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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Cockney Kentd 1y 6 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (3) | 20 (4) | 28 (1) | 18 (3) | 24 (2) | 25 (2) | 26 (2) | 24 (2) | 22 (2) | 21 (3) | 42 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 2 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Alno Deeb 2y 24 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 37 | 15 (5) | 33 (5) | 23 (3) | 20 (3) | 17 (3) | 20 (3) | 44 (5) | 17 (5) | 21 (2) | 20 (3) | 28 | 25 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Flosses Mcqueenb 2y 4 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 25 (3) | 22 (4) | 25 (2) | 23 (4) | 23 (3) | 19 (3) | 25 (3) | 18 (5) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 69 | 47 | 10 | 47 | 18 | 31 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Tiktok Expressb 4y 34 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 63 | 31 (5) | 26 (5) | 22 (3) | 26 (1) | 23 (2) | 18 (5) | 20 (4) | 30 (5) | 29 (1) | 27 (1) | 35 | 30 | 28 | 34 | 31 | 32 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Skidrow Sueb 1y 5 | A L Steels — 17% R47 W8 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 16 (4) | 23 (2) | 20 (3) | 20 (4) | 18 (4) | 24 (3) | 19 (4) | 19 (4) | 21 (4) | 24 (2) | 20 | 34 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 25 | 4 | 9/4 | |
The class override applies decisively here — perf 31 is 8 points above the field average of ~23, which at D5 level represents a significant ability gap. Best speed in the field (55) where Speed R1 wins 36.48% from 159 runs — the single strongest condition predictor at Doncaster 275m D5. Best bend rating (63) and best early pace (63) mean he'll lead through the first bend from T5, which at 30% win rate from 70 runs is the best active trap with the dominant T4 vacant. Fader profile (EP 63, CS 0) is mitigated at sprint distance — 275m is too short for the fade to fully manifest. Won at D5 275m on Feb 23 in 17.88 and placed 3rd at D4 in 18.08, showing he can compete at the grade above. High form variance (39→24→40→28→48→24) is a concern, but his ceiling races (48, 40, 39) are miles ahead of anyone else. Trainer C A Williams at 36.36% in D5 275m conditions from 11 runs adds a strong-tier trainer signal. The combination of best speed, best pace, best perf, and a strong trap draw in a field where nobody else breaks 25 perf makes this a confident selection.
DANGER: Inside rail (26.32%, profitable) plus improving form trajectory (10→15→20→21→22). Consistent placer at D5 but perf gap of 11 points to the pick is substantial. Best-placed to capitalise if the favourite falters.
Closer at sprint with worst speed (43), worst suitability, and inconsistent D5 form (5th, 2nd, 3rd, 5th). The trainer edge exists but is better captured through Tiktok Express.
Lowest perf (18), erratic form including a 19.33 collapse, and 2nd worst trap. The trap suitability (69) is a lone bright spot in an otherwise uncompetitive profile.
Second-fastest speed (54) but hasn't won in 6 runs. Worst trap (17.39%), lowest trap suitability (20), and flat form trajectory. Perennial placer who lacks the final push to convert.
T4 is the dominant trap at 42% from 50 runs but is VACANT. Speed R1 wins 36.48% from 159 runs — the strongest condition predictor. T5 is 2nd best active trap at 30% (70 runs). C A Williams 36.36% from 11 runs in these conditions.
T1:26.32% T2:22.22% T3:18.18% T4:42.00% T5:30.00% T6:17.39%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.