2026 On Faya Galway Oaks 525 Round 1 Heat 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Avenue Queenb 2y 23 | Brian Robinson(NI) — 19% R16 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 77 (2) | 75 (4) | 65 (4) | 40 (6) | 60 (2) | 47 (4) | 87 (2) | 46 (4) | 97 (1) | 94 (1) | 31 | 65 | - | 61 | 67 | 51 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Magical Fionab 1y 33 | Patrick Guilfoyle — 46% R52 W24 P36 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | - | 72 (4) | 80 (3) | 99 (1) | 90 (1) | 72 (2) | 72 (2) | 41 (5) | - | - | - | - | 30 | 20 | 30 | 78 | 39 | 5 | 7/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballyhoe Nataleeb 2y 110 | Mark Connolly — 45% R11 W5 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 99 (1) | 100 (1) | 88 (2) | 74 (2) | 76 (3) | 41 (6) | 68 (1) | 57 (6) | 94 (1) | 54 (6) | 22 | - | 16 | 49 | 81 | 49 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Berry On Fayab 1y 32 | Murt Leahy — 8% R50 W4 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 27 | - | 36 (5) | 85 (1) | 44 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33 | - | - | 30 | 54 | 16 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Magical Be Niftyb 2y 26 | Patrick Guilfoyle — 46% R52 W24 P36 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 98 (1) | 64 (5) | 79 (3) | 94 (1) | 95 (1) | 70 (4) | 61 (5) | 72 (2) | 83 (1) | 83 (1) | - | 43 | - | 53 | 81 | 52 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Glengar Blitzb 2y 45 | Corona Ryan — 13% R16 W2 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 63 (2) | 69 (1) | 59 (2) | 52 (3) | 57 (2) | 56 (3) | 35 (6) | 100 (1) | 67 (4) | 74 (3) | - | - | - | 53 | 62 | 28 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Glengar Blitz | 28.88 | 29.06 | 29.23 | 54 | +0.35 | Off since May | |
| 1 | Avenue Queen | 28.89 | 29.11 | 28.89 | 51 | 0.00 | Won both here | |
| 5 | Magical Be Nifty | 28.91 | 29.10 | 28.70 | 50 | -0.21 | 4 Galway wins | |
| 3 | Ballyhoe Natalee | 28.96 | 29.07 | 28.41 | 52 | -0.55 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Berry On Faya | 29.35 | 29.71 | 28.57 | 27 | -0.78 | 3-month layoff | |
| 2 | Magical Fiona | 29.40 | 29.40 | 28.22 | 32 | -1.18 | Fastest raw time |
The first of three open-class contests, and a proper one. Galway's 525 metres favours the inside — trap 1 wins 21.4% across three thousand runs and trap 5 is the weakest box at 11.6% — while the fastest dog on the clock wins better than one in four, the strongest single signal at this trip. There is no history of races at this rarefied grade here, so the form book does the talking. Ballyhoe Natalee arrives with the hottest form in Ireland's top grades and the quickest recent clockings; Magical Be Nifty is the course specialist with four Galway wins from seven but the graveyard draw; Avenue Queen is two-from-two at this track and gets the prized red jacket. Magical Fiona owns the fastest career time in the field but drops back from staying trips. Depth everywhere — this is the card's most fascinating puzzle.
Arrives with the hottest form in the race — top-grade wins at Dundalk on each of her last two starts, rated 99 and 100, with clockings down to 28.41 that nothing here has matched in recent weeks. Trainer Mark Connolly's runners have been winning at an exceptional rate, and trap 3 is a perfectly serviceable draw. Her first run at Galway is the risk; everything else about the profile says she is the one to beat.
The course specialist of the field — four wins from seven starts at Galway's 525 metres with a best of 28.52, and she signed off with a 98-rated win at Limerick last time. The Guilfoyle kennel wins nearly one race in two. The catch is the draw: trap 5 is the weakest box on this track, winning barely one race in nine at the trip, and in a field this deep that ground given away early could be decisive.
Two runs at this course and distance, two wins — and now she gets the best box on the track. Her recent second at top grade at Limerick, rated 77, shows she is competitive at the level. The clock leaves her a few lengths to find with the principals on raw time, but a perfect Galway record and the draw that wins one in five make her a live outsider.
Rated between 72 and 99 through her recent campaign with a 28.22 Limerick clocking on the books — the fastest career figure in this field. She has been running 550 and 600 metres lately, so this is a drop back in trip, and her last two at the top level read fourth and third. Classy and dangerous, but drawn in a quiet box and hard to predict on the trip switch.
Just three runs on the recent record and only one of them any good — a 28.57 winning clocking at Shelbourne Park. He has not raced since mid-April, and coming back from a three-month absence in the deepest race of the night, from a middling box, is about as tough as re-entries get.
Placed repeatedly in unraced-company outings at Shelbourne and Thurles with a 28.39 best that reads well against most of these. But he has not raced since early May, has never run at Galway, and none of his form is at a named grade. The speed figures are respectable; the absence and the unknowns are the problem.
Key insight: No historical AA0 races at Galway 525m in the database — this grade is unmodelled, so figures shown are the all-grade picture from 3,103 runs: trap 1 best at 21.4%, trap 5 worst at 11.6%, trap 2 quiet at 14.9%, and the fastest dog on the clock wins 27.5% — the strongest single signal at this trip. Confidence is capped accordingly.
T1:21.4% T2:14.9% T3:17.7% T4:19.9% T5:11.6% T6:15.9% (all grades)
3,103 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avenue Queen | 0.542 | 0.551 | — |
| 2 | Magical Fiona | 0.558 | 0.551 | 0.540 |
| 3 | Ballyhoe Natalee | — | 0.548 | 0.545 |
| 4 | Berry On Faya | — | 0.559 | — |
| 5 | Magical Be Nifty | — | 0.551 | — |
| 6 | Glengar Blitz | — | 0.550 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.