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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Madabout Racerd 3y 14 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (6) | 35 (3) | 37 (2) | 30 (5) | 34 (5) | 30 (3) | 26 (5) | 23 (2) | 35 (6) | - | 22 | 24 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 37 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hitthelids Lollyb 5y 32 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 39 (3) | 36 (3) | 33 (3) | 27 (5) | 71 (2) | 79 (2) | 76 (2) | 49 (1) | 80 (2) | 29 (5) | 25 | 25 | - | - | 48 | 12 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cup Of Sherryb 1y 15 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 25 (3) | 18 (5) | 17 (6) | 27 (2) | 19 (4) | 29 (1) | 26 (2) | 22 (4) | - | - | 29 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 40 | 2 | 6/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Whats Up Macd 3y 16 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 35 (2) | 29 (1) | 39 (3) | 35 (2) | 36 (4) | 32 (2) | 18 (6) | 31 (4) | 28 (5) | 46 (1) | 28 | 22 | 10 | 27 | 24 | 38 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Longacres Fireb 2y 7 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | - | 18 (5) | 15 (6) | 13 (6) | 44 (5) | 58 (1) | 37 (5) | 29 (6) | - | - | - | - | 12 | - | - | 16 | 28 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Chilledout Chickb 2yN/R 15 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 39 (2) | 21 (5) | 17 (6) | 22 (2) | 27 (2) | 16 (5) | 25 (2) | 27 (2) | 24 (4) | 18 (6) | 26 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 38 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madabout Racer | Only one prior run at this course and distance - mostly raced at 480m recently, dropping sharply in grade too. | — | Drops from A10 480m, best trap | ||||
| 2 | Hitthelids Lolly | Every recent run has been at 480m or 630m - no data at all for tonight's minimum trip. | — | No 264m form at all | ||||
| 3 | Cup Of Sherry | 16.15 | 16.35 | 16.25 | 52 | +0.10 | 1 win from 8 | |
| 4 | Whats Up Mac | 16.20 | 16.35 | 16.20 | 52 | 0.00 | Won LTO, worst trap in grade | |
| 5 | Longacres Fire | 16.60 | 16.85 | 16.75 | 37 | +0.15 | Slowest in field | |
| 6 | Chilledout Chick | Recent form has come over 480m - this is a drop in trip. | — | Steps down from 480m | ||||
Back to the minimum trip at Monmore, where trap 1 and early pace remain the dominant factors and the inside box has won a fifth of D4 races here. This field is complicated by two runners with no recent form at all over 264m - Hitthelids Lolly's big rating is built entirely on much longer trips and needs almost completely disregarding. Madabout Racer drops down in both class and distance and gets the best draw in the field, which looks the strongest starting point, with Whats Up Mac the type to be there at the finish after a recent win.
Drops down in both grade and distance tonight, stepping in from A10 company over 480m, and lands in the best trap in the field to boot. Rated the strongest of the group on genuine current form even accounting for the step down, with a third-place finish last time out at the higher level. Only one run at this exact course and distance so it's a leap of faith on the combination, but the drop in company plus the prime draw make her the most logical starting point.
Won last time out and shares the fastest recent times of anyone in this field. One win and one place from just two course and distance runs is a small but perfect sample. Trainer form is solid at 24%. The draw in trap 4 is the weakest box in this grade, which is the only thing standing between her and a stronger claim.
The raw rating here is the highest in the field but it's built entirely on runs at 480m and even 630m - she has no recent form at all over tonight's minimum trip. That makes her a genuine unknown rather than a form pick. Interesting on breeding and raw ability but this is a real leap into the dark over the shorter distance.
One win from eight runs at this course and distance and finished third last time out. Recorded the fastest single time of this group recently. A fair each-way price rather than a standout, but the raw speed shouldn't be ignored.
Comfortably the slowest dog in this field on recent times and finished fifth last time out. Sharp early pace is her one asset but it hasn't translated into results at this course and distance, where she's yet to place from three runs. Hard to make a case for her against this opposition.
Drops down from 480m company tonight, which is a switch that can suit dogs with sharp early pace - and hers is among the best in the field. No wins from nine runs at this course and distance despite four places, so she's shown she stays in touch without getting to the line first. Worth including for the frame.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the best box in D4 grade at the sprint trip (19.9% from 362 runs). Early pace and trap position are the two factors that decide this trip more than anything else.
T1:19.9% T2:19.5% T3:16.6% T4:15.4% T5:17.4% T6:17.2%
2,615 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madabout Racer | 0.620 | 0.625 | — |
| 2 | Hitthelids Lolly | — | 0.622 | 0.626 |
| 3 | Cup Of Sherry | 0.625 | — | — |
| 4 | Whats Up Mac | 0.619 | 0.625 | — |
| 5 | Longacres Fire | 0.632 | 0.616 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.