The fastest dog in the race on ratings and holder of the best 660-metre clocking here at 39.71, with explosive early pace that should have him prominent for a long way. But his only recent look at the trip was a slow solo trial last week, his form has been patchy — third and sixth in his last two real races — and dogs who burn early over 660 metres tend to get swallowed on the run home. Trap 1 is the best box at the trip at 29%, which keeps him firmly on the shortlist despite the doubts.

Has won over this course and distance before — a win and two placings from four tries — and she stays every yard of it. The clock is the problem: her best time is a full second slower than the principals and her speed rating is the lowest in the field by a wide margin. Her sharp-looking 39.85 last trip time came with a handicap start, so it flatters her. The stagger helps again tonight, but the classier dogs should still find her late.

Ran fourth over this trip in open company last week with a solid 39.99 clocking, and his kennel — D Henry, winning 33% at this distance — knows exactly how to place a stayer. But he has drawn trap 4, which has produced just two winners from 59 runs over 660 metres here, barely a 3% strike rate. The numbers at this box are thin enough to call a lean rather than a law, but it is a dreadful lean. A strong-finishing sort likely to be picking up scraps rather than winning.

Sixth in her last two handicap starts, though her spring form — a 72-rated win at A5 and a 100-rated open-class victory — shows the ability is in there somewhere. She is a late runner, which suits the trip on paper, but she is drawn in trap 3, a poor box at 13.6% over this distance, and carries the second-slowest speed rating in the field. Volatile profile: capable of a peak run but showing nothing like it lately.