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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Please Ailbhed 3y 25 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 0 | 22 (4) | 16 (5) | 23 (4) | 25 (2) | 31 (1) | 18 (4) | 30 (1) | 16 (5) | 25 (3) | 26 (2) | 38 | 34 | 37 | 34 | 25 | 29 | 4 | 5/4F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ryder Rippleb 2y 35 | A L Steels — 17% R54 W9 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 63 | 36 (6) | 49 (2) | 40 (2) | 48 (2) | 19 (5) | 30 (1) | 32 (5) | 31 (5) | 33 (3) | 26 (5) | 52 | 34 | 18 | 43 | 32 | 36 | 2 | 7/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Emers Jazzyb 3y 35 | M Haythorne — 19% R90 W17 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 50 | 16 (2) | 38 (4) | 41 (4) | 26 (3) | 25 (4) | 24 (3) | 29 (3) | 41 (4) | 50 (2) | 37 (3) | 34 | 24 | 17 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 3 | 7/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Boughtinmulcahysb 5y 13 | S A Birks — 16% R216 W35 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 21 (3) | 21 (4) | 24 (2) | 23 (5) | 22 (5) | 22 (5) | 31 (1) | 28 (1) | 22 (3) | 16 (4) | 30 | 31 | 28 | 32 | 23 | 26 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Railteen Sarahb 4y 33 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 21 (5) | 30 (1) | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 24 (2) | 23 (3) | 26 (6) | 17 (3) | 18 (5) | - | 47 | 40 | 61 | 43 | 27 | 33 | 1 | 13/8 | ||
Sits in the dominant trap — T6 at D4 275m wins 37.18% from 78 runs, the highest single-trap win rate in this condition set. That alone commands attention. She's dropping from D3 to D4 with class suitability of 61 — the highest in the field by a wide margin, confirming she's been competing at a higher level. Two D3 wins (17.72 and 17.98) prove she can win, and her recent 2nd at D4 (17.58) on Mar 18 shows the class drop immediately produced a competitive time. Speed 52 is 2nd best in the field. The concern is inconsistency — her D3 form bounces between 2nds (17.58, 18.11, 17.85) and 5ths (18.50, 17.90). Performance trajectory 28→22→28→30→30→18→21→34→24→35 shows similar variance. Trainer C A Williams at 24.24% in conditions is solid. Suitability is good: track 40, distance 43, trap 47 all field-leading. The dominant trap bias is the primary factor here — when a trap wins 37.18% of the time, the dog in that box starts with a massive structural advantage regardless of form.
DANGER: Won last at D4 275m, profitable 2nd-best trap (28.70%), strong trainer (44.44%), Fader who can hold at sprint. Recent switch from 450m may not be consistent but the structural factors are strong.
Two D4 275m wins despite Closer profile prove she can defy pace conventions at this level. But alternating 17.53 wins with 18.38 disasters makes her unbackable. Needs everything to go wrong ahead of her.
Best speed (53) and ideal All-Rounder profile for sprints, but weak trainer (8.33%), low suitability, and hasn't won at D4 275m. Third-choice behind the trap-favoured runners.
Lowest perf (23), lowest speed (47), below-average trap, and slow winning times (18.04, 17.95). Outclassed in a field with two D3 droppers and a recent winner.
T6 dominates at 37.18% from 78 runs — the highest trap win rate. T3 is 2nd best at 28.70% from 108 runs with +14.63 P&L. Speed R1 at 28.98%. A L Steels 44.44% from 9 condition runs is the standout trainer.
T1:16.79% T2:16.00% T3:28.70% T4:25.00% T5:19.63% T6:37.18%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.