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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Donishall Jetd 2y 2 | V A Lea — 14% R148 W21 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 32 | 51 (2) | 56 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33 | 40 | - | 40 | 53 | 51 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Baggios Hazeb 2y 46 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 50 | 33 (6) | 20 (6) | 29 (3) | 29 (4) | 21 (5) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 28 (3) | 32 (2) | 27 (5) | 26 | 27 | - | - | 28 | 22 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballycleary Sassb 2y 3 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 39 (4) | 57 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | 25 | - | 24 | 47 | 41 | 3 | 6/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Scooby Picassob 2y 7 | V A Lea — 14% R148 W21 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 37 (5) | 54 (1) | 53 (1) | 29 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 35 | - | 35 | 44 | 46 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Moob 4yN/R 24 | A Welch — 13% R309 W40 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 32 (6) | 42 (4) | 42 (6) | 49 (4) | 42 (5) | 39 (6) | 51 (4) | 39 (6) | 40 (5) | 52 (5) | 38 | - | - | - | 41 | 45 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Year Longd 1y 25 | N J Deas — 16% R393 W62 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 40 | 44 (3) | 41 (3) | 58 (1) | 16 (6) | 29 (1) | 49 (2) | 37 (4) | 40 (2) | 34 (4) | 14 (6) | 23 | 29 | - | 32 | 36 | 41 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donishall Jet | 27.78 | 27.84 | 27.78 | 59 | 0.00 | Model pick, limited form | |
| 2 | Baggios Haze | 28.18 | 28.18 | 28.18 | 40 | 0.00 | Weakest in field | |
| 3 | Ballycleary Sass | 27.68 | 27.94 | 28.20 | 52 | +0.52 | Best trap (30%) | |
| 4 | Scooby Picasso | 27.89 | 28.15 | 27.89 | 49 | 0.00 | Weakest trap (12.5%) | |
| 5 | Savana Moo | 27.96 | 27.96 | 27.96 | 51 | 0.00 | Consistent but modest | |
| 6 | Swift Year Long | 27.62 | 28.14 | 28.12 | 51 | +0.50 | Volatile form |
Towcester's 460m trip is a fairer test than the tighter 500m and 270m distances at this circuit, and in this modest B4 grade the data is genuinely thin - trap 3 has been the pick of the boxes recently at 30% from 40 runs, with trap 4 the weakest at 12.5%. No single rating has proven especially reliable at this level, so this looks a race to be decided more by who travels best on the night than by any big structural edge. Ballycleary Sass and Scooby Picasso both look the sharpest away and should lead into the first bend, with Donishall Jet and Savana Moo the two most likely to be doing their best work late. It's a moderate field with no runner boasting a settled body of form, so expect a workmanlike, not spectacular, contest.
Tops the ratings on both speed and overall form, having finished a close second last time out. Only two runs of visible form to go on so it's early days, but a finishing kick that's shown up well both times is a promising sign for a dog still learning the game. Trap 1 has been a fair, if unspectacular, box at this grade. The best package on paper, even if the sample is small.
Sits in trap 3, which has been the standout box at this grade and distance recently, winning close to a third of the time. Quick into stride and holds the second-best speed figure in the field, though the form is thin at just two runs and she tends to give ground back late. If the strong trap statistic holds up, she's the biggest threat to the pick.
Weakest form in the field, with six recent runs failing to break out of the 20s and 30s. Quick enough away from the traps but tends to fade through the finish. Hard to make much of a case for on current evidence.
Form has faded across the last four starts and sits in the weakest trap at this grade, which has managed just one in eight winners. Fast into stride but weakens through the closing stages. Little to recommend her over the pick or the trap 3 danger.
A finisher who does her best work from off the pace, but recent form has been consistently modest without ever threatening to trouble the judge. Drawn in a below-average box at this grade too, which adds to the task in front of her.
Form has been all over the place across her last six starts, swinging from a highly promising effort to well-beaten runs either side of it. Finishes her races well but the inconsistency and a below-average trap here make her hard to fancy with confidence.
Key insight: A small but notable sample shows trap 3 well clear of the rest at this grade and trip (30% from 40 runs), while the top-rated dog has actually underperformed here (11.76% from 51 runs) - treat the model's top pick with caution at this specific grade.
T1:17.5% T2:17.5% T3:30% T4:12.5% T5:12.82% T6:13.51%
236 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Donishall Jet | 40 | 100 | Closer |
2Baggios Haze | 57 | 0 | Fader |
3Ballycleary Sass | 63 | 0 | Fader |
4Scooby Picasso | 56 | 0 | Fader |
5Savana Moo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Swift Year Long | 44 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donishall Jet | — | 0.605 |
| 2 | Baggios Haze | 0.609 | 0.613 |
| 3 | Ballycleary Sass | — | 0.607 |
| 4 | Scooby Picasso | — | 0.612 |
| 6 | Swift Year Long | 0.628 | 0.610 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.