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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Brettd 4y 24 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 28 (4) | 42 (1) | 31 (4) | 27 (3) | 37 (2) | 30 (4) | 41 (1) | 28 (5) | 31 (3) | 29 (4) | 50 | 41 | 42 | 42 | 34 | 38 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Skywalker Tinod 4y 35 | D M Verner — 33% R27 W9 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 20 (5) | 40 (2) | 42 (1) | 28 (1) | 34 (4) | 40 (4) | 31 (1) | 33 (3) | 40 (3) | - | 83 | 55 | 31 | 55 | 35 | 45 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Real Gone Kidd 4y 24 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 35 (3) | 32 (3) | 31 (3) | 33 (3) | 34 (3) | 41 (1) | 26 (5) | 36 (3) | 33 (2) | 29 (3) | 53 | 47 | 57 | 66 | 35 | 42 | 4 | 14/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Shackelton Aced 3y 17 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 47 (1) | 38 (4) | 34 (4) | 46 (1) | 41 (2) | 29 (1) | 47 (4) | 42 (1) | 40 (1) | - | 67 | 59 | 48 | 61 | 34 | 44 | 1 | 2/5F | |
| 6 | ▶ Rising Apollod 3y 45 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 41 (2) | 57 (1) | 39 (4) | 32 (3) | 50 (2) | 37 (3) | 16 (3) | 28 (5) | 35 (3) | 61 (5) | 35 | 45 | - | 44 | 37 | 39 | 5 | 25/1 | |
The fastest dog in this field by a clear margin — his 16.91 2nd on Mar 18 is a sub-17 second time that puts him in elite territory at D2 level. Won at D2 in 17.02 on Feb 22 and has posted multiple sub-17.10 times: 16.91, 17.02 (win), 17.02, 17.03, 17.13. That consistency at the very top end is exceptional. Best speed in the field (56) where Speed R1 wins 26.55% — the strongest condition predictor. Best suitability profile: track 59, distance 61, trap 67, class 48 — all field-leading. Trainer S Watson at 32% (22.58% in conditions) is strong. The concern is T4 at D2 275m — 16.87% from 249 runs, the worst trap with heavy losses. And his form is boom-bust: 16.91 2nd then 17.54 5th, then 17.45 4th, then 17.02 win. But when the speed gap is this large — 16.91 is nearly 0.1s faster than anyone else's best time — the trap becomes a secondary factor. At D2 where margins are tiny, his raw speed advantage can overcome a moderate structural trap deficit.
DANGER: Best profitable trap (26.54%, +31.76 P&L) + Watson 32% + 17.14 recent time. Speed 46 is a concern against this elite field but the structural advantage is significant. Will be in the frame.
Three D2 wins, 17.01 pace, Verner 45%, trap suit 83. But 2nd worst trap (18.98%) and inconsistent form (1st to 5th range) in the deepest D2 field on the card.
Most D2 wins in the field (3 from 10 starts) with fastest winning time (17.15). But speed 46 suggests declining form and last two runs (3rd, 4th) support this. A fading former champion.
D3 graduate with speed 38 (worst by far) facing sub-17.10 D2 specialists. The step up from D3 times of 17.41-17.51 to the sub-17.00 pace needed here is enormous. Significantly outclassed.
T1 is best trap at 26.54% (+31.76 P&L). T4 is worst at 16.87%. Speed R1 at 26.55% from 629 runs. D M Verner 40% from 10 D2 runs. S Watson 22.58% from 62 runs. This is an exceptionally competitive D2 field with multiple sub-17.10 performers.
T1:26.54% T2:18.98% T3:23.17% T4:16.87% T5:25.50% T6:21.39%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.