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The Grandstand Restaurant Packages 325
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Scarborough Faird 5yN/R 24 | Keith Powell — 17% R12 W2 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 83 (2) | 72 (4) | 85 (2) | 76 (3) | 49 (5) | 57 (2) | 42 (6) | 67 (5) | - | - | 8 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 70 | 53 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Coors Pleased 2y 24 | Shaun Conway — 17% R30 W5 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 65 (4) | 79 (2) | 94 (1) | 54 (6) | 78 (2) | 54 (6) | 57 (5) | 67 (5) | 87 (4) | - | - | 30 | - | 41 | 71 | 45 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Twilight Talbotd 2y 34 | - | - | 49 | - | 65 (3) | 45 (1) | 65 (6) | 63 (2) | 34 (1) | 45 (5) | - | - | - | - | 5 | 34 | - | 24 | 55 | 33 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ No More Hooshind 2y 17 | Noel Melia — 50% R4 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 98 (1) | 80 (2) | 94 (1) | 87 (1) | 59 (4) | 74 (3) | 68 (2) | 79 (1) | 67 (3) | 67 (2) | 30 | 58 | 40 | 72 | 81 | 59 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Colins Belld 3y 26 | Fraser Black — 29% R14 W4 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 78 (1) | 60 (3) | 50 (6) | 52 (6) | 68 (2) | 47 (6) | 48 (6) | 67 (4) | - | - | 6 | 5 | - | 21 | 60 | 37 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ This Just Ind 2y 23 | - | - | 48 | - | 63 (5) | 73 (3) | 67 (4) | 47 (6) | 85 (2) | 94 (1) | 73 (4) | 77 (2) | 68 (3) | 85 (1) | 20 | 19 | 11 | - | 71 | 41 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | No More Hooshin | 17.88 | 17.88 | 17.88 | 59 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 1 | Scarborough Fair | 17.89 | 17.98 | 18.06 | 54 | +0.17 | 2nd to pick LTO | |
| 2 | Coors Please | 17.95 | 18.20 | 18.18 | 47 | +0.23 | T2: 0 S1 wins | |
| 5 | Colins Bell | 17.98 | 18.18 | 18.04 | 49 | +0.06 | Won S5 LTO | |
| 3 | Twilight Talbot | 18.02 | 18.19 | 18.02 | 49 | 0.00 | Up from S2 | |
| 6 | This Just In | 18.07 | 18.10 | 18.13 | 48 | +0.06 | Best trap |
The best sprint race of the night, and Newbridge's 325m trap pattern is stark at this top S1 grade: traps 4 and 6 have won more than a third of these races apiece, trap 2 has won none at all from fourteen tries, and the rail is nearly as cold. The top-rated dog converts at a healthy 36% at this grade — one of the few conditions here where the figures can be trusted. Every signal in this race lands on the same dog: No More Hooshin is the fastest on the clock at 17.88, holds the best form average by a full ten points, has won three of his four starts at this course and distance including a near-perfect performance last time out at this grade, is drawn in trap 4 — one of the two golden boxes — and comes from the meeting's form kennel. Scarborough Fair has been running him close and gets first run from the rail if the break goes her way, while Coors Please has top-grade pace but is stuck in the box that has literally never won an S1 sprint here. The shape is simple: if No More Hooshin breaks anywhere near level, he wins.
The banker on the card. He won at this grade last time with a near-flawless 98-rated performance, has won three of his four starts at this course and distance, and his 17.88 best is the fastest time in the field. His form average sits a full ten points clear of anything else here, built on a summer of beating exactly this calibre of sprinter. He's drawn in trap 4 — which wins more than a third of S1 sprints at this track — and Noel Melia's runners have been winning at a third all season. Every measurable signal points the same way; anything but a bad break and he is very hard to beat.
Chased home the selection at this grade last time with the best run of her career, and her recent form line — second, fourth, second at S1 and S0 level — is that of a genuine top-grade sprinter knocking on the door. She's a length off the pick on best time but quicker than everything else, and if she can use the rail to get first run while he's finding his stride, she's the one capable of making a race of it. Four course and distance runs without a win is the nagging doubt.
A high-class sprinter on his day — he ran a 94-rated career best when winning at S2 in May and has two wins and four places from eight starts at this course and distance. But the draw is a horror: trap 2 has never won an S1 sprint here in fourteen attempts, and his last run was a fourth at S2 where he was sent off a warm favourite. Shaun Conway's 20% strike rate keeps him respectable, but history says this box kills top-grade sprint chances stone dead.
Steps up from S2, where he's been competitive without dominating — third last time, a win the run before, and two wins from five course and distance starts overall. That's honest sprint form, but his best time leaves him three lengths shy of the pick and he now meets the strongest sprinters at the track from trap 3, which wins fewer than one in twelve S1 races here. The step up looks half a grade too far.
Arrives off a career-best 78-rated win at S5 — but that's four grades below tonight's company, and this is a steep rise in class on the back of one good night. His 17.98 best time is respectable without being threatening, and one win from four course and distance starts is a fair rather than compelling record. Fraser Black's 25% strike rate and an improving profile earn respect; the level of tonight's opposition is the problem.
Draws the single best box at this grade — trap 6 wins nearly four in ten S1 sprints here — and his 94-rated win at S2 last year shows what he's capable of at his best. The trouble is the recent evidence: fifth, third and fourth in his last three at S0 with ratings drifting downward, and no win in two course and distance attempts. The draw gives him a squeak if he fires fresh; the current form says he'll need the leaders to falter.
Key insight: Trap 2 has won zero of 14 S1 sprints here and trap 3 just 7.7% — while traps 4 (35.7%) and 6 (38.5%) hoover up the wins. The top-rated dog converts at 35.7% at this grade, so when the figures and the draw agree, as they do tonight, that is a rare stacked signal at this track.
T1:15.4% T2:0% T3:7.7% T4:35.7% T5:14.3% T6:38.5%
81 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 325m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 325m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (325m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 350m | 400m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scarborough Fair | 0.552 | 0.548 | 0.538 | 0.557 |
| 2 | Coors Please | 0.554 | 0.553 | — | — |
| 3 | Twilight Talbot | 0.556 | — | — | 0.576 |
| 4 | No More Hooshin | 0.547 | — | — | 0.560 |
| 5 | Colins Bell | 0.556 | 0.564 | — | 0.563 |
| 6 | This Just In | 0.557 | 0.542 | 0.545 | 0.554 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.