Jimmy Flaherty Memorial A2/A3 525 Round 1 Heat 5
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Glamorous Rocketd 1y 22 | - | - | 43 | - | 53 (6) | 71 (3) | 52 (3) | 55 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 58 | 21 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Breaghmore Diced 3y 22 | - | - | 59 | - | 49 (4) | 90 (2) | 42 (6) | 63 (5) | 58 (6) | 65 (4) | 57 (6) | 50 (4) | 45 (5) | 65 (3) | 13 | 47 | - | 33 | 59 | 34 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Heathlawn Rubyb 2y 14 | - | - | 56 | - | 86 (2) | 91 (1) | 70 (3) | 47 (6) | 61 (5) | 47 (6) | 72 (4) | 69 (3) | 90 (1) | 76 (2) | 22 | 50 | 13 | 39 | 72 | 53 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Island Ivyb 1y 13 | - | - | 44 | - | 56 (5) | 66 (3) | 68 (2) | 62 (5) | 57 (4) | 81 (1) | 46 (6) | 66 (3) | 40 (6) | 76 (1) | 3 | 21 | - | 24 | 62 | 43 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Salsa Fired 2y 14 | - | - | 43 | - | 60 (5) | 79 (2) | 90 (1) | 52 (6) | 68 (2) | 67 (3) | 51 (4) | 53 (5) | 46 (5) | 42 (6) | 26 | 27 | - | 26 | 65 | 45 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jasmine Cocob 2y 16 | Colm Fitzgerald — 30% R20 W6 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 63 (4) | 65 (4) | 66 (4) | 91 (1) | 76 (3) | 54 (5) | 68 (4) | 92 (1) | 73 (2) | 75 (3) | 21 | 39 | 26 | 30 | 71 | 55 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jasmine Coco | 28.91 | 29.32 | 29.05 | 58 | +0.14 | Fastest clock | |
| 3 | Heathlawn Ruby | 28.96 | 29.43 | 29.16 | 56 | +0.20 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Breaghmore Dice | 29.06 | 29.24 | — | 59 | — | Class dropper | |
| 5 | Salsa Fire | 29.15 | 29.59 | 29.35 | 43 | +0.20 | ||
| 4 | Island Ivy | 29.20 | 29.56 | 29.40 | 44 | +0.20 | ||
| 1 | Glamorous Rocket | 29.36 | 29.47 | — | 43 | — | 3-month layoff |
Trap 1 wins better than one in three at this grade at Galway's 525 metres and trap 5 barely one in twenty — but tonight the form is stacked in the middle and out wide, not on the rail. Heathlawn Ruby, in career-best form after a 91-rated win and a strong second at this grade, breaks from trap 3 as the most solid profile in the race. Jasmine Coco owns the fastest clocking in the field from trap 6 and a trainer in excellent form, while Breaghmore Dice is the intriguing one — a former top-grade performer with the best speed figures here, dropping in class off a two-month absence. Glamorous Rocket inherits the golden trap 1 draw with the weakest form in the race, which sums up the night: the structure and the form book are pulling in opposite directions.
In the form of her life — rated 91 when winning at A3 grade two starts back and 86 when chasing home the winner at this grade last time. Ten runs at this course and distance make her the most experienced in the race, and only two rivals better her speed figures. This grade has been her ceiling in the past — two wins in ten course starts says so — but her current form is banging on the door and trap 3 is a sound draw.
The best clocking in the race — 28.91 at this trip — the second-best speed figures, and trainer Colm Fitzgerald winning at better than three in ten. Her last three finishes are all fourths, which is the nagging concern, but all of them came against A1 and A2 company and she drops into a very winnable race here. The wide draw keeps her out of the first-bend traffic.
Gets the golden trap 1 draw but brings the weakest form in the race — beaten in both course starts, a sixth at A3 grade on her most recent run, and she has not raced since mid-April. The box wins better than one in three at this grade, and it will need to do most of the work on its own.
The best speed figures in the field and a former top-grade competitor at A0 and A1 level — that pedigree makes her genuinely dangerous dropping into A2 company. But she has not raced since early May, her last two runs were poor, and her only course and distance start yielded a second at A1 grade rather than a win. If the break has freshened her up, she could outrun her price; the recent evidence is thin.
Nine course and distance runs with two wins is respectable experience, but her recent form is a string of mid-division finishes at A3 grade and her ratings have drifted from a peak of 81 down to the 50s and 60s. Trap 4 has been a poor box at this grade too, winning barely one race in nine.
Won at A3 grade three starts back with a 90-rated career best, so the ability is real, and she has placed in three of five course and distance runs. But she is drawn in the weakest box on the track at a grade that is a step up, and her two runs since that win read second then fifth. Needs everything to fall right from trap 5, which it rarely does here.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the dominant box at Galway 525m A2, winning 34.3% from 35 runs, while trap 5 wins just 5.7% and trap 4 only 11.1%. The grade sample is thin (~35 runs per trap) so treat as a lean, but the all-grade picture from 3,103 runs confirms the shape: trap 1 best (21.4%), trap 5 worst (11.6%), and the fastest dog in the field wins 27.5% across all grades.
T1:34.3% T2:19.4% T3:17.1% T4:11.1% T5:5.7% T6:14.7%
211 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 400m | 525m | 550m | 600m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glamorous Rocket | — | — | 0.557 | — | — |
| 2 | Breaghmore Dice | 0.549 | 0.545 | 0.557 | 0.559 | — |
| 3 | Heathlawn Ruby | — | — | 0.561 | — | — |
| 4 | Island Ivy | — | — | 0.563 | 0.567 | — |
| 5 | Salsa Fire | — | — | 0.564 | 0.569 | 0.568 |
| 6 | Jasmine Coco | — | — | 0.558 | 0.555 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.