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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dapper Danicab 3y 14 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 46 (3) | 76 (1) | 59 (2) | 56 (2) | 49 (4) | 65 (2) | 66 (2) | 58 (3) | 47 (4) | 48 (4) | 44 | 39 | 17 | 36 | 58 | 48 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Aero Bertied 3y 7 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 53 | 57 (2) | 68 (1) | 50 (5) | 51 (5) | 48 (5) | 44 (5) | 51 (4) | 73 (5) | 50 (1) | - | 19 | 31 | 23 | 28 | 55 | 54 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Eternal Spiritb 3y 10 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 49 | 75 (1) | 70 (1) | 48 (3) | 61 (6) | 77 (3) | 99 (1) | 57 (3) | 76 (3) | 46 (5) | 81 (2) | 44 | 29 | 9 | 26 | 68 | 61 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Citadel Bobd 2y 14 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 48 | 39 (5) | 63 (2) | 58 (2) | 41 (1) | 34 (6) | 70 (1) | 37 (6) | 52 (4) | 64 (1) | 46 (5) | 29 | 32 | 14 | 27 | 51 | 44 | 5 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Thru The Roofd 3y 6 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 56 (3) | 47 (5) | 56 (4) | 46 (5) | 60 (4) | 50 (5) | 50 (6) | 81 (1) | 78 (1) | 31 (2) | 29 | 31 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dapper Danica | 29.55 | 29.85 | 29.70 | 48 | +0.15 | Best trap in grade | |
| 2 | Aero Bertie | 29.35 | 29.65 | 29.60 | 57 | +0.25 | Best C&D record | |
| 3 | Eternal Spirit | 29.20 | 29.55 | 29.15 | 61 | -0.05 | Fastest, won LTO | |
| 4 | Citadel Bob | 29.60 | 29.95 | 29.85 | 45 | +0.25 | Slowest in field | |
| 6 | Thru The Roof | 29.45 | 29.70 | 29.50 | 54 | +0.05 | Model pick |
Middle-grade racing at Monmore has been a genuinely tricky puzzle for the ratings this year, with the model's usual reliability dropping sharply at this level - so it takes a real standout to be confident, and this looks like one of those races. Trap 1 remains a fair edge over 480m, winning a little over a fifth of the time, but Eternal Spirit's advantage here is built on raw pace and current form rather than the draw. She's fastest, best-rated by some distance and fresh off a win, which is enough to overcome a track where the ratings alone don't always tell the story. Aero Bertie, the most consistent runner in the field, is the one best placed to pick up the pieces if she doesn't have it her own way.
Won last time out stepping up from the grade below and arrives here as both the fastest dog in the field and clear of the rest on current form by a wide margin. Trainer form is the best in the race at 28%. Course and distance experience is limited to three runs, though she has a win and a place from those, and her running style means she can be vulnerable if the pace is truly strong up front - but on pure speed and recent form she stands out in a race where the ratings generally need extra scrutiny at this grade.
The most consistent runner at this course and distance with two wins and three places from ten runs, and backs that up with the second-fastest recent times in the field. Trainer form is strong at 26%. Placed second last time out. A reliable, well-proven type who looks the biggest danger to the selection.
Drawn in the best box in the grade but the form doesn't back it up - slowest of the leading contenders on recent times and only one win from ten course and distance runs despite five places. Finished third last time out. The draw keeps her in the placing conversation but not much more.
Two wins and four places from nine course and distance runs is a decent record, and trainer form ties for the best in the field at 28%. The concern is current pace - she's the slowest of this six on recent times and finished fifth last time out. The record here keeps her in the frame conversation despite the underwhelming pace figures.
Two wins and two places from nine course and distance runs and competitive on the speed figures, sitting just behind the two fastest in the field. Finished third last time out. A fair each-way sort capable of picking up the frame if the front two don't have it all their own way.
Key insight: Monmore's model reliability drops sharply at middle grades like A5 compared with upper grades - the top-rated dog wins only around one in five here. Trap 1 remains the best box over 480m at 21.2%, but pace and current form carry more weight than the draw at this level.
T1:21.2% T2:17.5% T3:17.3% T4:17.6% T5:19.4% T6:20.7%
1,615 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dapper Danica | 56 | 24 | Fader |
2Aero Bertie | 54 | 39 | All-Rounder |
3Eternal Spirit | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Citadel Bob | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Thru The Roof | 50 | 55 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 630m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dapper Danica | — | 0.612 | — | — |
| 2 | Aero Bertie | — | 0.611 | — | — |
| 3 | Eternal Spirit | — | 0.606 | 0.616 | 0.614 |
| 4 | Citadel Bob | 0.597 | 0.611 | — | — |
| 6 | Thru The Roof | 0.598 | 0.608 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.