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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Zenith Efendid 3y 24 | J J Fenwick — 19% R495 W95 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 43 | 42 (6) | 55 (6) | 47 (5) | 34 (6) | 63 (5) | 87 (1) | 56 (5) | - | - | - | 6 | 27 | - | 27 | 55 | 43 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Atlantas Blud 3y 26 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 54 (5) | 60 (5) | 41 (6) | 86 (1) | 60 (4) | 57 (5) | 69 (2) | 84 (1) | 55 (5) | 67 (3) | 46 | 47 | 47 | 45 | 69 | 61 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Fooled Againd 2y 6 | D Winder — 19% R129 W25 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 74 | 88 (5) | 54 (1) | 75 (5) | 49 (2) | 34 (5) | 45 (4) | 77 (1) | 56 (2) | 82 (4) | - | 56 | 60 | 20 | 60 | 65 | 63 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Opera Boyd 3y 5 | P Lithgow — 18% R28 W5 P17 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 48 | 51 (5) | 65 (3) | 65 (3) | 59 (5) | 59 (3) | 66 (2) | 60 (3) | 70 (2) | 71 (4) | 74 (2) | 31 | 44 | 47 | 41 | 69 | 58 | 3 | 15/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Romeo Elited 2y 9 | J T Edgar — 16% R476 W78 P268 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 35 | 82 (1) | 81 (1) | 57 (3) | 62 (3) | 83 (2) | 58 (2) | 77 (1) | 59 (2) | 75 (1) | 65 (3) | 32 | 40 | 27 | 38 | 69 | 58 | 4 | 10/1 | |
Fooled Again leads the composite at 63 despite sharing perf 65 with others, because his suitability package is outstanding: track 60, distance 60, trap 56, class 20 for a mean of 49, the field's best by 3 points. His bend rating of 74 is the field's best by a wide margin — at Newcastle where bends take some getting used to, this is a significant edge. T3 at 20.46% from 303 runs is a strong structural position. The Fader profile (EP 69, CS 0) is the primary concern at 480m, but pace consistency 91 is high for a Fader — he weakens predictably not catastrophically. A2 form reads P2, P4, P1, P2, P5 — he can win at this grade. Trainer Winder at 24% is moderate-to-good. In a low-separation race where three dogs share similar perf, the suitability and bend advantage are the decisive tiebreakers.
DANGER: Joint-best performance (69) with two A2 wins from last five. All-Rounder profile is versatile and adaptable. Suit mean 46 nearly matches the pick. The most reliable runner in the field.
Field's best speed (58) with Closer profile and A1 pedigree. Consistent A2 placer (P2,P3,P2). But composite places him below the top two on suitability. Will finish strongly from the rear — a genuine place threat.
Pure Closer (CS 74, pCon 94) from structurally DOMINANT T5 (21.79%, 179r). Perf 69 matches the field best. But low speed (48) and EP (39) mean he'll be last early — needs a pace collapse to close the gap through the straight.
DOMINANT T1 draw (25%, 200r) but perf 55 is 14 points below the three 69-rated leaders. Suit mean 15 and trap suit 6 are catastrophically low. Recent form P6,P5,P6 at A2. Outclassed despite the best draw.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 vs R3 gap is just 1.17pp — composite rankings barely predict at A2. T1 DOMINANT at 25% from 200 runs. T3 at 20.46% is also strong. The pick (T3) is in a structurally advantaged position. Three dogs share perf 69 — suitability and structural factors must decide.
T1:25%(200r) T2:20%(270r) T3:20.46%(303r) T4:19.33%(269r) T5:21.79%(179r) T6:13.66%(161r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Zenith Efendi | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Atlantas Blu | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
3Fooled Again | 69 | 0 | Fader |
4Opera Boy | 50 | 60 | Closer |
5Romeo Elite | 39 | 74 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.