Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Johnie Ohd 3y 15 | A Welch — 13% R309 W40 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 27 (6) | 42 (1) | 30 (5) | 36 (3) | 41 (1) | 59 (4) | 56 (4) | 86 (1) | 58 (3) | 51 (5) | 27 | 34 | 7 | 32 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ya Riteb 1y | J M Liles — 16% R394 W65 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Youarethereasonb 5y 14 | P V Swadden — 23% R88 W20 P47 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 29 (5) | 42 (1) | 35 (3) | 41 (1) | 25 (5) | 26 (5) | 34 (2) | 21 (6) | 41 (1) | 30 (3) | 46 | 33 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 35 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Trapstyle Spudd 2y 6 | J M Liles — 16% R394 W65 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 36 (4) | 43 (1) | 42 (1) | 25 (6) | 33 (4) | 31 (5) | 37 (4) | 34 (4) | 37 (3) | 34 (5) | 33 | 28 | 28 | 41 | 36 | 36 | 4 | 5/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Spiridon Zelusd 4y 18 | H J Dimmock — 25% R198 W49 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 46 (1) | 39 (3) | 42 (5) | 59 (4) | 46 (6) | 54 (6) | 54 (5) | 60 (5) | 66 (3) | 64 (4) | 29 | 38 | - | - | 39 | 26 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ New Planb 2yN/R 24 | L J Pruhs — 21% R24 W5 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 78 (4) | 38 (3) | 51 (3) | 64 (1) | 63 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 52 | 12 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnie Oh | 16.00 | 16.23 | 16.47 | 47 | +0.47 | Best trap here | |
| 2 | Ya Rite | No competitive races on record - a complete unknown quantity. | — | No form on record | ||||
| 3 | Youarethereason | 15.98 | 16.38 | 16.40 | 46 | +0.42 | Strong C&D record | |
| 4 | Trapstyle Spud | 15.86 | 16.17 | 15.86 | 60 | 0.00 | Fastest, weakest trap | |
| 5 | Spiridon Zelus | 16.13 | 16.13 | 16.13 | 53 | 0.00 | Best trainer in field | |
| 6 | New Plan | 16.29 | 16.29 | 16.29 | 45 | 0.00 | Long layoff since OR run | |
Towcester's 270m sprint rewards speed and a sharp getaway above all else, and at this D1 grade trap 1 has been the standout box (25.41% from 181 runs) with trap 4 the clear outlier at the bottom (13.73%). Both the fastest dog in the field and the top-rated dog on the overall model have been reliable guides at this grade, each winning around a quarter of the time. Trapstyle Spud is by some distance the fastest recorded time in this field and also tops the overall ratings, having stepped up after a recent win - but he's drawn in the very trap that has struggled most at this grade, which is the one thing standing between him and a stronger vouch. Johnie Oh, from the best box in the race, and Youarethereason, with the strongest course-and-distance strike rate, both loom as the dogs to catch him if the draw tells. Ya Rite has no recorded competitive form and is a complete unknown.
Clearly the fastest dog in this field on the clock and also tops the overall ratings - both of the strongest predictors at this trip point to him. Won last time out at the grade below and steps up full of running. A strong course-and-distance record of three wins and three places from ten runs adds further weight. The one drawback is the draw - trap 4 has been comfortably the weakest box at this grade, and that's the reason this isn't a stronger vouch.
Drawn in the best-performing box at this grade and boasts a strong course-and-distance record with two wins and two places from five runs. A versatile racer who holds a settled pace pattern throughout, though last time out was a well-beaten sixth. The trap alone gives him a real chance of being involved.
No competitive racing form recorded at all, making this dog a genuine unknown quantity. Impossible to assess on the data available - could have ability, but there's simply nothing to go on.
Owns the strongest course-and-distance record in the field with three wins and four places from ten runs, showing she knows how to get the job done at this track and trip. Recent form has been modest, though, without a standout effort in her last six starts. The proven course form keeps her in this.
Fast into stride but fades through the finish, and placed third last time out. Trains under the best-performing trainer in this field, which adds a touch of encouragement, and sits in a reasonable box for this grade. Lacks the standout speed of the pick, though.
Holds the highest average performance figure in this field on paper, built around a big effort at the top grade in his last outing, but that run came over two months ago and there's no recent competitive action to confirm he's back to full sharpness. A watching brief rather than a confident play tonight.
Key insight: Trap 1 has been the standout box at this grade (25.41%), while trap 4 has been by far the weakest (13.73%) - a meaningful structural negative for anyone drawn there, even a fast, well-rated dog.
T1:25.41% T2:24.74% T3:20.11% T4:13.73% T5:22.49% T6:15.52%
998 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 450m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnie Oh | 0.601 | 0.610 | — |
| 2 | Ya Rite | — | — | — |
| 3 | Youarethereason | 0.607 | — | — |
| 4 | Trapstyle Spud | 0.599 | — | — |
| 5 | Spiridon Zelus | 0.594 | — | 0.596 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.