Ran an 87 when second in his semi, easily his best effort in months, but the rest of his recent record is patchy — ratings in the 40s dot his form line and he's been lightly and irregularly campaigned. One place from his only course and distance start. Trap 1 wins a healthy 19.3% at this grade, which gives him a structural leg-up his form doesn't quite justify. Improving at the right time, but needs two more steps forward.

Ran an 89 two starts back and an 82 when third in her semi, with one win from five course and distance starts. Lightly raced — several gaps in her record — and her established figures sit a rung below the front three. Trap 4 is middling at this grade. She'd need the two 100-rated dogs to trade blows and both blink; possible in a final, not probable.

The metronome of the field — six straight runs between 65 and 74, never brilliant, never bad, with two wins from seven course and distance starts. All A0-A1 company throughout, so the class is genuine. But trap 5 is the coldest box at this grade, winning under 8%, and against two dogs fresh off perfect scores his ceiling looks like third. Reliable place material.

Quietly boasts the fastest recent trip time in the field — 28.32 last week when third in his semi — plus the best measured speed figure and two wins with three places from eight course and distance runs, all earned at A0-A1 level. In almost any other box he'd be a major player, but trap 6 wins just 8.3% at this grade while the inside boxes hoover up the finals. The value forecast-third if the draw does what it usually does; the upset winner if he pings the lids.