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Sunday Roast Lunch at Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Confident Josieb 2yREP 110 | J Sutherst — 18% R93 W17 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 28 | 90 (1) | 76 (2) | 86 (1) | 68 (4) | 80 (2) | 83 (1) | 67 (3) | 72 (2) | 72 (3) | 84 (1) | 52 | 53 | 26 | 60 | 79 | 53 | 1 | 13/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Oi Oi Johnb 2yREP 16 | M K Bulmer — 20% R275 W55 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 57 | 78 (2) | 77 (1) | 39 (6) | 80 (6) | 64 (6) | 65 (1) | 32 (3) | 42 (2) | - | - | 40 | 28 | 16 | 39 | 66 | 46 | 2 | 6/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Putya Foot Downd 2yREP 16 | M K Bulmer — 20% R275 W55 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 51 | 62 (3) | 57 (6) | 51 (2) | 65 (3) | 48 (5) | 49 (6) | 84 (1) | 62 (3) | 49 (5) | 44 (5) | 11 | 13 | - | 14 | 58 | 35 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Zari Corab 1yREP 15 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 44 | 73 (3) | 56 (5) | 66 (3) | 22 (1) | 73 (2) | 82 (1) | 79 (1) | 62 (2) | 78 (1) | 62 (3) | 47 | 56 | 10 | 46 | 64 | 46 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Speedy Checkoutb 2yREP 19 | G Strike — 20% R424 W85 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 51 | 84 (1) | 64 (3) | 76 (2) | 80 (1) | 59 (3) | 44 (6) | 58 (5) | 57 (4) | 42 (6) | 62 (2) | 44 | 22 | 40 | 39 | 67 | 44 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Doohoma Rogued 3yREP 19 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 58 (5) | 84 (1) | 60 (4) | 58 (5) | 48 (4) | 78 (1) | 72 (2) | 41 (6) | 70 (2) | 74 (1) | 32 | 32 | - | 33 | 64 | 42 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Confident Josie | 27.51 | 27.78 | 27.51 | 59 | 0.00 | Won LTO, 4 C&D wins | |
| 2 | Oi Oi John | 27.54 | 27.97 | 27.54 | 54 | 0.00 | Leads, can fade | |
| 6 | Doohoma Rogue | 27.57 | 28.02 | 27.91 | 48 | +0.34 | 3 C&D wins | |
| 5 | Speedy Checkout | 27.60 | 28.03 | 27.67 | 50 | +0.07 | Won at A3 LTO | |
| 3 | Putya Foot Down | 27.63 | 28.12 | 27.83 | 46 | +0.20 | Outclassed here | |
| 4 | Zari Cora | 27.84 | 27.97 | 27.74 | 45 | -0.10 | Off since 30 June |
Quality racing over Sunderland's 450 metres, where the long run to a difficult first bend gives the field time to sort itself out before the trouble starts. At A2 grade trap 1 is the best box, winning 21.8% from 239 runs, with trap 2 the weakest at 16.1%. Oi Oi John owns the early pace and the best first-bend figure in the race — he will bowl along in front with Doohoma Rogue chasing him up. But the race revolves around Confident Josie, head and shoulders the best dog on ratings, who gives them a start and runs them down late. If John steals a big enough lead his late weakening may not matter; more likely Josie's class tells up the home straight, with the fresh Zari Cora and improving Speedy Checkout fighting out the frame behind.
Head and shoulders above this field on recent form — her average rating of 79 is a dozen points clear of anything else here, and she won this grade last week with a rated-90 performance no rival has come close to matching. Four wins and seven placings from ten course and distance starts, the fastest in the field on the clock at 27.51, and drawn in trap 1, the best box at this grade. She is slow away and does everything late, normally a real worry at Sunderland, but she has been simply too good for the fade in front of her to matter — and the same script played out perfectly here seven days ago. The clear call.
Won at A3 grade here last week with a rated-84 run and arrives with genuine momentum — three of his last four runs have been rated 76 or better, a trajectory nobody else in the race can match bar the selection. Two wins from ten course and distance starts and versatile enough to race wherever the break puts him. Stepping up to A2 is the test, but he is improving fast enough to pass it, and trap 5 is a fair box at this grade.
The early pace angle: quickest away in the race with the best first-bend figure, and second in this grade here last week with a rated-78 run. He will lead them a merry dance for most of the trip. But he weakens in the closing stages, trap 2 is statistically the worst box at this grade, and the dog most likely to be bearing down on him late is the one none of them have been able to hold. Needs to nick a very big lead.
The weakest of these on ratings with a modest one win from ten course and distance starts. Recent outings in open company have kept him honest and he ran a respectable third in this grade last week, but at this level he keeps finding several too quick — the slowest recent peaks in the field tell the story. Others make far more appeal.
The other course specialist — four wins and six placings from ten course and distance runs and a career win rate of 45%, the best in the race. She finishes powerfully and rarely runs a bad race here, with a rated-73 effort on her latest start. The catch: she has been off since 30 June, the longest absence in the field, and she is the slowest of these on the clock. Freshness is the question; place claims are rock solid regardless.
Hit a rated-84 peak two runs back and owns three wins from ten course and distance starts, so the ability and the course knowledge are both there. Fifth in this grade last week, he races prominently but can weaken late, and he steps out of the box quickly enough to be part of the early scrimmaging. Respectable each-way claims without quite looking the winner against tonight's standard-setter.
Key insight: 1,707 runs at A2 over 450m. Trap 1 best at 21.8%, trap 2 worst at 16.1%. The top grades are where form holds up best at Sunderland — the top-rated dog wins close to one in four here, well clear of the second-rated at 15.7%.
T1:21.8% T2:16.1% T3:16.2% T4:17.4% T5:19.3% T6:19.8%
1,707 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Confident Josie | 28 | 100 | Closer |
2Oi Oi John | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Putya Foot Down | 51 | 46 | All-Rounder |
4Zari Cora | 45 | 69 | Closer |
5Speedy Checkout | 49 | 54 | All-Rounder |
6Doohoma Rogue | 55 | 44 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 400m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Confident Josie | — | — | 0.617 | — |
| 2 | Oi Oi John | 0.610 | 0.621 | 0.622 | 0.606 |
| 3 | Putya Foot Down | — | — | 0.625 | — |
| 4 | Zari Cora | — | — | 0.622 | — |
| 5 | Speedy Checkout | — | — | 0.623 | — |
| 6 | Doohoma Rogue | — | — | 0.623 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.