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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fabulous Sakurab 2y 37 | L G Tuffin — 26% R278 W71 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 52 | 65 (4) | 54 (6) | 58 (4) | 57 (4) | 77 (4) | 74 (1) | 47 (1) | 53 (5) | 71 (4) | - | 60 | 33 | - | 30 | 61 | 54 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Peramad 3y 6 | P Tsirigotis — 20% R56 W11 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 63 (2) | 69 (2) | 50 (4) | 53 (4) | 68 (3) | 63 (3) | 67 (3) | 78 (1) | 71 (2) | 77 (1) | 27 | 35 | 38 | 43 | 63 | 53 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Allanab 4y 28 | L G Tuffin — 26% R278 W71 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 59 | 52 (5) | 37 (6) | 53 (4) | 81 (1) | 71 (2) | 83 (1) | 45 (6) | 51 (4) | 80 (1) | 78 (1) | 41 | 29 | 25 | 34 | 66 | 55 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lamorna Lexib 4y 43 | A D Scott — 15% R39 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 32 | 78 (3) | 53 (5) | 100 (1) | 65 (3) | 80 (2) | 84 (2) | 88 (3) | 87 (2) | 64 (2) | 100 (1) | 38 | 60 | 15 | 35 | 78 | 66 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Antigua Bubbled 3y 5 | A Welch — 15% R316 W47 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 41 | 65 (3) | 59 (4) | 76 (1) | 52 (5) | 50 (5) | 69 (2) | 61 (3) | 62 (2) | 82 (1) | 32 (3) | 26 | 32 | 23 | 38 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Be More Ruthlessd 2y 15 | H J Dimmock — 19% R172 W33 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 56 (5) | 60 (4) | 78 (1) | 49 (5) | 73 (2) | 65 (2) | 64 (4) | 77 (1) | 62 (4) | 60 (3) | 21 | 23 | 15 | 20 | 56 | 44 | 5 | 2/1F | |
Fabulous Sakura is the pick and the structural case is compelling. T1 wins 29.41% from 170 runs at A3 500m Towcester — nearly double the expected baseline and the strongest individual trap signal on the card today. Trap suitability of 60 confirms this dog has excellent individual history from T1 — the structural signal is backed by personal form data. Trainer L G Tuffin at 30% (strong tier) adds a further positive — Tuffin has placed this dog strategically. All-Rounder profile (EP 51, CS 40) means Fabulous Sakura will get off the blocks well and use the rail from T1 to save ground through every bend. The form trajectory P57→P77→P74→P48→P53→P71 (newest to oldest) shows two A4 wins (P77, P74) before a step up to A3 produced a 4th (P57 — the most recent run). That A3 run was competitive at 29.69s — not a blow-out. Speed 46 is below average for this field and is a marginal concern, but at Towcester 500m where T1 wins structurally at nearly double the baseline rate, the draw advantage can compensate for modest speed. Track suitability 33 and distance suit 30 are moderate — the high trap suitability is the dominant individual factor here.
Good recent form (1st A4 in 29.30s), decent speed and Closer profile for 500m. Weak trainer and neutral draw limit the confidence. Main danger but unlikely to overcome T1's structural dominance.
Best speed and bend in field, recent 1st and 2nd at A4/A3, strong trainer. The Fader concern at 500m Towcester is real. Fast dog that may set the pace but be vulnerable late — danger on form, risk on profile.
Best perf in field (78), strong trainer, excellent track suitability. But bend 32 is the critical weakness at a multi-bend 500m venue. Class suggests it will be competitive — bend ability raises doubt about whether it translates to a win.
Dead draw (T5, 12.58%) combined with weak trainer and volatile recent form. The Closer profile suits 500m but structural and individual draw signals both point against. Oppose.
Consistent A3 form in the mid-60s but confirmed Fader at 500m means leading and fading. Above-neutral T6 draw is a mild positive that doesn't overcome the pace profile mismatch. Not expected to win.
T1 is clearly dominant at 29.41% from 170 runs — nearly double the 16.7% baseline and the strongest structural signal in the race. T5 is the dead draw at 12.58% from 159 runs. Composite rank 1 wins 22.87% — normal predictive separation. The combination of T1 structural dominance and the pick's excellent trap suitability (60) creates strong alignment.
T1:29.41% T2:18.75% T3:19.9% T4:18.09% T5:12.58% T6:21.05%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fabulous Sakura | 51 | 40 | All-Rounder |
2Savana Perama | 48 | 60 | Closer |
3Fabulous Allana | 62 | 12 | Fader |
4Lamorna Lexi | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Antigua Bubble | 49 | 85 | Closer |
6Be More Ruthless | 90 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.