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Jimmy Flaherty Memorial A2/A3 525 Round 1 Heat 4
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hanover Gormd 2y 14 | - | - | 50 | - | 90 (1) | 70 (3) | 71 (2) | 70 (4) | 51 (3) | 82 (1) | 65 (3) | 62 (3) | 70 (3) | 55 (4) | 38 | 23 | - | 40 | 72 | 52 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Glamorous Jetd 1y 24 | - | - | 51 | - | 87 (2) | 76 (3) | 63 (3) | 88 (1) | 58 (4) | 47 (5) | 64 (3) | 70 (1) | 38 (5) | 49 (4) | - | 37 | - | 43 | 69 | 47 | 3 | 5/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Five Alley Chiefd 2yN/R 14 | - | - | 51 | - | 94 (1) | 73 (4) | 94 (1) | 59 (5) | 89 (1) | 57 (5) | 81 (1) | 37 (6) | - | - | 26 | 47 | 40 | 49 | 77 | 53 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Breaghmore Joeysd 2y 24 | - | - | 54 | - | 77 (2) | 73 (3) | 77 (2) | 72 (2) | 57 (5) | 59 (5) | 53 (6) | 59 (5) | 96 (1) | 59 (2) | 39 | 31 | 20 | 38 | 70 | 51 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rozys Wildb 2y 12 | Brian Robinson(NI) — 19% R16 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 71 (2) | 77 (2) | 64 (4) | 53 (5) | 61 (5) | 47 (5) | 77 (1) | 58 (2) | 50 (4) | 49 (4) | 11 | - | - | 20 | 64 | 46 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bells Greetb 3y 35 | Stephen Murray — 14% R28 W4 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | - | 41 (6) | 51 (6) | 60 (6) | 72 (4) | 91 (1) | 88 (1) | 80 (1) | 52 (5) | 70 (2) | 54 (5) | 44 | 32 | 20 | 32 | 63 | 31 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Breaghmore Joeys | 28.92 | 29.28 | 29.02 | 54 | +0.10 | Places, rarely wins | |
| 3 | Five Alley Chief | 28.94 | 29.42 | 29.38 | 51 | +0.44 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Rozys Wild | 28.96 | 29.59 | — | 49 | — | ||
| 1 | Hanover Gorm | 29.09 | 29.46 | 29.29 | 50 | +0.20 | Won last week | |
| 2 | Glamorous Jet | 29.10 | 29.34 | 29.06 | 51 | -0.04 | ||
| 6 | Bells Greet | 29.10 | 29.53 | 28.85 | 32 | -0.25 | Out of form |
Back to graded company, on a trip where trap 1 wins better than one in three at this grade and trap 5 barely one in twenty — and where the fastest dog in the field takes more than one race in four. This is the most competitive graded heat on the card. Five Alley Chief has won at this exact grade and trip twice in the past month and sets the form standard from trap 3. Hanover Gorm, a course winner only last week, gets the coveted red jacket and the track's biggest structural edge. Breaghmore Joeys brings the field's best speed figures but a maddening habit of finishing second, and Glamorous Jet drops from A1 company with form good enough to matter. Four genuine chances — the pick is the proven grade-winner, but nobody should be surprised by any of the quartet.
A two-time winner at this exact grade and trip at Galway within the past month, rated 94 on both occasions — no rival here can match that. Three of his last four course and distance starts have produced two wins, his average rating of 77 is the best in the field, and trap 3 keeps him clear of the early rail scramble. The blot is a fourth at A1 grade in between those wins, but back at this level he is the proven article and sets a standard the others must reach.
Won at A3 grade here last week with a career-best 90-rated run and now gets trap 1, the box that wins better than one in three at this grade. Nine course and distance runs of experience behind him. The step from A3 to A2 is the question — he has not yet won at this level — but momentum plus the track's best draw makes him the clear and present threat.
Ran second at A1 grade last time, rated 87 — on paper the best single piece of recent form in the race bar the selection's. Five course runs have produced two wins and a 29.06 clocking that stands up well here. Dropping from A1 to A2 is a clear positive; a habit of giving the leaders first run is what needs to change for him to win rather than place.
The fastest in the field on speed figures and desperately consistent — second, third, second and second in his last four at A3 grade with a 29.02 course best. The problem is the finishing line: one win in six course starts, and trap 4 has been a poor box at this grade, winning barely one race in nine. Likely to be in the photo without necessarily winning it.
Running well at A4 grade at Dundalk lately with back-to-back seconds, but both his previous Galway visits ended in fifth place, and trap 5 is the weakest box on the track at this grade by a wide margin. This is also a two-grade rise on his recent level. Needs a career best from the worst starting point.
Sixth in each of her last two starts and her ratings have collapsed from the 88-to-91 range down to the 40s and 50s. She was winning at A3 grade earlier in the year with a 28.85 clocking, so genuine ability is in there somewhere, but nothing in the recent book suggests it resurfaces tonight, and her speed figures are now the lowest in the field.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the dominant box at Galway 525m A2, winning 34.3% from 35 runs, while trap 5 wins just 5.7% and trap 4 only 11.1%. The grade sample is thin (~35 runs per trap) so treat as a lean, but the all-grade picture from 3,103 runs confirms the shape: trap 1 best (21.4%), trap 5 worst (11.6%), and the fastest dog in the field wins 27.5% across all grades.
T1:34.3% T2:19.4% T3:17.1% T4:11.1% T5:5.7% T6:14.7%
211 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 350m | 400m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanover Gorm | — | — | — | 0.561 | 0.566 |
| 2 | Glamorous Jet | — | 0.565 | — | 0.555 | 0.565 |
| 3 | Five Alley Chief | — | 0.573 | — | 0.560 | — |
| 4 | Breaghmore Joeys | — | — | — | 0.558 | 0.571 |
| 5 | Rozys Wild | 0.557 | — | 0.549 | 0.564 | — |
| 6 | Bells Greet | — | — | — | 0.561 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.