Hasn't been seen since the end of May, and his three career runs — all at A4-A5 level over 525 — peaked at a 62 rating. He's never raced at this track or this trip, so there are no course times to judge him by, and he gives away fitness and experience to every rival. Hard to make a case beyond guesswork.

Second in last week's 550 semi-final with a 58, and his 77 two starts back — earned climbing out of A6 grade — shows he's a dog on the up. He's the only rival with actual race experience at this exact trip, which counts for something in a field full of stamina questions. Needs to find another gear on the winner from last week, but the improvement curve says don't rule it out.

The strongest all-round track form in the field — a 525 win here last month rated 83, an 85 in his back catalogue, and a 71 average built entirely at A3-A4 level. His track suitability figures are among the best on the card. Like most of this field, though, he's never run 550, and his style over 525 suggests the extra yards are a question rather than a gift. Solid each-way claims while the pick and the speedster fight out the front.

His profile reads like a stayer — he ran 600 last time out at A3 level and has an 88 in his history — but the recent clock tells a harsher story: his 32.02 course best is the slowest in the field by over a second, and his last four ratings peaked at 72. Dropping back from 600 might sharpen him, but on everything measurable he's running for the minor money.