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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ No Dangerd 3yREP 23 | K Hodson — 16% R282 W46 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 41 | 40 (4) | 47 (5) | 65 (3) | 56 (3) | 70 (2) | 48 (4) | 44 (5) | 51 (4) | 43 (6) | 57 (3) | 28 | 27 | 17 | 13 | 52 | 38 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Catunda Tysond 2yREP 9 | S Naylor — 17% R75 W13 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 57 | 62 (2) | 47 (4) | 60 (3) | 51 (4) | 72 (1) | 54 (2) | 56 (2) | 49 (2) | 53 (3) | - | 49 | 32 | 15 | 31 | 57 | 52 | 2 | 4/5F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lowgate Jackd 2yN/R 6 | J E Hayton — 13% R24 W3 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 54 | 35 (6) | 64 (2) | 60 (3) | 62 (3) | 74 (1) | 60 (2) | 74 (1) | 69 (2) | 37 (5) | 59 (2) | 48 | 43 | 36 | 39 | 58 | 48 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Teasys Petb 3yREP 17 | C W Brown — 25% R36 W9 P24 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 42 | 48 (5) | 57 (3) | 61 (2) | 62 (5) | 37 (6) | 61 (4) | 51 (4) | 76 (1) | 74 (1) | 67 (1) | 2 | 47 | 9 | 33 | 57 | 47 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dance Loveeb 1yREP 6 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 53 | 50 (4) | 46 (4) | 54 (4) | 42 (5) | 72 (1) | 59 (2) | 55 (3) | 55 (2) | 50 (4) | 55 (2) | - | 38 | 3 | 28 | 53 | 48 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Acomb Billyd 3yN/RREP 9 | K J Ferguson — 36% R42 W15 P35 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 45 (6) | 71 (1) | 52 (3) | 68 (1) | 67 (2) | 57 (2) | 61 (3) | 52 (4) | 67 (1) | 53 (3) | 52 | 36 | 19 | 43 | 59 | 51 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tip Top Peaky | 29.25 | 29.72 | 30.34 | 73 | +1.09 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Swift Agenda | 29.85 | 30.29 | 30.68 | 49 | +0.83 | Sliding grades | |
| 2 | Fearsome Dancer | 29.94 | 30.15 | 30.09 | 56 | +0.15 | 0 wins from 10 | |
| 5 | Veronicasfantasy | 30.20 | 30.62 | 30.84 | 35 | +0.64 | Worst trap 13.6% | |
| 6 | Farout Trio | 30.41 | 30.41 | 30.41 | 41 | 0.00 | Sprinter stepping up |
Sheffield's 500-metre trip has a longer run to the first bend than the 480, making it one of the fairer tests at this track — dogs held up early are not buried the way they are over shorter. At A6 the box stats favour trap 2 (23.1% from 308 runs) while trap 5 is the graveyard at 13.6%, and crucially the fastest dog at these conditions wins 27.9% — the strongest signal available. That fastest dog is Tip Top Peaky, who is also the top-rated runner, drawn on the rail. He does his best work late, which this trip accommodates. Fearsome Dancer from the favoured trap 2 will race prominently and keeps hitting the frame, so the likely shape is Peaky reeling in the consistent front-half runners in the closing stages.
The class of the race by any measure you choose. His speed rating of 73 is seventeen points clear of the next dog, his 29.25 best time is over half a second faster than anything else here, and he has won four of ten course-and-distance starts — a 40% local strike rate. He drops to A6 from A4 and A3 company, where he won two starts back with a 78-rated run, all of it in honest graded racing. He finished only fourth here last time, but that is the lone blemish in a profile that dominates this field: strongest recent form, fastest clock, best course record, and a late-running style this fairer 500-metre trip rewards.
The second-best dog in the race on ratings and drawn in trap 2, statistically the best box at this grade and trip at 23.1%. Her consistency is machine-like — she ran second in three straight A6 races earlier this summer and rarely finishes out of the frame. But the record shows no wins in ten course-and-distance attempts, a bridesmaid habit that is hard to ignore when the money is down. Best placed of these to profit if the selection is slow into stride again, and a rock-solid forecast anchor either way.
Sliding down the grades after a string of defeats at A4 and A5, and third in this grade last time — competitive without ever threatening the winner. Two wins from ten course-and-distance runs and a fair middle draw, but his last run was more than eight lengths off his best time and his ratings have been drifting the wrong way for months. His peak runs earlier this year would make him competitive, so he is not hopeless — but others are in better order.
Won at A7 two starts back with a 61-rated run, her best in months, but this is a tougher assignment and her numbers are the weakest here — the slowest best time in the field and the lowest speed rating by some margin. Most of her recent racing has been in handicaps rather than level-break company. She would need several to falter, and she has drawn the worst box on the card for this grade.
A sprinter stepping up in trip — nearly all his recent form is over Sheffield's 280 metres in D3 company, where he won two of his last six. His single previous 500-metre run produced a respectable fourth, so the distance is not a proven blank, but one run tells you very little and his early pace figures are the weakest in the race. Strong-finishing types can relish the step up; equally, the extra two bends may find him out. Watch once, bet later.
Key insight: The fastest dog wins 27.9% from 566 runs at this grade and trip — comfortably the best signal, well clear of the top-rated dog's 22.2%. Trap 2 leads the boxes at 23.1%; trap 5 collapses to 13.6%.
T1:20.7% T2:23.1% T3:21.7% T4:22.6% T5:13.6% T6:16.0%
1,845 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1No Danger | 50 | 48 | All-Rounder |
2Catunda Tyson | 48 | 56 | Closer |
3Lowgate Jack | 60 | 16 | Fader |
4Teasys Pet | 43 | 80 | Closer |
5Dance Lovee | 57 | 31 | Fader |
6Acomb Billy | 50 | 52 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No Danger | — | 0.603 |
| 2 | Catunda Tyson | — | 0.602 |
| 4 | Teasys Pet | 0.589 | 0.599 |
| 5 | Dance Lovee | — | 0.602 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.