Loading...
2026 On Faya Galway Oaks 525 Round 1 Heat 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballinabola Pixib 2y 44 | - | - | 53 | - | 54 (6) | 69 (5) | 45 (5) | 100 (1) | 76 (4) | 80 (3) | 51 (4) | 53 (6) | 64 (5) | 99 (1) | 45 | - | 12 | 44 | 67 | 34 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Deerjet Matildab 2y 24 | Pat Buckley — 24% R46 W11 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 69 (4) | 79 (3) | 64 (5) | 73 (2) | 97 (1) | 44 (5) | 49 (3) | 69 (1) | 56 (3) | 82 (3) | 19 | - | - | 8 | 70 | 41 | 2 | 4/6 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Hopeb 3y 25 | Patrick Guilfoyle — 46% R52 W24 P36 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 58 (6) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 53 (4) | 54 (2) | 56 (2) | 56 (4) | 59 (2) | 52 (4) | 100 (1) | 54 | 65 | 15 | 73 | 71 | 54 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Elsies Melodyb 1y 34 | - | - | 46 | - | 97 (1) | 66 (5) | 67 (4) | 74 (2) | 56 (2) | 41 (4) | 66 (1) | - | - | - | 21 | - | - | 38 | 70 | 23 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballinabola Pixi | 28.88 | 29.09 | 28.37 | 53 | -0.51 | Best box | |
| 3 | Deerjet Matilda | 28.91 | 28.91 | 28.85 | 56 | -0.06 | Stayer dropping back | |
| 6 | Elsies Melody | 28.92 | 29.39 | 28.72 | 46 | -0.20 | 2-month layoff | |
| 2 | Clan Sapphire | 28.94 | 29.16 | 28.25 | 43 | -0.69 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Clonbrien Taylor | 29.02 | 29.37 | — | 43 | — | Never run 525 | |
| 5 | Magical Hope | 29.10 | 29.13 | 28.97 | 46 | -0.13 | 2-for-2 here |
Open-class racing again, and a genuine head-scratcher. The track template at Galway's 525 metres: trap 1 is the best box at 21.4% across three thousand runs, trap 5 the worst at 11.6%, trap 2 quiet at 14.9%, and the fastest dog on the clock wins better than one in four. No dog here ticks every box. Clan Sapphire owns the best proven times at the trip and the most consistent top-level form, but breaks from a quiet draw. Magical Hope is two-from-two at Galway with the strongest kennel in the race behind her, yet lands the graveyard box after a flop last time. Deerjet Matilda is a stayer dropping back who will be doing her best work late, and Ballinabola Pixi gets the golden trap 1 but must reverse three poor runs. Take a deep breath — this is a race to bet small in.
The best proven form at this exact level — she won a top-grade contest at Curraheen Park in 28.25 two starts back, rated 100, and her 28.21 career best for the trip is the quickest figure in this field. Second or better in four of her last six, and Francis Murray's runners win at a strong rate. The knock is the draw, a quiet box at Galway, and a flat fifth last time. In a race full of question marks, her open-class consistency gets the nod — narrowly.
Two runs at Galway, two wins, both sharp — 28.74 and 28.97 — with back-to-back 100-rated performances earlier this summer, and the Guilfoyle kennel behind her winning at nearly one in two. Last time's sixth at Shelbourne is the worry, and trap 5 is the weakest box on the track, but a perfect course record with times like hers demands respect in an open race.
Gets the prized inside draw and has a 100-rated Limerick win in the book from earlier this year. But her three runs since stepping into open company read poorly — sixth and fifth in her last two — and Galway's 525 metres is new to her. The box gives her every chance to outrun her recent form; the recent form is the reason she needs it.
The fastest speed figures in the field, earned mostly over 600 metres and beyond as a staying type — she was rated 97 winning a marathon at Shelbourne earlier this year. Dropping back to 525 is the puzzle: she has never raced this trip at Galway and her style points to her finishing the race off rather than dictating it, on a track where late runners give the leaders a big start.
Won over 600 metres at Shelbourne Park last time and has been competitive at A2 level through the spring, but this is a class rise and a trip drop rolled into one, on a track he has never raced. Ratings in the low-to-mid 60s put him a clear notch below the leading players in a race of this depth.
A 97-rated winner at Waterford in mid-May with a slick 28.72 clocking, but she has not raced in two months and steps straight into the deepest company of her career. Fresh legs and real ability, but the layoff and the class jump are two big asks rolled into one night, and the wide draw is no help at this trip.
Key insight: No historical AA0 races at Galway 525m in the database — this grade is unmodelled, so figures shown are the all-grade picture from 3,103 runs: trap 1 best at 21.4%, trap 5 worst at 11.6%, trap 2 quiet at 14.9%, and the fastest dog on the clock wins 27.5% — the strongest single signal at this trip. Confidence is capped accordingly.
T1:21.4% T2:14.9% T3:17.7% T4:19.9% T5:11.6% T6:15.9% (all grades)
3,103 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 570m | 600m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballinabola Pixi | 0.551 | 0.553 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Deerjet Matilda | 0.548 | 0.538 | 0.547 | 0.551 | 0.556 |
| 4 | Magical Hope | 0.547 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Elsies Melody | 0.558 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.