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Abbeyfeale/Knocknagoshel/Brosna Stakes Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Saleen Belleb 1y 4 | Patrick O'Connor — 21% R34 W7 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 75 | - | 78 (1) | 54 (3) | 36 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 25 | 30 | 30 | 58 | 58 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Knocknaboul Brisb 2y 5 | - | - | 46 | - | 61 (2) | 49 (4) | 60 (3) | 50 (2) | 48 (3) | 44 (5) | 49 (3) | 28 (6) | 44 (4) | 34 (5) | 10 | 18 | 11 | 19 | 50 | 40 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cushie Buckod 1y 4 | - | - | 40 | - | 51 (3) | 63 (2) | 67 (1) | 44 (5) | 65 (1) | 48 (4) | 36 (5) | 40 (5) | 62 (6) | - | 23 | 33 | 10 | 36 | 54 | 41 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Confident Vickyb 1y 4 | - | - | - | - | 75 (2) | 39 (6) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 56 | 44 | 6 | 1/1f | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Metric Sparkd 2y 34 | - | - | 52 | - | 62 (3) | 46 (4) | 51 (4) | 54 (3) | 37 (5) | 53 (3) | 51 (4) | 55 (5) | 67 (2) | 51 (4) | - | 14 | - | - | 52 | 37 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dromtrasna Buckod 1y 14 | - | - | 39 | - | 79 (1) | 60 (4) | 36 (5) | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 25 | 10 | 27 | 58 | 41 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saleen Belle | 29.01 | 29.01 | 29.01 | 75 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Knocknaboul Bris | 29.29 | 30.05 | — | 46 | — | 0 wins from 10 | |
| 5 | Metric Spark | 29.36 | 29.61 | — | 52 | — | 0 from 2 C&D | |
| 3 | Cushie Bucko | 29.48 | 30.05 | 29.84 | 40 | +0.36 | 3 C&D wins | |
| 6 | Dromtrasna Bucko | 29.73 | 29.73 | 28.77 | 39 | -0.96 | Won semi | |
| 4 | Confident Vicky | No 525 form on record — times not comparable. | — | No times here | ||||
Tralee's 525 trip at A6 grade is about as fair a draw as you'll find in Ireland — trap 6 (16.1%) and trap 1 (15.5%) are marginally the best boxes from 869 runs, with trap 2 the one to be wary of at just 10.2%. What genuinely separates dogs here is the clock: the fastest dog in the field wins nearly three in ten at this grade, comfortably the strongest signal at this track, while the top-rated dog on overall figures converts at a more modest one in five. This is the final of the Abbeyfeale/Knocknagoshel/Brosna Stakes and all six came through last week's semi-finals. Saleen Belle and Dromtrasna Bucko both won their heats and set the two best ratings of the round, so the race shape is a straight duel between the rails and the wide box, with course specialist Cushie Bucko lurking if the front two take each other on too hard.
Won her semi-final last week in 29.01, comfortably the fastest time any of these has recorded over this course and distance, and she keeps the rails box for the final. Only three career runs — all at this level or schooling company, none of them trials — so she remains lightly proven, but the curve is steeply upward: a modest debut, then a 54-rated run, then a 78-rated win inside a month. At a grade where the quickest dog on the clock wins nearly three in ten, being the field's clear pacesetter from a decent draw is a very strong hand.
Won his semi-final with a 79 — the single best rating of the round — and has a course and distance win among his four starts here. All recent form at this level with no trials. His Tralee clock (29.73 best) doesn't match Saleen Belle's, though he has gone quicker over 525 elsewhere, and trap 6 has been the pick of the boxes at this grade. The obvious and biggest threat to the selection.
Runner-up in her semi-final with a 61-rated run, and her last three starts at this A6 level have been her best work after stepping up from A8 company. Honest and consistent, but ten runs over this course and distance without a win — two places — tells its own story, and trap 2 has been the weakest box at this grade. More likely to be staying on for a minor spot than troubling the front two.
The course specialist of the final — three wins and four places from ten runs over this course and distance, the best strike rate in the race. All recent form is at A6 and A7 level with no trials. Only third in his semi last week, and his ratings bounce around, but a recent peak of 67 shows what he can do on a going day. If the two semi-final winners take lumps out of each other early, he is the one most likely to pick up the pieces.
Ran a career-best 75 when second in her semi-final, a big step up from two modest open-novice runs beforehand. Just three career races and no recorded times over this course and distance to measure her by, so she's the wildcard of the final — clearly improving fast, but you're guessing how much more is in the tank against dogs with established course form.
Third in his semi with a 62-rated effort, his best run yet, but five of his six starts before that were at schooling level rather than graded company, so his figures are built on softer races. No first-two finish from two course and distance starts and a mid-pack 29.36 best time. Needs another step forward again in a final that contains two in-form semi winners.
Key insight: Speed is king at this grade — the fastest dog in the field wins 29.4% (119 runs), well clear of the top overall rating at 21.1%. Trap bias is mild: T6 16.1% best, T2 10.2% worst.
T1:15.5% T2:10.2% T3:15.0% T4:14.3% T5:12.0% T6:16.1%
869 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saleen Belle | 0.559 | 0.569 |
| 2 | Knocknaboul Bris | — | 0.572 |
| 3 | Cushie Bucko | — | 0.572 |
| 4 | Confident Vicky | — | 0.562 |
| 5 | Metric Spark | 0.565 | 0.564 |
| 6 | Dromtrasna Bucko | — | 0.564 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.