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Towcester Saturday 28th March 2026 Afternoon PGR Meeting
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jackies Herob 4y 25 | A Welch — 15% R313 W47 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 47 | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 28 (6) | 30 (6) | 42 (5) | 67 (1) | 48 (3) | 49 (2) | 45 (4) | 50 (3) | 36 | 41 | 36 | 36 | 46 | 43 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballyclearyflashd 3y 15 | D D Porter — 17% R522 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 48 | 37 (3) | 25 (5) | 39 (5) | 50 (2) | 35 (5) | 37 (5) | 43 (4) | 33 (5) | 40 (5) | 59 (1) | 42 | 37 | - | 41 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 10/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ League Ofhis Ownd 4y 25 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 50 (3) | 56 (3) | 61 (1) | 51 (2) | 60 (2) | 54 (3) | 36 (6) | 48 (4) | 51 (4) | 49 (4) | 42 | 49 | 45 | 53 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lamorna Marleyb 3y 16 | A D Scott — 15% R39 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 34 | 37 (5) | 35 (6) | 51 (4) | 73 (3) | 66 (5) | 67 (5) | 83 (3) | 54 (6) | 46 (4) | 51 (2) | 25 | 33 | 24 | 33 | 57 | 48 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Makeit Rupertd 1yN/R 23 | F J Gray — 20% R351 W70 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 75 | 30 (2) | 30 (4) | 53 (3) | 41 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 73 | - | 25 | 47 | 42 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fifis Ladd 3y 19 | D D Porter — 17% R522 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 62 | 71 (1) | 71 (3) | 59 (2) | 56 (2) | 52 (4) | 68 (5) | 53 (4) | 50 (4) | 72 (1) | 55 (3) | 17 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 52 | 38 | 2 | 4/7F | |
League Ofhis Own is the pick and the data builds a credible case for it. The form trajectory of P61→P41→P56→P60→P52 (newest to oldest) shows consistent mid-50s to low-60s performances at A6 and A7 grade, with a win last time out at A7 (P61, position 1st in 30.12s on 22 March) that shows the engine is in good working order. This is a pure Closer — EP 38, CS 93 — which is an excellent profile for 500m Towcester's galloping layout. The long run-to-line at Towcester gives late-running dogs time to close, and a CS of 93 is the highest in the field by a significant margin. Track suitability of 49 and distance suitability of 53 are both strong, confirming this dog has genuine established form at Towcester over 500m. Speed 52 is mid-pack. T3 sits in a slightly below-neutral structural position at 17.11% — not a dead trap but not a structural tailwind either. The composite rank 1 wins 22.57% at these conditions, giving the highest-rated dog a genuine edge. Trainer P V Swadden at 22% is moderate — not a flag either way. The main risk is that Fifis Lad from T6 leads throughout and the pace doesn't collapse enough for a CS-93 closer to get through. But at 500m, faders tend to tire.
Best speed and bend in the field, recent fast time of 29.74s, and leads early. But Fader at 500m Towcester faces a real challenge from the pure closers. Main danger but vulnerable to League Ofhis Own if the closing speed is there.
Reverting to A6 after two poor A5 runs gives Jackies Hero a chance, but the trainer at 16% and flat speed rating make her hard to support. Monitor — not dangerous enough to oppose the pick.
Encouraging A7 form but the class step up to A6 combined with the weakest speed (33) in the field and a weak trainer makes Ballyclearyflash hard to support. Not a danger on this occasion.
Highest perf in field but form is misleadingly inflated by staying race performances. Both recent A6 runs have been poor and the EP 0, bend 34 profile is a significant concern. The dominant T4 draw cannot compensate for two poor A6 runs and the worst bend rating in the field. Hard to support.
Critical trial warning overrides most other data points. Cannot be assessed reliably for open competition. Fader profile at 500m is a significant concern even if the form was solid. Oppose.
T4 is mildly dominant at 23.83% from 214 runs but Lamorna Marley's form at A6 is very poor (6th, 4th). Speed rank 1 wins 27.31% — the fastest dog in field matters significantly at this trip. Composite rank 1 wins 22.57% — normal predictive separation.
T1:21.59% T2:19% T3:17.11% T4:23.83% T5:16.59% T6:19.77%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jackies Hero | 50 | 61 | Closer |
2Ballyclearyflash | 50 | 36 | All-Rounder |
3League Ofhis Own | 38 | 93 | Closer |
4Lamorna Marley | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Makeit Rupert | 71 | 0 | Fader |
6Fifis Lad | 58 | 39 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.