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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Knockroe Emmab 3y 8 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 53 (2) | 49 (3) | 50 (2) | 45 (5) | 32 (6) | 38 (5) | 48 (3) | 55 (4) | 47 (5) | 54 (4) | 43 | 35 | 37 | 21 | 47 | 49 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Aero Sizzlerb 4y 15 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 65 (1) | 46 (4) | 37 (5) | 58 (1) | 44 (4) | 31 (1) | 36 (6) | 43 (5) | 24 (3) | 32 (2) | 28 | 31 | 5 | 29 | 49 | 50 | 3 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Slippy Conord 2y 8 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 70 (1) | 47 (4) | 59 (1) | 38 (4) | 58 (2) | 57 (1) | 30 (6) | 34 (5) | 54 (2) | 56 (3) | 32 | 40 | 18 | 39 | 49 | 51 | 2 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Noduff Tropicanad 3y 6 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 51 (2) | 52 (3) | 49 (3) | 37 (6) | 42 (5) | 39 (5) | 65 (1) | 62 (2) | 59 (2) | 60 (2) | 33 | 33 | 27 | 33 | 50 | 51 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Winterfield Rosab 2y 6 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 44 | 58 (1) | 52 (1) | 37 (4) | 42 (2) | 49 (1) | 24 (3) | 21 (4) | 19 (6) | 33 (5) | 48 (1) | 28 | 33 | - | 56 | 47 | 45 | 5 | 18/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Winterfield Birdb 2y 6 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 48 | 50 (2) | 33 (6) | 53 (2) | 43 (4) | 27 (6) | 53 (3) | 54 (3) | 58 (3) | 50 (2) | 53 (3) | 33 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 41 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knockroe Emma | 29.25 | 29.55 | 29.30 | 51 | +0.05 | Best trap in grade | |
| 2 | Aero Sizzler | 29.20 | 29.50 | 29.10 | 52 | -0.10 | Won LTO, worst trap | |
| 3 | Slippy Conor | 29.15 | 29.45 | 29.35 | 52 | +0.20 | Best C&D place rate | |
| 4 | Noduff Tropicana | 29.10 | 29.40 | 29.20 | 53 | +0.10 | Fastest + top rated | |
| 5 | Winterfield Rosa | 29.40 | 29.75 | 29.35 | 45 | -0.05 | 4 wins from 7 at C&D | |
| 6 | Winterfield Bird | 29.50 | 29.85 | 29.90 | 41 | +0.40 | 0 wins from 10 |
The last of Monmore's A7 races and another where the ratings alone have been unreliable at this grade - trap 1 has been the standout box over 480m at nearly a quarter of winners, with trap 2 the one to avoid. The speed figures are tightly bunched across four of these six tonight, which makes it a race to lean on genuine course and distance form rather than small differences in the clock. Winterfield Rosa's record at this exact combination is the standout figure of the whole card - four wins from seven runs here - and she arrives fresh off a win moving up from the grade below. Noduff Tropicana edges the speed and current form figures and is the clearest danger if the specialist can't repeat her home form.
The standout figure in this whole race is her record at this exact course and distance - four wins from seven runs, comfortably the best return of any dog across today's card. She steps up here fresh off a win at the grade below, and while her pace figures on paper are the weakest of the leading contenders, dogs with this level of proven course and distance dominance regularly outperform what the raw speed numbers suggest. Trainer form is solid at 24%. At a track and grade where the ratings alone are known to be unreliable, this kind of specific, repeated success is exactly the sort of signal worth trusting.
Edges this field on both recent times and current form, if only marginally over the two dogs either side of her on the speed figures. One win and five places from ten course and distance runs shows she performs consistently here even without piling up wins. Placed second last time out. The draw in trap 4 is a modest one but the overall package of speed and consistency makes her the clearest danger to the specialist in trap 5.
Drawn in the best box in the grade but hasn't converted that into wins at this course and distance - two places from ten runs with no visits to the winner's enclosure. Placed second last time out. The draw keeps her interesting but the record needs a first win to justify more confidence.
Won last time out at the grade below and has the best trainer figures in this field at 28%. Two wins and two places from seven course and distance runs is a solid return. The concern is the draw - trap 2 has been the weakest box in this grade at Monmore. Fastest last-time-out clocking of this group but that came against easier company.
Two wins and five places from ten course and distance runs is a strong, consistent record, and he matches the fastest recent times in the field. Finished fourth last time out. A fair each-way price with a proven record at this exact combination.
No wins from ten course and distance runs and finished last of six runners last time out. Slowest in the field on recent times too. Hard to find a case for her against this opposition tonight.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the standout box in A7 grade at Monmore over 480m (24.4% from 345 runs), while trap 2 is the weakest (14.5%). The top-rated dog only wins around one in five here, one of the weaker middle-grade readings at this track.
T1:24.4% T2:14.5% T3:19.8% T4:15.2% T5:17.8% T6:18.7%
1,886 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Knockroe Emma | 57 | 24 | Fader |
2Aero Sizzler | 46 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Slippy Conor | 56 | 35 | Fader |
4Noduff Tropicana | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Winterfield Rosa | 40 | 56 | Closer |
6Winterfield Bird | 48 | 52 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knockroe Emma | — | 0.615 |
| 2 | Aero Sizzler | 0.607 | 0.615 |
| 3 | Slippy Conor | — | 0.613 |
| 4 | Noduff Tropicana | — | 0.611 |
| 5 | Winterfield Rosa | 0.615 | 0.618 |
| 6 | Winterfield Bird | — | 0.614 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.