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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yama Beautyb 2y 23 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 44 | 30 (3) | 24 (5) | 45 (1) | 19 (5) | 29 (4) | 22 (6) | 24 (5) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 22 (6) | 23 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 28 | 38 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Winterfield Snowb 1y 6 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 44 | 35 (3) | 20 (6) | 22 (5) | 26 (5) | 25 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 48 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Winterfield Dotb 2y 14 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 48 | 27 (4) | 29 (4) | 35 (4) | 35 (2) | 37 (3) | 41 (2) | 35 (2) | 21 (2) | 29 (4) | - | 17 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 33 | 47 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Final Episoded 2y 24 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 62 | 19 (5) | 20 (6) | 16 (6) | 20 (6) | 23 (5) | 26 (5) | 27 (5) | 31 (5) | 38 (2) | 48 (1) | 18 | 20 | 24 | 22 | 30 | 44 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Whisky N Coked 2yN/R 16 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 63 | 32 (1) | 69 (4) | 100 (1) | 41 (2) | 28 (5) | 31 (3) | 37 (2) | 30 (1) | 16 (6) | 38 (2) | 1 | 34 | 26 | 26 | 53 | 51 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Burnpark Amberb 3y 14 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 25 (5) | 29 (4) | 37 (2) | 33 (3) | 14 (6) | 22 (6) | 28 (4) | 28 (3) | 24 (3) | - | 20 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 29 | 42 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yama Beauty | 30.11 | 30.40 | 30.52 | 44 | +0.41 | Best trap in grade | |
| 2 | Winterfield Snow | 29.71 | 30.39 | 29.71 | 55 | 0.00 | Sharp time drop LTO | |
| 3 | Winterfield Dot | 29.95 | 30.30 | 30.10 | 53 | +0.15 | 0 wins from 9 | |
| 4 | Final Episode | 29.85 | 30.15 | 30.20 | 52 | +0.35 | Best pace + bend | |
| 5 | Whisky N Coke | Two most recent runs were at Valley over 260m - not comparable. Last Monmore 480m run was 2026-07-01. | — | LTO was 260m sprint | ||||
| 6 | Burnpark Amber | 30.05 | 30.45 | 30.30 | 47 | +0.25 | 0 wins from 9 | |
Monmore's 480m trip runs fair by the track's own standards but there's still a workable trap edge - trap 1 has won over a fifth of A10 races here this year, easily the best box, with the outside traps all bunched below 16%. The first bend isn't a huge factor at this trip so it's pace and placing that should decide it rather than the draw alone. Final Episode has the sharpest early speed and best bend figures in the field from trap 4 and looks the type to lead into the back straight, with Winterfield Snow the biggest danger after a big step forward in time last time out.
Has the sharpest early pace and the best bend rating of anyone in this line-up, the type that should be up with the pace from the get-go. One win and three places from seven runs at this course and distance is a solid record even though last time out she found only sixth. The draw in trap 4 isn't the strongest at Monmore but her pace profile suggests she can get across from there before it matters. Trainer Cotter's yard has a moderate strike rate but she's shown enough here before to be respected.
Been knocking on the door at this level for a while without winning, but dropped a big chunk of time last time out to record the fastest clocking of anyone in this field and was only run out of it late, finishing third. Trainer form is the best in the race at 24%. If that recent improvement is genuine rather than a one-off, she's the one most likely to spoil the favourite's day.
Drawn in the box that wins more than any other in this grade, but the form doesn't back up the draw - slowest in the field on recent times and only a single win from nine course and distance runs. Placed third last time out but has generally been outpaced early. The trap alone isn't enough to make her a serious player here.
A model of consistency without winning - four places from nine course and distance runs but no visits to the winner's enclosure. Finished fourth last time out and sits mid-table on the speed figures. The type to make the frame again but needs more to find a first win at this level.
The raw rating here is flattered by two recent runs over the minimum trip at Valley, including a big-priced win, which aren't comparable to this test. Strip those out and her genuine Monmore 480m form reads second, fifth, third and second from her last four visits - competitive without standing out. Won't be far away but the headline figures overstate her.
Finished fifth last time out and hasn't managed a win in nine attempts at this course and distance. Slowest trap in the field statistically and nothing in the recent form to suggest she reverses that trend today. Others have much stronger claims.
Key insight: Trap 1 is clearly the best box in A10 grade at Monmore over 480m (21.4% from 252 runs), with a steady decline in win rate the further out you go. The top-rated dog only wins around one in five here - this is a grade where the model needs help from pace and trap data.
T1:21.4% T2:18.3% T3:18.8% T4:16.3% T5:15.8% T6:15.7%
1,940 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Yama Beauty | 45 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Winterfield Snow | 34 | 93 | Closer |
3Winterfield Dot | 49 | 66 | Closer |
4Final Episode | 62 | 29 | Fader |
5Whisky N Coke | 56 | 25 | Fader |
6Burnpark Amber | 51 | 51 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yama Beauty | 0.632 | 0.635 |
| 2 | Winterfield Snow | — | 0.633 |
| 3 | Winterfield Dot | 0.616 | 0.628 |
| 4 | Final Episode | 0.622 | 0.628 |
| 6 | Burnpark Amber | 0.633 | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.