main concern stepping up in company.
Won last time out at the grade below and fast into stride, though he tends to fade through the finish and this is the weakest trap at this grade. A fair course-and-distance record but the draw is working against him.
Owns the best course-and-distance record in the race with two wins and four places from ten runs, and a career-best effort three runs back shows genuine quality. Second-fastest in the field too, and a strong, consistent finishing kick suits this longer trip. The trap here is the one drawback, sitting among the weaker boxes at this grade.
Key insight: Trap 1 is clearly the box to be in at A5 grade over this trip, winning 27.2% from 261 runs, well clear of trap 5's 13.86% - a genuine structural edge for whoever lands that draw.
T1:27.2% T2:21.5% T3:18.33% T4:17.65% T5:13.86% T6:14.41%
1,667 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Slippy Bridget | 47 | 65 | Closer |
2Salacres Select | 51 | 39 | All-Rounder |
3Denanval | 50 | 61 | Closer |
4Mums Jill | 50 | 35 | All-Rounder |
5Dairyland Jimmy | 57 | 12 | Fader |
6Chelms Jacob | 28 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 450m | 500m | 525m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slippy Bridget | 0.613 | 0.626 | 0.601 | 0.558 | 0.629 |
| 2 | Salacres Select | 0.610 | — | 0.602 | — | — |
| 3 | Denanval | — | — | 0.597 | — | — |
| 4 | Mums Jill | 0.612 | — | 0.609 | — | — |
| 5 | Dairyland Jimmy | — | — | 0.605 | — | — |
| 6 | Chelms Jacob | — | — | 0.599 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.