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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Westway Rubyb 2y 14 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 79 (3) | 68 (4) | 68 (2) | 93 (1) | 85 (1) | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 59 (4) | 62 (3) | 78 (1) | 53 | 38 | - | 42 | 69 | 60 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Relentless I Amd 2y 6 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 68 | 47 (4) | 48 (5) | 68 (2) | 67 (2) | 49 (5) | 74 (2) | 68 (2) | 83 (1) | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 55 | 62 | 18 | 57 | 71 | 66 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Maximusd 3y 23 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 44 | 61 (4) | 100 (1) | 93 (1) | 57 (6) | 64 (4) | 100 (2) | 74 (2) | 75 (4) | 96 (2) | 71 (2) | 17 | 63 | 28 | 45 | 76 | 64 | 2 | 11/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Bang On Mollyb 3y 6 | N J Hunt — 19% R372 W72 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 55 | 64 (3) | 66 (2) | 74 (1) | 50 (4) | 55 (4) | 59 (3) | 62 (3) | 62 (3) | 67 (3) | 50 (5) | 41 | 39 | 20 | 34 | 65 | 56 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Definitely Goned 2y 26 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 55 (3) | 74 (5) | 54 (5) | 51 (5) | 49 (5) | 52 (6) | 85 (1) | 52 (6) | 82 (1) | 52 (5) | 44 | 46 | 17 | 42 | 64 | 57 | 4 | 10/3 | |
Relentless I Am is the Pred1 projected winner and he fits the structural picture well. He's drawn in T2 which wins 22.31% of Monmore 480m A2 races from 130 runs — the most reliable strong trap by sample size. His bend rating of 68 is the best in the field by a clear margin, and his EP of 69 ensures he'll lead into the first turn. He's been rising steadily through the grades with wins at A5, A4, and A3 before posting P68 for 2nd at A2 last time — a solid introduction to this level. His avgPerf of 71 is second in the field behind only the class dropper Droopys Maximus. The concern is his Fader profile: a closing speed ratio of 4 means he will weaken through the closing stages, and over 480m with 4 bends there's genuine fade risk. However, with only moderate closing pace behind him (no dog has both the speed AND the early position to threaten), the fade may be from 1st to 1st rather than 1st to 3rd. His track suitability of 62 and distance suitability of 57 from the snapshot show genuine course affinity.
The danger dog with the best raw ability in the field. The class drop from OR and the speed advantage are genuine. But the pure Closer profile from T3 with trap suit 17 means he's fighting the structure. He'll need the pace to be stronger than it looks on paper to close the gap on the Fader.
Stepping up in class with strong recent form but drawn in a dead trap. The 34% trainer strike rate and back-to-back wins earn respect, but the structural data doesn't favour T1 at this grade. Could place if the pace collapses.
Inconsistent closer in a dead trap with low suitability. The A3 win shows latent ability but the speed and structural fit are against her here. Hard to see a path to victory unless the race falls apart ahead.
The dominant trap demands respect and the alternating form pattern suggests a bounce-back is plausible, but the low avgPerf and inconsistency make him unreliable. A place possibility if he turns up on a good day, but not a credible danger to the pick.
T6 is the standout trap at A2 grade with 30.14% win rate from 73 runs — nearly double the expected 16.7%. T2 is also elevated at 22.31% from a much larger sample (130 runs), making it structurally sound. Composite R1 vs R3 shows NORMAL separation at 8.09pp, meaning the top-rated dog does have a genuine edge at this grade. The pick sits in the second-strongest trap with the best bend and early pace in the field.
T1:14.55%(110) T2:22.31%(130) T3:20.18%(109) T4:15.38%(91) T5:14.52%(62) T6:30.14%(73)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Westway Ruby | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Relentless I Am | 69 | 4 | Fader |
3Droopys Maximus | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Bang On Molly | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Definitely Gone | 54 | 46 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.