| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Deacon Milanb 5y 46 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 37 (3) | 24 (3) | 22 (4) | 26 (2) | 23 (4) | 21 (4) | 28 (1) | 24 (2) | 24 (3) | 28 (1) | 42 | 32 | 27 | 32 | 24 | 28 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Devon Luckyd 2y 34 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 42 (2) | 56 (1) | 45 (3) | 47 (2) | 36 (1) | 24 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (1) | 23 (3) | 31 (1) | 34 | 36 | 38 | 36 | 21 | 26 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ellies Flashd 5y 47 | M Haythorne — 20% R76 W15 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 30 (5) | 28 (4) | 41 (2) | 58 (1) | 45 (3) | 63 (1) | 19 (5) | 54 (1) | 31 (5) | 30 (5) | 42 | 31 | - | 42 | 37 | 37 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Monbeg Ginod 4y 25 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 50 | 43 (3) | 41 (3) | 45 (2) | 48 (2) | 42 (2) | 49 (2) | 44 (3) | 44 (3) | 14 (6) | 43 (2) | 25 | 31 | 47 | 82 | 37 | 40 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Royal Flushd 3y 25 | S A Birks — 15% R213 W33 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 56 (1) | 56 (1) | 44 (3) | 45 (3) | 44 (2) | 51 (2) | 31 (5) | 37 (4) | 40 (3) | 42 (2) | 27 | 21 | 61 | 19 | 37 | 32 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
The speed gap here is enormous — 67 vs the next best of 51 (Royal Flush), a 16-point advantage that triggers the class override rule decisively. At D4 275m specifically, he has two wins: 1st in adj 17.41 ('Mid-WideALed' — led all the way from a wide position) and 1st in adj 17.59 ('Mid-WideChl-LedNrLn' — challenged and led near line). Those times are 0.36 and 0.18 seconds faster than anyone else's best in this field — at sprint distances, that's a chasm. His Closer classification (CS 68) is misleading at 275m — his actual race comments show he leads or challenges from the front at this distance, not closing from behind. Performance 37 is tied best, distance suitability 82 is comfortably the highest (meaning he's proven at this distance), and class suit 47 shows he's competitive at D4 level. Trainer C A Williams at 24.24% in conditions from 33 runs is solid. The one concern is T5 at D4 275m winning only 19.63% from 163 runs — below average. But when the speed advantage is this large, trap position becomes secondary. A 17.41 dog in a field of 17.77-17.86 dogs wins from almost any draw.
DANGER: Dominant trap (37.18%) and class drop from D3 provide real structural advantages. But distance suit 19, pace consistency 32, and trainer weakness (13.79%) prevent confident selection. If the trap bias fires, he wins; if he's slow away, he's mid-pack.
Ultra-consistent but doesn't win at D4 — five consecutive 2nd-4th finishes. Worst active trap (16.79%). The reliable bridesmaid who'll place without threatening the pick.
Strong trap draw (28.70%, profitable) and proven CD winner, but erratic form with a recent 18.86 collapse. When he gets a clean break he's competitive; when he doesn't, he disappears.
Raw talent from 450m form (two B7 wins) but unproven at D4 275m with one 5th from one try. Fader at sprint can hold but class suit 0 and weak trainer make this speculative.
T6 is the dominant trap at 37.18% from 78 runs — significantly above expected. T3 is 2nd best at 28.70% from 108 runs with positive P&L (+14.63). Speed R1 at 28.98% from 352 runs. Inside traps (T1-T2) underperform at 16-17%.
T1:16.79% T2:16.00% T3:28.70% T4:25.00% T5:19.63% T6:37.18%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deacon Milan | 0.650 | 0.645 |
| 3 | Devon Lucky | 0.640 | 0.640 |
| 4 | Ellies Flash | 0.657 | 0.643 |
| 5 | Monbeg Gino | 0.647 | 0.640 |
| 6 | Royal Flush | — | 0.645 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.