Summer Family Night Out Deal 325
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Home Bridgetb 2y 13 | - | - | 50 | - | 48 (3) | 51 (3) | 37 (5) | 46 (6) | 43 (3) | 23 (5) | 39 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 43 | 25 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Nametab Horusd 2y 35 | Geoff Bateman — 0% R9 W0 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 52 (2) | 36 (5) | 44 (3) | 44 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | - | - | - | 44 | 22 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mr Predictabled 1y 21 | - | - | 62 | - | 57 (2) | 43 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | 13 | - | 18 | 51 | 21 | 5 | 5/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Blacktrench Olld 3y 23 | - | - | 50 | - | 51 (5) | 63 (3) | 61 (6) | 54 (3) | 38 (2) | 52 (4) | 47 (3) | 34 (4) | 58 (5) | - | 2 | 22 | 10 | 17 | 52 | 32 | 2 | 5/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ryndville Amyb 2y 32 | - | - | 6 | - | 43 (4) | 33 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | - | - | - | 38 | 18 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fix The Clutchd 2y 25 | Margaret Bolton — 22% R18 W4 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | - | 40 (6) | 59 (3) | 55 (5) | 53 (4) | 43 (6) | 59 (3) | 52 (5) | 56 (4) | 58 (3) | 57 (3) | 6 | - | - | - | 55 | 14 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mr Predictable | 18.11 | 18.11 | 18.11 | 62 | 0.00 | Only 2 career runs | |
| 6 | Fix The Clutch | 18.12 | 18.12 | 18.12 | 62 | 0.00 | Down from A5 | |
| 4 | Blacktrench Oll | 18.16 | 18.48 | 18.41 | 50 | +0.25 | 1 win from 4 C&D | |
| 1 | Home Bridget | 18.28 | 18.46 | 18.28 | 50 | 0.00 | Worst trap | |
| 2 | Nametab Horus | 18.53 | 18.53 | 18.53 | 41 | 0.00 | 525m form lately | |
| 5 | Ryndville Amy | 19.25 | 19.25 | 19.25 | 6 | 0.00 | 1s+ off the pace |
Newbridge's 325m sprint punishes the rail hard — trap 1 wins barely one in twenty across 434 sprint runs here, with trap 3 the pick of the boxes at just over one in five and the middle-to-wide draws generally doing the damage. Only a couple of dozen S6 races have been run at this trip, so treat any grade-specific trap pattern as a lean rather than gospel. This race boils down to a straight fight between the two fastest dogs. Fix The Clutch has been racing A5 company over 525m — much stronger opposition than tonight's — and owns the best form average in the field, but he hasn't won in ten visible starts. Mr Predictable matches him on the clock from the better draw, was second at odds-on on his only sprint start here, and is clearly unexposed after just two career runs. Ryndville Amy is over a second slower than the principals and the shape of the race should see the front two go clear early.
Has spent the past two months racing A5 company over 525m — significantly stronger opposition than tonight's bottom-grade sprint — and drops back to the trip where he clocked 18.12 in June, joint-fastest in this field. His form average is the best in the race and he's placed in three of his last six despite the class. The glaring hole is that he hasn't won in ten visible starts, which is why this is a cautious vote rather than a confident one: the class edge and the clock say he should be winning this, and Margaret Bolton's runners win a solid one in four. If he ever finds the line first, it's in a race like this.
Just two career runs, so treat his numbers as promise rather than proof — but the promise is real. Second at odds-on over this course and distance on his latest start, he matches the pick on raw time and holds the fastest sprint rating in the field, all from trap 3, the best-performing box across Newbridge sprints. A young dog improving past exposed rivals is the classic S6 plot, and if he breaks level he could simply be too quick. The bare two-run sample is the only thing stopping him being the pick.
Third in her last two starts at S7, the grade below this, and her recent form is all at sprint trips after an unsuccessful spell over 525m last summer. She's honest but winless in eight visible runs, sits mid-pack on the clock, and has drawn trap 1 — the box that wins barely one sprint in twenty at this track. Everything about her says minor honours at best.
Ran his best recent race last time — second at A7 over 525m — but that's stayers' form, and his two previous cracks at this course and distance produced nothing. He is comfortably the second-slowest here on sprint times, four lengths or more behind the principals on the clock. The switch back to sprinting looks a placement of hope rather than expectation.
The most experienced course and distance dog here — four runs at this exact trip with a win among them — and he arrives dropping from S5, a grade above tonight. His recent form is patchy, fifth at S5 last time after a run of thirds and placed efforts, and his average times lag a couple of lengths behind his own best. Solid each-way claims from a fair middle draw, but he needs to recapture his June form to win.
Only two career runs, fourth at A7 over 525m and last in a novice event before that, and her single sprint time here is more than a full second slower than the leading pair — that's eight or nine lengths on the clock. She's a baby with time to improve, but tonight the arithmetic is unforgiving. The wide-ish draw at least keeps her out of trouble early.
Key insight: Only 22 S6 races exist in the data, far too few to trust, so the draw figures above come from all 434 sprint runs: trap 1 is a graveyard at 5.6%, trap 3 best at 21.6%. Speed and ratings leaders win at similar clips (22-23%), so the clock and the draw together are the best guide.
T1:5.6% T2:14.7% T3:21.6% T4:16.4% T5:21.4% T6:18.6% (all sprint grades, 434 runs)
434 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 325m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 325m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (325m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 350m | 400m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Home Bridget | 0.568 | 0.564 | — | 0.586 |
| 2 | Nametab Horus | 0.570 | — | — | 0.584 |
| 3 | Mr Predictable | 0.557 | 0.569 | — | — |
| 4 | Blacktrench Oll | 0.569 | 0.571 | 0.548 | — |
| 5 | Ryndville Amy | — | — | — | 0.588 |
| 6 | Fix The Clutch | — | 0.557 | — | 0.569 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.