Listowel, Moyvane, Tarbert 570
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coolavanny Norab 2y 34 | Michael Daly — 14% R7 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 82 (3) | 78 (4) | 97 (1) | 65 (5) | 96 (1) | 66 (5) | 40 (4) | - | - | - | - | 34 | - | 30 | 78 | 45 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballinveala Jenb 2y 25 | Maurice O'Connor — 25% R4 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 72 (5) | 100 (1) | 78 (4) | 99 (1) | 100 (1) | 81 (2) | 96 (1) | 59 (6) | 92 (1) | 45 (5) | 45 | 70 | 38 | - | 85 | 60 | 1 | 2/1jf | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mias Magicb 2y 44 | Patrick O'Connor — 21% R34 W7 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | - | 79 (2) | 49 (6) | 80 (1) | 80 (1) | 78 (1) | 50 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 51 | 6 | - | 70 | 31 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Outlaw Oscard 1y 32 | Jack Kennelly — 24% R38 W9 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 49 (5) | 62 (4) | 66 (3) | 94 (1) | 50 (3) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | - | - | 63 | 38 | 3 | 2/1jf | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Says The Oned 1y 33 | - | - | 36 | - | 86 (1) | 57 (5) | 55 (5) | 72 (2) | 44 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | 13 | - | - | 65 | 30 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Daleroad Bestd 2y 24 | - | - | 57 | - | 72 (4) | 97 (1) | 73 (4) | 71 (4) | 77 (3) | 78 (2) | 69 (4) | 77 (2) | 65 (3) | 95 (1) | 45 | 46 | 28 | 37 | 78 | 53 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ballinveala Jen | 31.36 | 31.60 | — | 61 | — | Class, 1st 570 | |
| 6 | Daleroad Best | 31.48 | 31.61 | 31.00 | 57 | -0.48 | 2W from 6 at trip | |
| 3 | Mias Magic | 31.49 | 31.97 | — | 35 | — | 1st 570 | |
| 4 | Outlaw Oscar | 31.76 | 31.76 | — | 46 | — | 1st 570 | |
| 5 | Says The One | 31.76 | 32.01 | — | 36 | — | Class jump | |
| 1 | Coolavanny Nora | — | — | 30.90 | — | — | Won only 570 start |
Uncharted territory: not a single A0 race over 570 is in the Tralee book, so there is no draw pattern and no rating benchmark at this grade and trip — the nearest guide is top-grade form over the standard 525, where the inside three boxes do almost all the winning and the outside half struggles badly. That lean, plus actual 570 clockings, is all there is to work with. On those, two dogs stand out: Coolavanny Nora won her only start over this course and distance in 30.90, the fastest trip time in the field, and Daleroad Best has banked two wins and three places from six runs at the distance. The wildcard is Ballinveala Jen — the classiest dog in the race by a street, with perfect-score runs and elite-company experience, but not a yard of evidence she stays 570. A fascinating, genuinely open staying contest.
Won her only start over this course and distance in 30.90 — the fastest anyone in this field has travelled through the 570 trip — and her recent A0-A1 form includes ratings of 96 and 97. All graded form at the top level, no trials. She's been off since late June, and one run at the trip is a slim book, but in a race where most of the field has never seen 570 at all, the dog who has already won over it fastest gets the vote. The rails draw fits the inside lean that dominates top-grade racing here over the standard trip.
The class act by a wide margin — an 85 average with three perfect-score-level runs in her recent form, the field's best speed figure, and experience in elite invitation company above A0. Trainer Maurice O'Connor wins at 33%. But she has never raced beyond the standard trip, and her semi outing was a beaten fifth at that elite level. If she stays 570 she probably beats these; that is the entire bet, and there is no evidence either way. The biggest danger and the biggest gamble on the card rolled into one.
A remarkable riser — this time last year he was an A6 dog, and he's since strung together ratings of 78-80 at the top grades including a 79 when second at A0 last month. But he's never run 570, his speed figures are the weakest of those measured, and his best course times over the standard trip trail the leaders. The climb has been admirable; this looks a step too far in class-plus-stamina combined.
Has mixed it in elite invitation company, with a 94 rating four starts back to his name, but his last two runs at that level were rated 49 and 62 — well held both times — and he's another with not a single yard of 570 experience. At the standard trip the box he's drawn is the coldest at this grade. Needs the race to fall apart in front of him.
Won an A3 last month with an 86 and arrives in the form of his life, but this is a savage double jump — up two grades to A0 and out to a trip he's never attempted, with the slowest best times in the field over the standard course. His recent grades are two full levels below tonight's company. The kind of dog who could outrun big odds if the stayers tie up, but everything measurable says outclassed.
The proven stayer of the field — six runs over this course and distance for two wins and three places, a 31.00 clocking last time at the trip, and a 97 rating two starts back at A1 level. His 78 average matches the pick's and his speed figure is second-best here. The knock: at the top grade over the standard trip, wide draws win rarely, and his trip best trails Coolavanny Nora's by more than a length. The most solid, least flashy contender — a big place player at minimum.
Key insight: Zero A0 runs over Tralee 570 — this race is unmodelled. The field's combined course-and-distance experience is just 7 runs, and the two dogs holding all of it (Coolavanny Nora 1 win from 1, Daleroad Best 2 wins from 6) are the only proven stayers here.
No A0 history at 570 here. Guide from A0 525 (152 runs): T1:14.8% T2:16.0% T3:21.7% T4:4.3% T5:6.7% T6:8.3% — strong inside lean at top grade.
7 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 570m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 570m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (570m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | 550m | 570m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coolavanny Nora | — | 0.551 | — | 0.546 |
| 2 | Ballinveala Jen | — | 0.550 | — | — |
| 3 | Mias Magic | 0.565 | 0.553 | — | — |
| 4 | Outlaw Oscar | — | 0.554 | 0.551 | — |
| 5 | Says The One | 0.555 | 0.564 | 0.557 | — |
| 6 | Daleroad Best | — | 0.546 | 0.548 | 0.549 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.