Jimmy Flaherty Memorial A2/A3 525 Round 1 Heat 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Eimears Ladyb 2y 14 | Brian Robinson(NI) — 19% R16 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 66 (3) | 71 (3) | 72 (3) | 74 (2) | 86 (1) | 84 (1) | 62 (6) | 67 (2) | 49 (3) | - | 37 | - | 32 | 35 | 71 | 50 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Westwood Jensond 2y 38 | - | - | 48 | - | 75 (2) | 60 (1) | 49 (2) | 50 (2) | 64 (5) | 48 (3) | 46 (2) | 66 (2) | 68 (3) | 66 (3) | 29 | 37 | 18 | 36 | 60 | 44 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hanover Lunab 3y 16 | - | - | 45 | - | 52 (6) | 84 (2) | 72 (3) | 58 (4) | 82 (1) | 68 (3) | 60 (3) | 57 (5) | 79 (1) | 62 (3) | 57 | 28 | 20 | 31 | 67 | 49 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bumblebee Milanb 4y 36 | Paul Burke — 19% R21 W4 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 78 (2) | 70 (4) | 54 (6) | 46 (6) | 89 (1) | 61 (4) | 61 (4) | 82 (1) | 72 (2) | 62 (3) | 45 | 24 | - | 31 | 68 | 47 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Substanceb 3y 14 | - | - | - | - | 71 (3) | 86 (1) | 60 (3) | 61 (5) | 50 (6) | 55 (5) | 86 (1) | 73 (2) | 56 (6) | 62 (4) | 6 | 38 | - | 26 | 67 | 39 | 6 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Beaming Georged 2y 13 | Corona Ryan — 13% R16 W2 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 71 (2) | 66 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | - | - | 40 | 69 | 47 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eimears Lady | 28.95 | 29.23 | 28.80 | 61 | -0.15 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Hanover Luna | 28.96 | 29.53 | 29.38 | 45 | +0.42 | ||
| 4 | Bumblebee Milan | 29.16 | 29.59 | 29.49 | 49 | +0.33 | ||
| 5 | Effernogue Bush | 29.18 | 29.73 | 29.38 | 47 | +0.20 | Won last time | |
| 6 | Beaming George | 29.21 | 29.21 | 29.06 | 56 | -0.15 | 2 career runs | |
| 2 | Westwood Jenson | 29.27 | 29.52 | — | 48 | — | Ex-Hove A8 |
Galway's 525 metres is an inside-biased trip where the red jacket is the place to be — at this grade trap 1 has won better than one in three races, while trap 5 has managed barely one win in twenty and trap 4 struggles too. The clock matters as much as the draw here: across more than three thousand runs at this trip the fastest dog in the field wins better than one in four. That frames this race neatly. Eimears Lady brings the best speed figures in the field to the best box on the track and should be prominent from the traps. Westwood Jenson is sharp early from trap 2 and will try to lead her, but he tends to get caught late. Effernogue Bush arrives on the back of a career-best win but has drawn the graveyard box, while course regulars Hanover Luna and Bumblebee Milan will be thereabouts if the principals falter. Beaming George is the wild card — just two career runs, both good.
The quickest in this field on the clock and drawn in trap 1, the box that wins better than one in three at this grade and trip. Her Limerick form is rock solid — never out of the first three in six starts, with ratings climbing into the mid-80s at her best. This is her first look at Galway and she takes a step up in grade, so the form has to travel, but the combination of the fastest speed figures and the plum draw is the strongest hand in the race.
Won last time out at this course and distance with a career-best rating of 86, and her overall record here is hard to knock — seven runs, two wins and five finishes in the first two. The problem is the draw: trap 5 has been a graveyard at this grade, winning barely one race in twenty. She is good enough to defy it, but history says it is a genuine handicap.
Ran second at this grade here last week — comfortably his best run since arriving from the English circuit, where he was racing at a much lower level at Hove. He is sharp early and will try to make the running, but he tends to weaken in the closing stages, and the leap from Hove's A8 grade to Galway's A2 still asks questions on the balance of his form.
A course and distance regular with nine runs here, two wins, and a rating that peaked at 84 two starts back. She finished sixth last time but had run second and third just before, so the dip reads like one bad night rather than a trend. Solid each-way profile without obviously holding the pace of the faster rivals.
Ten course and distance runs make him one of the most experienced in the race, and he produced a career-best 89-rated run earlier in his campaign. Second at A4 grade last time was encouraging, but he was well beaten on his most recent try at this level and trap 4 has been a poor box at the grade, winning barely one race in nine.
Just two career races, both promising — a win at Limerick in a quick 29.06 for the trip and a second at A3 grade. The second-best speed figures in the field say the engine is real, but two runs tells you very little, and this is a sharp class test on a track he has never seen. Interesting and unexposed, with risk to match.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the dominant box at Galway 525m A2, winning 34.3% from 35 runs, while trap 5 wins just 5.7% and trap 4 only 11.1%. The grade sample is thin (~35 runs per trap) so treat as a lean, but the all-grade picture from 3,103 runs confirms the shape: trap 1 best (21.4%), trap 5 worst (11.6%), and the fastest dog in the field wins 27.5% across all grades.
T1:34.3% T2:19.4% T3:17.1% T4:11.1% T5:5.7% T6:14.7%
211 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 500m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eimears Lady | — | — | 0.556 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Westwood Jenson | — | 0.604 | 0.562 | — | 0.561 | 0.623 |
| 3 | Hanover Luna | — | — | 0.562 | — | 0.568 | — |
| 4 | Bumblebee Milan | — | — | 0.564 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Substance | 0.557 | — | 0.563 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Beaming George | — | — | 0.555 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.