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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Emers Ciand 3y 15 | J Walton — 15% R68 W10 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 29 (6) | 38 (4) | 50 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (2) | 28 (3) | 31 (2) | 53 (5) | 15 (2) | - | 34 | 36 | - | - | 40 | 38 | 6 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Carneys Emmab 5y 36 | J Walton — 15% R68 W10 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 21 (4) | 21 (5) | 36 (6) | 66 (1) | 38 (6) | 39 (4) | 44 (5) | 26 (5) | 35 (4) | 42 (5) | 45 | 25 | - | - | 35 | 35 | 4 | 50/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Quivers Hakad 3y 17 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 61 (2) | 61 (3) | 72 (1) | 51 (4) | 23 (5) | 31 (5) | 41 (3) | 22 (5) | 20 (5) | 43 (3) | 65 | 32 | - | 53 | 28 | 36 | 2 | 6/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ellies Ladyb 6y 36 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | - | 15 (6) | 34 (4) | 34 (5) | 37 (5) | 43 (2) | 28 (6) | 33 (6) | 43 (2) | 36 (4) | 40 (3) | 56 | 28 | - | 61 | 32 | 38 | 5 | 33/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Hairyd 2y 14 | J T Edgar — 16% R482 W78 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | - | 33 (4) | 50 (4) | 36 (1) | 32 (3) | 33 (5) | 36 (5) | 56 (4) | 55 (5) | - | - | 40 | 30 | - | 47 | 35 | 36 | 1 | 1/1F | |
| 6 | ▶ Alnwick Tinab 2y 19 | A Harrison — 20% R516 W101 P311 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 50 (1) | 20 (6) | 24 (4) | 28 (3) | 24 (5) | 31 (3) | 33 (4) | 24 (3) | 26 (2) | 27 (3) | 35 | 29 | - | 61 | 33 | 36 | 3 | 4/1 | |
Emers Cian leads the composite at 38 with the field's best performance rating (40). He's a pure Closer (CS 100) which is normally a concern at sprint distances, but Newcastle's fair layout gives Closers more room than tight sprint tracks. His form is primarily at 480m A7 (P5, P2, P4, P3, P5) — consistent placing without winning at the longer trip — and this drop to D4 290m represents both a class drop and distance switch. Distance suit is 0 with no prior 290m form, which is a genuine concern. Trainer Walton at 18% is below awareness tier. The pick is based on composite positioning in a race with negligible separation — there's no structural data to support or oppose it.
DANGER: Ties composite with better distance suitability (61 vs 0) and more appropriate sprint pace profile (All-Rounder vs Closer). The most logical alternative in a race with no structural data.
Field's best speed (60) with strong distance and trap suitability. Only 2 composite points behind the pick in a race where ratings are noise. Could easily win on speed alone.
Strong speed (66) and early pace (58) for a sprint. P3 from his only D4 290m run gives actual condition form. Fader at 290m is less concerning than standard trips. Consistent mid-field finisher.
Fastest away (EP 62) with elite distance suit (61) and actual D4 290m form (P3). But perf 33 suggests class limitations. Will set the pace but may lack ability to hold.
Pure Closer at 290m sprint with zero distance suitability. Closing speed is irrelevant if she's too far back to use it over a short trip. Hard to see a path to victory.
Only 12 runs at Newcastle D4 290m — sample too small for any structural conclusions. Pure coin-flip territory where individual form and pace profile are the only available signals.
T1:50%(2r) T2:50%(2r) T3:0%(2r) T4:0%(2r) T5:0%(2r) T6:0%(2r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 290m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.