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The July Unraced ON2/ON3 525 Semi-Final
Model does not predict this race
Novice/Open (ON) grade races at Irish tracks are not predicted — insufficient model signal for this grade format
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Black Daimlerd 1y 1 | Eric Thorpe — 33% R3 W1 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 30 | - | 30 | - | 20 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Pennys Emberb 1y | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Pickoftheparishb 2y 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Razldazl Rumib 1y | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Pennys Voltageb 1y | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 18 | - | 18 | - | 12 | 5 | 4/5 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Katies Cruised 1y | Shaun Conway — 17% R30 W5 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 2 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Daimler | No race form — first start, no comparable times. | — | Debutant | ||||
| 2 | Pennys Ember | No race form — first start, no comparable times. | — | Debutant | ||||
| 3 | Pickoftheparish | No race form — first start, no comparable times. | — | Debutant | ||||
| 4 | Razldazl Rumi | No race form — first start, no comparable times. | — | Debutant | ||||
| 5 | Pennys Voltage | No race form — first start, no comparable times. | — | Debutant | ||||
| 6 | Katies Cruise | No race form — first start, no comparable times. | — | Debutant | ||||
Newbridge's 525m trip is a speed-first test where the clock usually matters more than the draw — across nearly 2,000 runs the boxes are fairly even, with traps 3 and 4 marginally best at around 18% and traps 2 and 5 the ones to avoid at 12-13%. Tonight, though, the clock tells us nothing: this is a novice event and all six runners are making their first start, with no published trials to lean on. That makes it a race about breeding, schooling and stable intent. Katies Cruise comes from the yard with the only meaningful strike rate among the named trainers and gets a clear run from the wide box, which is often a blessing for a green dog who might otherwise get swallowed up in first-bend traffic. Razldazl Rumi has the classiest page in the racecard from a good middle draw. Treat the whole race as a guessing game and bet accordingly.
An August 2024 dog by Lotto Other News, and the one runner here with a meaningful stable signal behind him: Shaun Conway's runners have been winning at twenty percent — five wins from twenty-five recent starts — which is comfortably the best strike rate among the named trainers in this race. The wide draw is a friend to a first starter, offering a clear run to the bend away from the scrimmaging that catches out green dogs inside. In a race where nobody has run a competitive yard, stable form and a safe passage are the best handles available — but make no mistake, this is a speculative call in a genuine lottery.
The classiest page in the race — by Droopys Scolari, one of the most reliable sires of pace and track sense around, out of Forest Willow, and carrying the famous Razldazl prefix of a breeding operation that rarely wastes a name on a slow one. Trap 4 has been one of the two best boxes over this trip. If the pedigree translates on the night, she's the one most likely to spring a surprise against the pick.
A September 2024 dog by Orchestrate making his debut from the rail. First starters drawn inside can get crowded out if they don't break smartly, and with nothing on the clock to suggest he's an early-paced type, that's a real risk. His trainer has had just one recent runner here without success. Impossible to assess with confidence — one to watch rather than back.
A young bitch by Ballymac Vic out of Pennys Jetstream, whelped November 2024, so she's one of the babies of the race at around twenty months. The Pennys prefix has two runners on this card, which usually signals a kennel bringing its youngsters through together. Trap 2 has been the second-worst box over this trip here, and with no trial times published there is nothing concrete to hang a bet on.
By Ballymac Cashout out of Bower Pick, a July 2024 whelp making her first start. She draws trap 3, which has been the best single box over this trip across nearly 2,000 runs — a small structural edge in a race where edges are desperately hard to find. If she has been schooled to break with the lids, the draw gives her every chance of a clean first bend. Pure guesswork beyond that.
The youngest dog on the card — a January 2025 whelp by Sober Glory who is barely eighteen months old. Very young debutants can be green as grass, and she's drawn in trap 5, the worst box over this trip here by the numbers. The kennel clearly thinks enough of her to start her, but everything measurable points the wrong way tonight. Watch and learn for next time.
Key insight: Barely any ON2 novice races have been run here, so the draw figures come from nearly 2,000 runs across all 525m grades: traps 3 and 4 are marginally best at 18%, traps 2 and 5 weakest at 12-13%. With a field of unraced dogs, breeding, trainer strike rate and draw are the only handles.
T1:17.1% T2:13.0% T3:18.2% T4:18.1% T5:12.4% T6:17.7% (all grades, 1932 runs)
1,932 condition runs
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.