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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Boherash Janib 4y 17 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 60 | 58 (1) | 44 (2) | 37 (6) | 43 (5) | 67 (1) | 45 (4) | 30 (5) | 49 (5) | 68 (1) | 38 (5) | 39 | 36 | - | 41 | 48 | 48 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hitthelids Kellyb 3y 6 | N J Deas — 16% R393 W62 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 41 (4) | 37 (5) | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 42 (3) | 45 (3) | 45 (2) | 55 (2) | 46 (4) | 50 (5) | 38 | 28 | - | 30 | 47 | 45 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Topper Shead 3y 27 | N J Deas — 16% R393 W62 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 32 | 58 (1) | 32 (6) | 62 (1) | 46 (3) | 25 (4) | 61 (1) | 44 (3) | 51 (2) | 46 (3) | 46 (4) | 38 | 36 | - | 30 | 48 | 41 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Trapstyle Grumpyd 2y 5 | J M Liles — 16% R394 W65 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 56 | 42 (5) | 43 (4) | 40 (4) | 39 (4) | 39 (4) | 43 (2) | 58 (1) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 48 (3) | 51 | 35 | - | 13 | 42 | 46 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Coolmeen Chloeb 2y 8 | K J Crocker — 18% R121 W22 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 56 | 58 (1) | 38 (5) | 49 (2) | 56 (1) | 48 (2) | 35 (4) | 36 (3) | 45 (3) | 24 (4) | 42 (2) | 30 | 34 | - | 40 | 45 | 42 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rolo Conojod 3y 23 | P V Swadden — 23% R88 W20 P47 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 38 | 40 (5) | 55 (4) | 45 (6) | 74 (1) | 48 (5) | 51 (3) | 34 (6) | 70 (1) | 72 (1) | 44 (5) | 22 | - | - | - | 52 | 35 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boherash Jani | 27.47 | 27.63 | 27.47 | 50 | 0.00 | Won last time, best trap | |
| 2 | Hitthelids Kelly | 27.41 | 27.66 | 27.51 | 50 | +0.10 | Modest trap and form | |
| 3 | Topper Shea | 27.48 | 27.48 | 27.48 | 54 | 0.00 | Fastest, won last time | |
| 4 | Trapstyle Grumpy | 27.39 | 27.64 | 27.61 | 49 | +0.22 | Weakest trap here | |
| 5 | Coolmeen Chloe | 27.48 | 28.05 | 27.48 | 42 | 0.00 | Won last time | |
| 6 | Rolo Conojo | 27.59 | 27.59 | 27.59 | 48 | 0.00 | Class dropper, career-best last 4 |
Towcester's 460m trip is one of the fairer tests on this circuit, and in this B3 grade traps 1 and 3 have shared the honours recently, both winning close to a quarter of the time from just over 30 runs apiece, while trap 4 has struggled at 12.5%. Neither the model's overall rating nor raw speed has been a strong guide at this level, so this looks a race where fresh form and a good box matter more than the numbers alone. Boherash Jani and Topper Shea both arrive fresh off wins at the lower grade and occupy the two best boxes, so expect them to dominate the finish between them. Rolo Conojo drops in class from a tougher grade and has flashed a career-best effort recently, adding an interesting wildcard from a modest draw. The rest of this field looks solidly held on recent evidence.
Won at the lower grade last time out and steps up into this company fresh and in form. Drawn in trap 1, one of the two best boxes at this grade and distance, and owns the best first-bend rating in this field, so she should be handy from the get-go before finishing off her races strongly. A career-best effort five runs back shows there's more improvement in the locker too. The one to be on side with.
Also won last time out at the lower grade and carries the fastest recorded time in this field into the step up. Shares the best trap statistic in the race with the selection, and a career-best effort of 62 two runs back shows genuine ability when the pieces come together. Tends to do his best work from off the pace rather than up with the leaders early. The biggest threat to the pick.
Fast into stride but tends to lose ground late, and results have been up and down across the last six starts. Drawn in a below-average box at this grade. Has some course-and-distance experience with two places from seven runs, but nothing here to trouble the front two.
The model's top-rated dog here, but recent form has flatlined in the high 30s and low 40s without any sign of a peak performance, and this is also the weakest trap at this grade. Fast away but fades through the finish. Hard to trust as the pick when the rating alone hasn't been reliable at this level.
Won last time out at the lower grade but the win came on the back of largely modest form beforehand, and she's the slowest recorded time in this field. A fair trap at this grade but not enough on the clock to trouble the pace-setters.
Drops down in grade tonight and has produced a career-best effort in the last four starts that's well clear of anything the rest of this field has managed lately. Drawn in the weakest box at this grade, though, and has no real experience over this course and distance to fall back on, which makes him hard to fully back despite the eye-catching top-end form.
Key insight: Traps 1 and 3 have been clearly the best boxes at this grade and trip, both around 23.5% from over 30 runs each, while the top-rated dog on the model has actually underperformed here (12.5% from 64 runs) - trap position is a more reliable lean than the rating at this level.
T1:23.53% T2:14.71% T3:23.53% T4:12.5% T5:16.67% T6:13.33%
194 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Boherash Jani | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Hitthelids Kelly | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Topper Shea | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Trapstyle Grumpy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Coolmeen Chloe | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Rolo Conojo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | 476m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boherash Jani | — | 0.601 | — | 0.608 |
| 2 | Hitthelids Kelly | — | 0.601 | — | 0.605 |
| 3 | Topper Shea | 0.615 | 0.597 | — | 0.610 |
| 4 | Trapstyle Grumpy | 0.592 | 0.601 | — | — |
| 5 | Coolmeen Chloe | — | 0.610 | 0.633 | — |
| 6 | Rolo Conojo | — | 0.600 | 0.618 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.