| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hitthelids Marcod 3y 8 | N J Deas — 16% R387 W62 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 20 (5) | 22 (6) | 29 (6) | 56 (3) | 61 (2) | 51 (3) | 33 (2) | 29 (4) | 60 (5) | 41 (1) | 25 | 25 | - | 25 | 27 | 25 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Islab 4y 44 | N J Deas — 16% R387 W62 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 46 (4) | 50 (3) | 55 (3) | 56 (3) | 52 (2) | 53 (4) | 63 (1) | 46 (3) | 46 (4) | 24 (3) | 28 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Burrow Shellyb 4y 15 | A Welch — 13% R303 W40 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 25 (3) | 20 (5) | 16 (6) | 31 (1) | 21 (4) | 17 (6) | 22 (4) | 15 (6) | 18 (4) | 28 (3) | 21 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Annb 3y 5 | P H Harnden — 15% R354 W54 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 20 (6) | 32 (1) | 27 (2) | 20 (5) | 25 (3) | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 20 (4) | 19 (6) | 26 (3) | 22 | 30 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Eire Katieb 2y 6 | V A Lea — 14% R148 W21 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (4) | 26 (2) | 20 (6) | 32 (1) | 19 (6) | 31 (1) | 19 (5) | 27 (3) | 24 (4) | 18 (6) | 32 | 34 | 37 | 32 | 24 | 27 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Chadwell Pestb 4y 25 | N J Deas — 16% R387 W62 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 22 (4) | 22 (5) | 31 (1) | 21 (5) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 16 (5) | 31 (1) | 36 | 34 | 38 | 32 | 25 | 26 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hitthelids Marco | 16.06 | 16.39 | 16.73 | 58 | +0.67 | Fastest in field | |
| 2 | Swift Isla | 16.55 | 16.55 | 16.55 | 50 | 0.00 | Steps down in trip | |
| 3 | Burrow Shelly | 16.52 | 16.79 | 16.63 | 44 | +0.11 | Modest speed | |
| 4 | Salacres Ann | 16.35 | 16.69 | 16.80 | 47 | +0.45 | Best trap here | |
| 5 | Eire Katie | 16.38 | 16.64 | 16.65 | 49 | +0.27 | Top rated on model | |
| 6 | Chadwell Pest | 16.35 | 16.60 | 16.55 | 52 | +0.20 | Best C&D record, worst trap |
This D4 sprint is another race where speed leads the way at Towcester's 270m trip - the fastest dog in the field wins nearly 27% of the time against 22.9% for the top-rated dog on the overall model. Trap 4 has been the best box at this grade (22.97%) with trap 6 the weakest (15.7%). Hitthelids Marco carries a clear edge on raw pace over the rest of this modest field, though his trap is a touch below average. Eire Katie, the top-rated dog on the model and drawn in a fair box, looks his biggest threat, with Chadwell Pest's strong personal course-and-distance record also worth noting despite starting from the weakest trap on the card.
Clearly the fastest dog in this field on the clock, a meaningful edge over the rest at this grade. A versatile racer who holds his pace evenly through the race rather than leading or fading dramatically. The trap here is a touch below average, but the raw speed advantage is the deciding factor in a race that lacks a standout on other measures.
Tops the overall rating in this field and holds a decent course-and-distance record with two wins and three places from ten runs. Drawn in a fair box for this grade too. A touch short of the pick on raw speed but the best-balanced package behind him.
Steps down sharply from the 500m trip and hasn't raced since May, so there's a real question over whether the shorter distance and long break suit. Modest recent form gives little to work with.
Placed third last time out and has plenty of course-and-distance experience, though the speed figures are the weakest of the leading contenders. Consistent enough to be in the frame but short of the pace needed to win.
Drawn in the best-performing box at this grade, a genuine plus, but was well beaten last time out at the grade above and the raw speed figures are only moderate. The trap gives her some each-way interest.
Owns the strongest course-and-distance record in the field with three wins and four places from ten runs, showing he clearly goes well at this track and trip regardless of what the general trap data suggests. Fair recent form too. Worth another look given how well he's done here before.
Key insight: Speed is the clearer signal at this grade - the fastest dog in the field wins 26.8% of the time versus 22.9% for the top-rated dog - while trap 4 is the best box and trap 6 the weakest.
T1:17.87% T2:19.74% T3:21.89% T4:22.97% T5:22.02% T6:15.7%
2,392 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hitthelids Marco | 0.607 | 0.607 |
| 2 | Swift Isla | 0.613 | 0.604 |
| 3 | Burrow Shelly | 0.622 | — |
| 4 | Salacres Ann | 0.618 | — |
| 5 | Eire Katie | 0.616 | — |
| 6 | Chadwell Pest | 0.615 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.