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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Stormy Bonitob 2y 6 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 53 | 29 (5) | 37 (4) | 41 (3) | 40 (3) | 36 (3) | 47 (1) | 35 (4) | 20 (6) | 39 (2) | 40 (2) | 27 | 19 | - | 19 | 39 | 50 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Darley Diggerd 1y 5 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 28 | 38 (2) | 47 (1) | 20 (6) | 25 (5) | 47 (1) | 27 (6) | 29 (5) | 29 (4) | 28 (5) | - | - | 25 | 17 | 31 | 34 | 41 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Graceb 2y 15 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 47 (1) | 35 (4) | 24 (6) | 26 (2) | 19 (5) | 23 (4) | 29 (2) | 28 (2) | 18 (6) | 20 (5) | 27 | 19 | 26 | 29 | 37 | 43 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Gulf Breezeb 2y 16 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 49 | 47 (1) | 40 (3) | 31 (3) | 36 (4) | 34 (4) | 36 (4) | 34 (3) | 49 (1) | 37 (4) | 38 (2) | 21 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 52 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Longacres Creedb 4y 19 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 52 | 53 (1) | 38 (4) | 31 (6) | 31 (6) | 44 (3) | 44 (2) | 39 (5) | 33 (5) | 46 (2) | 47 (4) | 36 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 39 | 55 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Yama Kingd 1y 24 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 54 | 37 (2) | 23 (5) | 46 (1) | 30 (2) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 24 (3) | 19 (5) | 19 (4) | - | 16 | 34 | - | 30 | 46 | 39 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stormy Bonito | 29.75 | 30.00 | 29.90 | 54 | +0.15 | Best trap in grade | |
| 2 | Darley Digger | 30.10 | 30.40 | 29.95 | 43 | -0.15 | Slow away early | |
| 3 | Tommys Grace | 29.90 | 30.20 | 29.90 | 47 | 0.00 | Won LTO, stepped up | |
| 4 | Gulf Breeze | 29.65 | 29.95 | 29.70 | 58 | +0.05 | Won LTO | |
| 5 | Longacres Creed | 29.55 | 29.85 | 29.80 | 63 | +0.25 | Fastest, worst trap | |
| 6 | Yama King | Last run was a D3 sprint over 264m - jumping up in both trip and grade today. | — | Steps up from 264m | ||||
Trap 1 is a big factor in A9 grade over Monmore's 480m trip, winning close to a quarter of races here - well clear of every other box, with trap 5 the one to avoid at barely one in seven. Stormy Bonito gets the plum draw and matches the pace of the leading pack, which is a strong combination in a race that otherwise lacks a standout on the clock. Longacres Creed is comfortably the fastest dog in the field but has to overcome the worst trap in the race to prove it.
Drawn in by far the best box in this grade, which wins nearly a quarter of the time here, and backs the draw up with pace that puts her among the leading group on the clock. One win and three places from nine course and distance runs is a solid platform and she finished fourth last time out, not far away. The prime trap combined with competitive current form makes her the one to beat.
Won last time out and is the most consistent runner in the field on the pace-reliability figures, backing that up with the second-fastest recent times. Two wins and three places from ten course and distance runs is a strong record. The draw in trap 4 isn't ideal but the current form and reliability make her a serious threat to the selection.
Tends to miss the break and race from off the pace, which is a tough way to make ground at Monmore. Two wins from nine course and distance runs is a fair record but she's generally found compromised runs recently. Placed second last time out but the slow starts are a persistent issue.
Won last time out at the grade above, so she arrives with a touch of confidence even though today's drop is a sensible one rather than a boost. One win from three course and distance runs at this specific level. Sits mid-pack on the clock but the fresh win is a point in her favour.
Comfortably the fastest dog in this field on recent times, well clear of the rest. The problem is the draw - trap 5 has been by far the weakest box in this grade at Monmore, winning barely one in seven. Only one win from ten course and distance runs despite the pace. If she can overcome the draw the speed is there to trouble anyone, but it's a big ask from that box.
Rated the highest on recent form of anyone in this field, but that reading comes from a sprint over 264m rather than tonight's much longer trip, so it needs treating with real caution. Stepping up sharply in both distance and grade in one move is a lot to ask. One run at this course and distance, which she won, offers a crumb of encouragement, but the jump up is significant.
Key insight: Trap 1 is a major factor in A9 grade at Monmore over 480m, winning 24.5% from 253 runs - nearly double the worst box, trap 5, at 13.5%. This is one of the more trap-dependent grades at the track.
T1:24.5% T2:17.5% T3:19.2% T4:15.1% T5:13.5% T6:18.2%
1,669 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Stormy Bonito | 51 | 37 | All-Rounder |
2Darley Digger | 21 | 100 | Closer |
3Tommys Grace | 48 | 45 | All-Rounder |
4Gulf Breeze | 49 | 55 | Closer |
5Longacres Creed | 53 | 58 | Closer |
6Yama King | 56 | 21 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stormy Bonito | 0.619 | 0.623 |
| 2 | Darley Digger | — | 0.628 |
| 3 | Tommys Grace | 0.614 | 0.623 |
| 4 | Gulf Breeze | — | 0.620 |
| 5 | Longacres Creed | — | 0.616 |
| 6 | Yama King | 0.612 | 0.624 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.