Towcester Wednesday 15th July 2026 Morning PGR Meeting
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Faraged 2y 14 | P H Harnden — 15% R361 W54 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 44 | 54 (3) | 63 (2) | 67 (1) | 37 (4) | 59 (1) | 33 (6) | 56 (2) | 63 (1) | 24 (2) | 23 (5) | 37 | 28 | 23 | 54 | 55 | 44 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Pagan And Chiefd 2y 5 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 47 | 39 (6) | 71 (1) | 49 (4) | 59 (3) | 33 (6) | 68 (1) | 57 (2) | 39 (4) | 63 (1) | 49 (2) | 31 | 38 | 17 | 38 | 52 | 44 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Westwind Rond 2y 23 | A Ioannou — 13% R93 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 38 | 46 (6) | 68 (2) | 47 (6) | 35 (5) | 25 (5) | 30 (4) | 89 (1) | 77 (2) | 77 (1) | 52 (2) | 49 | 14 | - | 14 | 59 | 42 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Prodigyd 3y 7 | P H Harnden — 15% R361 W54 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 54 | 67 (2) | 59 (2) | 67 (2) | 62 (2) | 60 (2) | 69 (2) | 52 (3) | 49 (5) | 56 (3) | 57 (3) | 39 | 33 | 39 | 37 | 60 | 55 | 4 | 11/10F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hitthelids Kaleyb 3y 16 | N J Deas — 16% R393 W62 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 68 | 38 (5) | 69 (1) | 68 (3) | 46 (3) | 62 (1) | 48 (4) | 59 (2) | 44 (4) | 53 (3) | 76 (3) | 27 | 25 | 17 | 42 | 59 | 46 | 2 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lucky Sevensd 4y 35 | R A Baker — 19% R70 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 55 | 30 (5) | 45 (5) | 59 (4) | 45 (6) | 58 (5) | 59 (5) | 70 (2) | 55 (4) | 51 (3) | 39 (5) | 23 | 13 | - | 5 | 53 | 38 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salacres Farage | 29.89 | 30.11 | 30.08 | 44 | +0.19 | Best trap, 2w/5 C&D | |
| 2 | Pagan And Chief | 29.83 | 30.19 | 30.22 | 41 | +0.39 | 3w/10 C&D (30%) | |
| 3 | Westwind Ron | 29.57 | 29.96 | 30.45 | 47 | +0.88 | Off leaders' pace LTO | |
| 4 | Salacres Prodigy | 29.38 | 29.81 | 29.78 | 63 | +0.40 | Model pick, 0w/10 C&D | |
| 5 | Hitthelids Kaley | 29.69 | 30.13 | 29.69 | 53 | 0.00 | Won last time out | |
| 6 | Lucky Sevens | 29.39 | 29.83 | 30.04 | 58 | +0.65 | Grade-dropper, poor recent |
Towcester's 500m trip looks galloping on paper but the first bend rewards the inside draws in this A5 grade - trap 1 is the standout box here at 27.2%, with trap 5 the weak spot at just 13.86% from over 1,600 runs at this distance and grade. The fastest dog in the field has historically been the surest guide at this level, winning just over a quarter of the time. Salacres Farage and Westwind Ron both look the sharpest away from the traps and should dictate matters early, with the finish shaped by whichever closer still has petrol left to reel them in. Salacres Prodigy, the fastest and best-rated dog in the race, has been running home strongly for weeks. Hitthelids Kaley arrives full of running after a recent win and owns the best first-bend rating in the field, though she's drawn in the weakest box. Pagan And Chief and Lucky Sevens make up the numbers without matching the leading pair on level of form.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock and top of the ratings here too, which is a rare case of the two biggest predictors agreeing on the same dog. Four straight second-place finishes at this trip lately shows a dog knocking on the door, with a strong and admirably consistent finishing kick doing the damage each time. Drawn in trap 4, which isn't the strongest box at this grade, and yet to actually get her head in front over course and distance in ten attempts - so there's a fair question about whether she can finally land the blow. On raw ability, though, she's the one to beat.
Drawn in trap 1, by far the best-performing box at this grade and distance, and boasts a strong record over the course and distance with two wins and two further places from five attempts. Ran on well for second last time out, beaten only half a length, and has the gate speed to be involved from the good draw. The one most likely to spoil the leading dog's night.
Extremely consistent when it comes to how she runs her races, but the results have swung wildly of late, from a strong second two runs back down to a well-beaten sixth last time out. Owns the best course-and-distance strike rate of anyone here, though, with three wins from ten attempts, so there is real ability there when things click. The inconsistency makes her tricky to fully trust tonight.
Dropping down from stronger grades recently and shows plenty of raw early pace, flashing to the front before fading through the closing stages. Struggled to last week's grade with a well-held sixth, and the outside-of-middle draw does him no favours at a track where the inside boxes have the clear edge this grade. Others have stronger claims.
Won last time out at the lower grade and arrives with the best first-bend rating in this field, a handy attribute for a dog who likes to do her best work from off the pace. Drawn in the weakest box at this grade, though, which will make life that bit harder from the off tonight.
Dropped down from stronger grades recently and hasn't found the frame in any of her last three starts, though there was a promising placed effort a couple of runs back. A finisher who needs a strong pace up front to be at her most dangerous, but with no course-and-distance win from six attempts, she looks held on the each-way claims of others.
Key insight: Trap 1 is clearly the box to be in at A5 grade over this trip, winning 27.2% from 261 runs, while trap 5 has managed just 13.86% - a rare case of a genuine inside bias at a track that plays fairer at other grades and distances.
T1:27.2% T2:21.5% T3:18.33% T4:17.65% T5:13.86% T6:14.41%
1,667 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salacres Farage | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Pagan And Chief | 46 | 44 | All-Rounder |
3Westwind Ron | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Salacres Prodigy | 50 | 56 | Closer |
5Hitthelids Kaley | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Lucky Sevens | 50 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 325m | 450m | 460m | 500m | 525m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salacres Farage | 0.614 | — | — | 0.597 | 0.602 | — | — |
| 2 | Pagan And Chief | — | — | — | — | 0.604 | — | — |
| 3 | Westwind Ron | 0.612 | 0.554 | — | 0.598 | 0.599 | 0.561 | — |
| 4 | Salacres Prodigy | — | — | — | — | 0.596 | — | — |
| 5 | Hitthelids Kaley | — | — | — | — | 0.603 | — | 0.633 |
| 6 | Lucky Sevens | — | — | 0.615 | — | 0.600 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.