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Jimmy Flaherty Memorial A2/A3 525 Round 1 Heat 3
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grangeview Iked 1y 15 | - | - | 55 | - | 95 (1) | 71 (3) | 52 (6) | 93 (1) | 60 (4) | 68 (1) | 48 (3) | 65 (1) | - | - | 4 | 35 | 33 | 37 | 72 | 54 | 2 | 4/5 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Up The Jimmysb 1y 25 | - | - | 42 | - | 85 (1) | 65 (4) | 55 (5) | 54 (4) | 61 (5) | 43 (6) | 69 (1) | 53 (3) | 66 (1) | 50 (4) | - | - | - | 19 | 63 | 40 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Moneypoint Bandd 1y 22 | Francis Murray — 36% R14 W5 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 91 (1) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 69 | 43 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Caislean Dianeb 2y 15 | Kevin Connolly — 14% R7 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 66 (3) | 69 (4) | 57 (5) | 60 (5) | 91 (1) | 66 (4) | 69 (3) | 62 (4) | 72 (1) | 53 (3) | 28 | 25 | - | 17 | 67 | 50 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hollywell Raptord 2y 19 | Colm Fitzgerald — 30% R20 W6 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 63 (2) | 82 (1) | 71 (2) | 61 (5) | 72 (2) | 65 (4) | 84 (1) | 52 (5) | 60 (5) | 75 (2) | 34 | 41 | - | 43 | 69 | 50 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lissatouk Robbied 1y 23 | - | - | 54 | - | 68 (3) | 92 (1) | 62 (4) | 67 (5) | 73 (2) | 79 (2) | 71 (1) | 52 (3) | 53 (3) | 54 (3) | 45 | 29 | - | 35 | 70 | 51 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lissatouk Robbie | 28.93 | 29.28 | 29.13 | 54 | +0.20 | ||
| 4 | Caislean Diane | 28.98 | 29.37 | 29.08 | 52 | +0.10 | ||
| 1 | Grangeview Ike | 28.99 | 29.49 | 29.19 | 55 | +0.20 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Up The Jimmys | 29.25 | 29.76 | 29.45 | 42 | +0.20 | ||
| 5 | Long Walk Luke | 29.46 | 29.62 | 28.63 | 34 | -0.83 | No Galway form | |
| 3 | Moneypoint Band | No 525m form on record — times not directly comparable. | — | Never past 400m | ||||
Trap 1 wins better than one in three at Galway's 525 metres at this grade, trap 5 barely one in twenty, and the fastest dog in the field takes better than one race in four at the trip. Rarely do all those arrows point at the same runner, but they do tonight. Grangeview Ike won at this grade, track and trip last Saturday with a career-best performance, owns four wins from seven course starts, has the best speed figures in the race — and now draws the red jacket. Lissatouk Robbie from trap 6 is the most likely to chase him home on consistency, while the unexposed pup Moneypoint Band has never raced beyond 400 metres and is the field's great unknown. If Ike breaks anywhere near level, this is his race to lose.
Won at this grade, this track and this trip just last Saturday with a 95-rated career best, and his course record is outstanding — seven runs at Galway's 525 metres, four wins. He owns the fastest speed figures in the field, and now he lands trap 1, the box that wins better than one in three at this grade. Winning form at these exact conditions, the best clock in the race and the best draw on the track — that is as strong a hand as this venue deals.
Rated 92 when winning at A3 grade two starts back and has placed in four of seven course and distance starts, so he brings genuine, recent, local form. He is second-fastest in the field on the clock and consistent enough to profit from any first-bend scrimmaging, though he is yet to win at this level and concedes the draw advantage to the selection.
Won at A4 grade last time with an 85-rated run, easily his best effort in months after a string of also-ran finishes at A3 grade. One win from six course starts and a modest clock make it hard to see him confirming that improvement against a field of this depth, though the trap 2 draw is workable.
A two-race pup who won a 400-metre stakes race at Dundalk with a 92-rated run last time, and his trainer Francis Murray operates at a very healthy strike rate. But he has never raced beyond 400 metres and never seen this track — the extra 125 metres is a complete unknown. Talented, clearly, but this is a leap of faith on trip, track and class all at once.
Owns one of the fastest course clockings in the field at 29.08 and has eight runs of Galway experience behind her. But she has been beaten in all four tries at this grade, and her last three A2 runs read fourth, fifth and fifth. Consistent — consistently just short at this level, and trap 4 is a poor box at the grade to boot.
Beaten at this grade in both starts since arriving on the graded scene, finishing fifth and sixth at Limerick, and now he draws the worst box on the track. The 28.63 Limerick clocking on his record says raw pace exists, but nothing in the recent form supports it translating here tonight.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the dominant box at Galway 525m A2, winning 34.3% from 35 runs, while trap 5 wins just 5.7% and trap 4 only 11.1%. The grade sample is thin (~35 runs per trap) so treat as a lean, but the all-grade picture from 3,103 runs confirms the shape: trap 1 best (21.4%), trap 5 worst (11.6%), and the fastest dog in the field wins 27.5% across all grades.
T1:34.3% T2:19.4% T3:17.1% T4:11.1% T5:5.7% T6:14.7%
211 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 400m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grangeview Ike | — | — | 0.561 | — |
| 2 | Up The Jimmys | 0.555 | — | 0.567 | — |
| 3 | Moneypoint Band | — | 0.543 | — | — |
| 4 | Caislean Diane | 0.563 | — | 0.559 | 0.567 |
| 5 | Hollywell Raptor | — | — | 0.562 | — |
| 6 | Lissatouk Robbie | 0.561 | — | 0.558 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.