Won his semi-final with a 90-rated run in 27.23 and ran an 89 earlier in the summer, so on his best form he belongs in this final. All form at A3 level, no trials. The trouble is the stuff between the peaks — ratings in the 50s and 60s litter his record — and trap 1 has won just one in ten at this grade and trip. Genuine on his day; the question is whether the day comes twice in a week.

Honest and consistent — his last six runs at A2-A3 level all fall between 58 and 72 — but he's never won in three tries at this course and distance, and his draw is statistically the worst on the card: trap 2 has not produced a single winner in twenty attempts at this grade and trip. Everything about the profile says solid placer, nothing says winner.

Placed in his last two here with a 79 peak two starts back, and six straight A3 runs give his form an honest look — no trials, no grade-hopping. But he's winless from three course and distance starts, his trainer's runners have been out of form, and trap 3 has won just 6.7% at this grade and trip. Hard to see him reversing form with the two semi winners ahead of him.

Ran an 87 two starts back and his 27.61 best time stands up respectably in this field, with one win from three course and distance starts. All form at A2-A3 level. But he found the Guilfoyle pair too strong last week, and trap 6 has won barely one race in twenty at this grade and trip — a wide draw over a distance where the middle boxes hold all the aces. Place claims at best.