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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Calgray Riskd 3y 4 | S A Birks — 16% R221 W36 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | - | 26 (5) | 36 (2) | 35 (2) | 32 (2) | 30 (3) | 33 (2) | 35 (2) | 31 (4) | 29 (4) | 37 (1) | 49 | 36 | 14 | 44 | 30 | 35 | 2 | 14/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Drive On Trouperd 3y 14 | C A Williams — 15% R369 W54 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 33 (5) | 35 (4) | 59 (1) | 59 (1) | 35 (5) | 38 (4) | 63 (3) | 22 (4) | 26 (4) | 32 (2) | 32 | 37 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 35 | 5 | 4/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Dannys Flyerd 3y 14 | D Calvert — 17% R549 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | - | 26 (4) | 33 (5) | 41 (1) | 34 (2) | 35 (2) | 29 (5) | 16 (5) | 36 (2) | 34 (4) | 31 (4) | 63 | 60 | 24 | 59 | 31 | 41 | 1 | 8/13F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Gizmo Pumad 3y 36 | C A Williams — 15% R369 W54 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 0 | 58 (4) | 71 (2) | 29 (3) | 34 (4) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 32 (2) | 59 (5) | 66 (2) | 83 (1) | 46 | 55 | 23 | 37 | 48 | 47 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Kates Bojangleb 5y 14 | D Calvert — 17% R549 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 100 | 24 (5) | 33 (3) | 32 (4) | 29 (4) | 41 (1) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 41 (1) | 29 (5) | 32 (2) | 40 | 32 | 27 | 62 | 33 | 37 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
Best speed in the field (55) where Speed R1 wins 26.55% from 629 runs — the strongest condition predictor at D2 275m. Best suitability across track (60), distance (59), and trap (63) — all comfortably field-leading, confirming deep Doncaster 275m experience. His D2 CV includes a 17.13 win and 17.18 2nd — the fastest times any runner in this field has ever posted at D2 level. That 17.13 is genuine class. The frustration is recent form: 4th (17.28), 4th (17.49), 5th (17.89) in his last three D2 runs. But context matters — his 17.28 4th on Mar 18 was faster than many D2 winners, suggesting he's been meeting strong competition. Performance 31 is mid-pack. T4 at D2 275m is the worst trap at 16.87% from 249 runs, which is the main structural negative. Trainer D Calvert at 17.74% in conditions from 62 runs is moderate. The speed and suitability advantages are large enough to overcome the trap disadvantage — his 17.13 time is 0.09 seconds faster than anyone else's best, which at sprint distances is decisive.
DANGER: Two consecutive D3 wins with 17.34 time + best profitable trap (26.54%, +31.76 P&L) gives him genuine claims. But speed 44 (worst in field) and class suit 14 mean the D2 step-up is unproven. Hot form vs cold numbers.
Quick raw times (17.23) but zero D2 wins, worst trainer in conditions (4.35%), and 2nd worst trap. Permanent placer at D2 level who can't convert.
D2 275m winner (17.39) with 2nd best trap (25.50%) but Closer at sprint and grade-inflated perf from A2/OR. The 483m form doesn't transfer to 275m sprints where EP dominates.
Two D2 wins and fastest recent time (17.22 3rd) with extreme EP at sprint. But PC 30 makes her a coin flip — when she breaks she's a threat, when she doesn't she's nowhere. Too unreliable for danger tag.
T1 is best trap at 26.54% from 211 runs with +31.76 P&L (most profitable). T4 is worst at 16.87% from 249 runs with heavy losses. Speed R1 at 26.55% from 629 runs. D Calvert 17.74% from 62 runs — moderate. S A Birks 0% from 8 D2 runs but tiny sample.
T1:26.54% T2:18.98% T3:23.17% T4:16.87% T5:25.50% T6:21.39%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.