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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Trapstylebashfulb 2y 7 | J M Liles — 16% R394 W65 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 55 | 55 (2) | 51 (3) | 58 (1) | 43 (3) | 31 (5) | 62 (2) | 49 (4) | 51 (2) | 58 (3) | - | 36 | 25 | 19 | 23 | 51 | 44 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Parties Choiceb 4y 47 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 57 | 47 (2) | 41 (3) | 44 (3) | 51 (2) | 50 (3) | 44 (4) | 39 (4) | 54 (4) | 41 (4) | 56 (4) | 27 | 24 | 37 | 23 | 46 | 38 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Falls Of Dochartd 3y 14 | N J Deas — 16% R393 W62 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 43 (2) | 45 (4) | 53 (2) | 58 (2) | 62 (1) | 42 (3) | 39 (6) | 48 (3) | 18 (6) | 36 (6) | 24 | 24 | 36 | 34 | 48 | 43 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballyea Hoped 2y 47 | K J Crocker — 18% R121 W22 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 38 | 67 (2) | 44 (4) | 46 (3) | 47 (3) | 60 (1) | 37 (4) | 51 (2) | 56 (5) | 77 (2) | 56 (5) | 17 | 21 | 27 | 17 | 53 | 30 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Camp Charlied 3y 4 | A Welch — 13% R309 W40 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 39 (5) | 49 (3) | 36 (5) | 45 (5) | 44 (4) | 39 (6) | 54 (6) | 29 (6) | 34 (5) | 45 (6) | 12 | 16 | - | 11 | 44 | 33 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Salacres Sydneyd 5y 24 | P H Harnden — 15% R361 W54 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 41 | 39 (5) | 48 (2) | 23 (4) | 24 (4) | 27 (3) | 22 (4) | 30 (6) | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 28 (3) | 24 | 25 | 37 | 32 | 39 | 32 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trapstylebashful | 29.90 | 30.23 | 30.24 | 56 | +0.34 | Fastest, top rated, worst trap | |
| 2 | Parties Choice | 30.03 | 30.26 | 30.21 | 55 | +0.18 | Best trap, placed LTO | |
| 3 | Falls Of Dochart | 30.01 | 30.25 | 30.50 | 50 | +0.49 | Strong C&D placing record | |
| 4 | Ballyea Hope | 30.30 | 30.42 | 30.34 | 45 | +0.04 | Steps down from marathon trip | |
| 5 | Camp Charlie | 29.85 | 30.36 | 30.54 | 50 | +0.69 | Well below best last time | |
| 6 | Salacres Sydney | 30.37 | 30.57 | 30.77 | 35 | +0.40 | Weakest speed in field |
Towcester's 500m plays fairer than the tighter distances at this circuit but the first bend still carries some sway, and at A7 grade trap 2 has been the strongest box (21.81% from 188 runs) with trap 1 the weakest (15.71%). Both the top-rated dog and the fastest dog in the field have been solid guides at this level, each winning around a quarter of the time - and here they land on the same dog. Trapstylebashful leads the field on both counts after a string of competitive efforts, though the draw works against him. Parties Choice and Falls Of Dochart, both fresh from placed efforts last time out, look the most likely to pounce if the trap tells against the favourite.
Fastest in the field and top of the overall ratings, having been competitive in most of his recent starts including a third last time out. Fast into stride and tends to lead before weakening late, but there's enough in hand on the clock to still get the job done. The one drawback is the draw - trap 1 has been comfortably the weakest box at this grade, which is the reason to hold something back on confidence.
Placed second last time out and drawn in the best-performing box at this grade, a genuine structural plus. Fast into stride but tends to fade late, similar running style to the pick. If the trap tells, this is the one best placed to take advantage.
Placed second last time out and holds arguably the strongest course-and-distance record in the field, with a win and four places from seven runs here. A patient finisher who does his best work from off the pace, which could suit if the front-runners go too hard early.
Drops in trip after a placed effort over the marathon distance last time out, and the speed figures are the slowest of the leading group. A patient finisher who likes to come from off the pace, but there's a question over whether she has the raw pace for this shorter trip.
Fast away but fades through the finish, and last time out was well below her fastest recorded time. Drawn in a fair box for this grade, but the recent form has been unremarkable.
The slowest recorded time in this field by a distance, and last time out was well beaten in fifth. A versatile racer who holds a consistent pace pattern, but there just isn't enough raw pace here to trouble this field.
Key insight: Trap 2 has been the standout box at this grade (21.81%) while trap 1 has been the weakest (15.71%) - a genuine structural negative for the model's top pick here, who is drawn in the worst box on offer.
T1:15.71% T2:21.81% T3:18.91% T4:17.41% T5:21.14% T6:17.76%
1,127 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Trapstylebashful | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Parties Choice | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Falls Of Dochart | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballyea Hope | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Camp Charlie | 0 | 0 | Fader |
6Salacres Sydney | 100 | 100 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | 500m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trapstylebashful | — | 0.601 | 0.604 | — |
| 2 | Parties Choice | — | 0.603 | 0.605 | — |
| 3 | Falls Of Dochart | 0.621 | — | 0.605 | 0.651 |
| 4 | Ballyea Hope | — | — | 0.608 | 0.633 |
| 5 | Camp Charlie | — | 0.604 | 0.609 | 0.633 |
| 6 | Salacres Sydney | 0.610 | — | 0.611 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.