| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Limanib 3y 15 | P Tsirigotis — 20% R56 W11 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 19 (6) | 27 (4) | 33 (3) | 35 (2) | 30 (5) | 32 (5) | 39 (3) | 37 (1) | 29 (2) | 20 (6) | 52 | 36 | 42 | 39 | 28 | 33 | 4 | 2/1F | |
| 2 | ▶ Rheas Choiceb 3y 16 | D D Porter — 17% R525 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 26 (6) | 22 (6) | 41 (1) | 31 (3) | 26 (5) | 31 (4) | 31 (4) | 29 (3) | 29 (3) | 27 (6) | 38 | 35 | 37 | 35 | 30 | 32 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Mikaylab 2y 37 | J M Liles — 19% R425 W79 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 20 (6) | 49 (5) | 65 (2) | 31 (2) | 26 (3) | 34 (5) | 47 (5) | 34 (6) | 71 (1) | 36 (6) | 57 | 49 | 30 | 61 | 46 | 49 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballinabola Chipd 3y 5 | R Jones — 12% R17 W2 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 22 (6) | 32 (4) | 37 (1) | 26 (4) | 34 (2) | 27 (4) | 28 (4) | 19 (6) | 20 (5) | 38 (1) | 47 | 39 | 30 | 38 | 27 | 32 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Grafton Sassb 3y 16 | H J Dimmock — 19% R170 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (4) | 21 (6) | 28 (4) | 31 (2) | 24 (5) | 33 (2) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 34 (2) | 35 (1) | 43 | 42 | 38 | 64 | 32 | 38 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bay City Indyb 3y 27 | D D Porter — 17% R525 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 9 (6) | 22 (3) | 28 (2) | 25 (3) | 24 (4) | 24 (4) | 24 (3) | 27 (3) | 24 (3) | 23 (5) | 27 | 23 | 15 | 23 | 37 | 33 | 6 | 6/1 | |
Droopys Mikayla is the pick with the highest composite (49) in the field by a clear margin, reflecting the best combined ratings across performance, suitability, and speed. Track suitability 49 and distance suitability 61 are both the highest in the field — this dog has clearly established form at Towcester D3 at this distance. The last open D3 run showed reasonable pace data (EP 46, CS 25, All-Rounder) which is a functional profile for a 270m sprint — EP 46 keeps the dog in the race early. T3 wins 21.41% from 355 runs — a solid structural position backed by a large sample. Trainer J M Liles at 22% is a moderate-awareness signal. The concern is the trial warning on the most recent race (trial 1st in 16.22s) and the poor A-grade form before that (5th A5, 5th A4, 6th A4). Those A-grade failures at higher company should be discounted — D3 grade is significantly easier and the dog has the suitability scores to confirm it performs well at this level. The trial win in 16.22s is a quick time. In a LOW SEPARATION race, Droopys Mikayla's highest composite and suitability scores are the deciding factors, with the structural T3 draw (21.41%) providing solid support.
Best structural draw in this race, decent trap suitability, two recent 2nd places. But LOW SEPARATION means this narrow structural advantage is contested by T2-T4. Flat form and weak trainer limit expectations. Could win in a low-grade sprint.
Good draw (T2, 22.73%) and decent speed but very weak trainer (10%) and inconsistent recent form. The structural positive is real but the trainer negative is difficult to overcome.
Previous D3 win shows genuine sprint ability but trainer 0% is an overriding negative. Recent form has declined post that win. Hard to support despite the draw.
Dead draw (T5, 13.55% from 310 runs) is the overriding negative despite being the second-rated runner. Good distance suitability cannot overcome the structural headwind in a 270m sprint. Hard to support.
Dead draw, Closer at sprint distance, weak trainer, declining form. No positive signals. Oppose.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 22.58% vs R3 at 17.97% — 4.61pp gap, below the 5pp threshold. Ratings offer minimal predictive value. Structural priority: T5 and T6 are dead from very large samples. T1-T4 are all competitive. In this grade, draw position (inside/outside) and suitability should lead, with performance ratings as tiebreakers.
T1:23.15% T2:22.73% T3:21.41% T4:20.65% T5:13.55% T6:13.64%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.