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Saturday 28th March 2026
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tinnock Shebab 2y 26 | P Singlewood — 20% R124 W25 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 46 | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 50 (5) | 78 (1) | 74 (1) | 56 (4) | 72 (1) | 69 (1) | - | - | 47 | 60 | - | 43 | 66 | 60 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Velvet Blackd 3y 5 | J J Fenwick — 19% R498 W96 P285 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 39 | 66 (3) | 73 (3) | 62 (4) | 47 (5) | 66 (4) | 85 (1) | 70 (3) | 67 (4) | 74 (3) | 76 (2) | 41 | 47 | 50 | 33 | 67 | 58 | 5 | 5/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Wipe The Slateb 1y 17 | C L Hardy — 19% R212 W41 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 83 | 93 (1) | 75 (2) | 80 (2) | 93 (1) | 64 (4) | 91 (1) | 85 (1) | 68 (2) | 71 (4) | 51 (5) | 38 | 31 | - | 37 | 62 | 53 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Alnwick Nidged 3y 7 | A Harrison — 20% R517 W101 P312 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 64 | 78 (2) | 87 (6) | 58 (1) | 87 (3) | 65 (1) | 32 (3) | 34 (3) | 82 (4) | 15 (1) | - | 41 | 45 | 48 | 40 | 60 | 54 | 2 | 7/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Solway Ernied 2y 8 | D Little — 21% R107 W23 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 77 (1) | 60 (4) | 67 (4) | 51 (2) | 57 (5) | 62 (4) | 75 (3) | 83 (2) | 71 (1) | - | 32 | 35 | 31 | 35 | 68 | 56 | 3 | 5/2 | |
Tinnock Sheba leads the composite at 60 with the field's best track suitability (60) and trainer P Singlewood who strikes at 36% — a strong-tier signal. Drawn in T1 which is structurally advantaged at 21.09% from 256 runs, the second-best trap at these conditions. Her All-Rounder profile (EP 48, CS 50) is ideally suited to Newcastle's fair layout — she won't be last but won't over-commit early. The form is mixed: P5 last time at A3, but before that P1 at A4 and P1 at A5 — she's proven she can win but not consistently at A3. Pace consistency of 88 is excellent, meaning she'll reliably run her race. The 36% trainer strike rate is the standout signal — Singlewood knows when and where to place dogs to win, and placing her in the structurally strong T1 suggests deliberate intent.
DANGER: Field's joint-best performance (67) dropping from A2. Closer profile suits Newcastle perfectly. But T2 is structurally dead at 14.76% — she needs class to overcome the worst draw in the race.
Best raw performance at 68 with remarkable A3 consistency (P2,P3,P2,P3,P3). Reliable each-way runner but lacks structural or suitability edge to convert places into wins. Classic bridesmaid profile.
Best suitability mean (44) with a recent A3 win, but Fader profile (CS 29) at 480m is a concern at a fair track where Closers have time. Prominent early then likely caught in the straight.
Drawn in dominant T3 with extraordinary bend 83 and EP 100, but extreme Fader (CS 0, pCon 0) means she leads and fades. Recent A3 form (P4, P5) confirms inability to hold. Sets pace for others.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 vs R3 gap is just 0.25pp — composite rankings barely predict outcomes. Trap bias and suitability are the primary signals. T3 and T1 are structurally advantaged.
T1:21.09%(256r) T2:14.76%(332r) T3:22.56%(297r) T4:19.74%(304r) T5:16.1%(205r) T6:16.6%(241r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tinnock Sheba | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Velvet Black | 35 | 85 | Closer |
3Wipe The Slate | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Alnwick Nidge | 60 | 29 | Fader |
5Solway Ernie | 50 | 59 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.