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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Stellas Charmb 2y 25 | J J Gornall — 13% R68 W9 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 35 | 46 (6) | 51 (6) | 59 (2) | 64 (3) | 66 (3) | 61 (2) | 73 (5) | 70 (4) | 100 (1) | 43 (6) | 20 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 60 | 38 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Flickering Belleb 2y 7 | P V Swadden — 23% R88 W20 P47 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 49 | 74 (1) | 69 (5) | 57 (1) | 49 (2) | 45 (4) | 44 (4) | 43 (5) | 49 (4) | 62 (5) | - | 25 | 22 | 5 | 36 | 58 | 50 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Laughil Emmab 3y 25 | J J Gornall — 13% R68 W9 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 64 | 53 (4) | 49 (4) | 63 (4) | 45 (3) | 40 (4) | 62 (1) | 36 (6) | 48 (3) | 35 (5) | 23 (1) | 26 | 11 | 9 | - | 49 | 37 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Limerick Boyd 2y 25 | R A Baker — 19% R70 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 46 | 62 (2) | 52 (3) | 46 (5) | 38 (6) | 44 (4) | 33 (5) | 52 (3) | 70 (2) | 83 (1) | 81 (1) | 2 | - | - | - | 52 | 28 | 5 | 2/1F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Vinegarhill Blued 3y 25 | A Ioannou — 13% R93 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 47 | 42 (6) | 41 (6) | 49 (4) | 75 (1) | 56 (3) | 42 (4) | 71 (2) | 49 (5) | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 27 | 28 | 27 | 23 | 52 | 36 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ So Its Flashb 2y 19 | K J Crocker — 18% R121 W22 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 44 | 63 (3) | 57 (4) | 49 (4) | 40 (6) | 75 (1) | 54 (2) | 43 (3) | 66 (2) | 69 (1) | 49 (2) | 27 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 56 | 44 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellas Charm | 29.66 | 30.53 | 29.98 | 41 | +0.32 | Dropping from open class | |
| 2 | Flickering Belle | 29.60 | 30.05 | 29.60 | 57 | 0.00 | Fastest, top rated, career-best LTO | |
| 3 | Laughil Emma | 29.63 | 29.93 | 29.98 | 53 | +0.35 | Weakest trap here | |
| 4 | Limerick Boy | 30.04 | 30.10 | 30.04 | 42 | 0.00 | Best trap, modest speed | |
| 5 | Vinegarhill Blue | 29.60 | 30.07 | 30.36 | 45 | +0.76 | Well below best last time | |
| 6 | So Its Flash | 29.45 | 30.11 | 29.81 | 54 | +0.36 | Consistent, second-best rated |
This A4 grade over Towcester's 500m sits at the upper end of the card, where the overall ratings tend to hold up well - trap 4 has been the best box recently (23.05% from 269 runs) with trap 3 the weakest (16.05%). Both the fastest dog in the field and the top-rated dog have been reliable guides at this level, and here they point squarely at the same runner. Flickering Belle steps up after producing a career-best effort last time out and leads the field on both speed and the overall rating with real daylight to the rest. Stellas Charm, dropping in from open-class company, and So Its Flash, a model of consistency, look the two most likely to trouble her if she doesn't fire on all cylinders.
Steps up in grade after a career-best performance last time out, and leads this field on both the fastest recorded time and the overall rating - a strong combination at this level. Boasts the best course-and-distance record in the race too, with two wins and four places from ten runs. A dog clearly on the upgrade who looks ready to take this step in her stride.
Drops down after racing in open company, where a sixth-place finish still came against much stiffer opposition than she meets tonight. The high average performance figure needs some context, though, as it's built largely from those tougher races rather than form at this level. Drawn in the best-performing box at this grade, which is a genuine plus, and finishes her races out strongly from off the pace.
Fast into stride and holds the best first-bend rating in this field, but tends to weaken through the finish and this is the weakest trap at this grade. Form has been solid without a standout effort recently. Others have stronger claims.
Drawn in the best-performing box at this grade but the raw speed figures are among the weakest in this field. Fast away before fading late, and recent form has been steady without threatening the leaders. The trap gives him some each-way interest but little more.
A versatile racer with a settled pace pattern, but last time out was well below her best time and she finished sixth. A decent course-and-distance record of one win and three places from ten runs, but the recent dip in form is a concern.
Second on both speed and the overall rating in this field, and has been running with real consistency, placing third last time out. A patient finisher who does her best work late. A fair each-way alternative if the pick doesn't deliver.
Key insight: The top-rated dog carries a genuine edge at this grade, winning 23.5% against 15.48% for the second-rated dog - an 8-point gap that's a real stacking signal - and the fastest dog in the field wins at almost exactly the same rate.
T1:21.03% T2:19.84% T3:16.05% T4:23.05% T5:17.8% T6:18.13%
1,486 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Stellas Charm | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Flickering Belle | 46 | 63 | Closer |
3Laughil Emma | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Limerick Boy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Vinegarhill Blue | 54 | 37 | All-Rounder |
6So Its Flash | 32 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 415m | 450m | 460m | 500m | 525m | 630m | 660m | 810m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellas Charm | — | — | — | 0.611 | — | 0.611 | 0.599 | — |
| 2 | Flickering Belle | — | — | — | 0.601 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Laughil Emma | 0.663 | — | 0.595 | 0.599 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Limerick Boy | — | 0.604 | 0.599 | 0.600 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Vinegarhill Blue | — | — | — | 0.601 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | So Its Flash | — | — | — | 0.602 | 0.568 | — | — | 0.586 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.