Regional Nights Friends & Supporters Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Post Robynd 3y 13 | - | - | 48 | - | 97 (1) | 67 (4) | 80 (2) | 57 (6) | 83 (2) | 95 (1) | 67 (4) | 83 (2) | 47 (5) | 85 (2) | 47 | 48 | 10 | 47 | 78 | 55 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ A Bulls Notiond 2y 15 | Ray Fleming — 25% R4 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 84 (3) | 84 (2) | 59 (6) | 80 (3) | 63 (2) | 83 (1) | 60 (2) | 60 (3) | 54 (4) | 41 (4) | 20 | 26 | 6 | 26 | 72 | 45 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Polish Champb 1y 12 | Brendan Maunsell — 6% R17 W1 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 81 (2) | 85 (2) | 66 (4) | 75 (4) | 70 (4) | 77 (3) | 84 (2) | 66 (3) | 70 (2) | 63 (3) | 42 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 75 | 53 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Millridge Rodgerd 3y 13 | - | - | 51 | - | 74 (3) | 75 (3) | 86 (2) | 79 (4) | 54 (5) | 84 (2) | 96 (1) | 93 (1) | 64 (3) | 72 (4) | - | 27 | 32 | 34 | 77 | 54 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Daleroad Magicd 1y 14 | Patrick Guilfoyle — 46% R52 W24 P36 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 98 (1) | 99 (1) | 93 (1) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 47 | 50 | 47 | 50 | 91 | 61 | 6 | 1/1f | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Gracies Machined 4y 25 | - | - | 53 | - | 77 (2) | 69 (3) | 76 (2) | 82 (2) | 62 (4) | 70 (4) | 59 (6) | 75 (3) | 51 (5) | 54 (4) | 17 | 23 | 36 | 30 | 70 | 52 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Post Robyn | 28.88 | 29.23 | 28.58 | 48 | -0.30 | Won semi 97 | |
| 6 | Gracies Machine | 28.88 | 29.13 | — | 53 | — | 0 wins from 9 | |
| 2 | A Bulls Notion | 28.90 | 29.45 | 28.67 | 39 | -0.23 | 33% trainer | |
| 4 | Millridge Rodger | 28.92 | 29.15 | 28.66 | 51 | -0.26 | 2W from 8 C&D | |
| 3 | Polish Champ | 28.99 | 29.11 | — | 50 | — | 0 wins from 8 | |
| 5 | Daleroad Magic | — | — | 28.50 | — | — | 98 & 99, 2/2 here |
Tralee's 525 at A2 grade is remarkably even on the draw — trap 1 leads at a modest 15.5% and trap 3 trails at 9.2% from a meaty 702 runs — but it is emphatic about one thing: pace. The fastest dog in the field wins 25.2% at this grade, nearly double the 13.2% managed by the top-rated dog on overall figures, so the clock outranks the book here. This Regional Nights Final, though, may be the exception that proves nothing: Daleroad Magic has been rated 98 and 99 winning his two rounds of this stake, his 91 average sits thirteen points clear of the next best dog, and his trainer Patrick Guilfoyle is banging in winners at 46%. Post Robyn, a 97-rated semi winner herself from the best box on the card, is the one with the profile to chase him home. Everything else is running for third.
The best dog on the card, and it isn't close. He has won both rounds of this stake rated 98 and 99, his 91 average sits a full thirteen points clear of the next-best in this final, and he's two from two over the course and distance with a 28.50 clocking last week. Trainer Patrick Guilfoyle — winning at 46% — has him flying. Just four career runs, so he keeps improving with every start. Trap 5 is statistically quiet at this grade, and at a speed-first level his lack of a recorded speed figure is the only technical gap — but when a dog is this far clear on proven form, the draw sheet is a footnote. The one they all have to beat, and probably can't.
Won her semi-final with a 97 — a proper performance — and her back form includes an 83 and a 95 earned in A0-A1 company, so the class is real. Eight course and distance runs have brought one win and four places, and she lands trap 1, statistically the best box at this grade. All graded form, no trials. Against almost any other rival she'd be the pick; against a dog rating 98-99 on the spin she's the chaser.
Back-to-back 84-rated runs, including third in his semi, and his trainer Ray Fleming operates at a sharp 33% strike rate. He's climbed from A5 to this level over the past year and holds one win with four places from ten course and distance starts. Honest, in form and well handled — but a 72 average leaves him nineteen points shy of the favourite on the book, and that gap is not made up on trainer craft alone.
As consistent as they come — six straight runs between 66 and 85 at A1-A2 level, second in his semi with an 81 — but the record book is unkind: no wins from eight course and distance starts despite four places, and trap 3 is the coldest box at this grade, winning barely one in eleven. His trainer's runners have also been struggling. A placer's profile in a race with two proper winners in it.
The quiet achiever of the field — two wins from eight course and distance runs, an 86 three starts back, and a 77 average built at A1-A2 level without a trial in sight. He was third in his semi behind the favourite and doesn't obviously improve on that with the same dog to beat. Middle draw is fair at this grade. Solid win claims in an ordinary A2; place claims in this one.
The best measured speed figure in the field and a hardy campaigner at A1-A2 level, with an 82 peak four starts back and second place in his semi last week. But nine course and distance runs without a win — three places — is a telling record for a dog with his pace, and it hints the finishing touch is missing. At a grade where the fastest dog wins one in four, his early dash makes him dangerous in a muddling race; this final doesn't look like being one.
Key insight: Speed rules at A2 — the fastest dog in the field wins 25.2% (119 runs) versus just 13.2% for the top-rated dog. Draw is nearly flat: T1 15.5% best, T3 9.2% worst from 702 runs.
T1:15.5% T2:15.1% T3:9.2% T4:14.5% T5:11.8% T6:13.9%
702 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 350m | 500m | 525m | 570m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Post Robyn | — | — | 0.551 | 0.553 | — |
| 2 | A Bulls Notion | — | — | — | 0.557 | — |
| 3 | Polish Champ | 0.557 | — | — | 0.551 | — |
| 4 | Millridge Rodger | — | — | — | 0.554 | 0.562 |
| 5 | Daleroad Magic | — | 0.537 | — | 0.545 | — |
| 6 | Gracies Machine | — | — | — | 0.553 | 0.554 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.