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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Arielb 2y 17 | G A Griffiths — 21% R155 W32 P71 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 56 | 31 (1) | 27 (6) | 26 (6) | 19 (6) | 49 (2) | 38 (4) | 31 (1) | 36 (3) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 34 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 3 | 1/1F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Stormy Bonitob 2y 6 | J B Thompson — 19% R515 W100 P281 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 47 | 35 (4) | 20 (6) | 39 (2) | 40 (2) | 31 (4) | 34 (4) | 36 (4) | 47 (1) | 30 (5) | 31 (4) | 5 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 26 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Winterfield Budd 1y 25 | C Jones — 12% R301 W36 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 39 (2) | 28 (6) | 18 (6) | 27 (5) | 32 (4) | 46 (1) | 28 (5) | 20 (5) | - | - | 41 | 41 | 17 | 25 | 30 | 32 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Englewoodb 2y 24 | J M Walton — 19% R238 W45 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 56 | 20 (6) | 29 (1) | 35 (4) | 25 (6) | 48 (1) | 36 (4) | 35 (3) | 28 (5) | 31 (5) | 32 (6) | 30 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 31 | 29 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Road Runner Loub 3y 14 | C S Fereday — 18% R458 W81 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 47 (6) | 39 (1) | 28 (2) | 23 (5) | 21 (6) | 33 (6) | 37 (4) | 25 (4) | 31 (3) | - | 16 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 24 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Whisky Instab 2y 25 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 22 (5) | 27 (5) | 21 (6) | 48 (1) | 24 (6) | 27 (6) | 39 (3) | 35 (3) | - | - | 29 | 35 | 29 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
Winterfield Bud is the Pred1 projected winner on a combination of good speed (50 — second-best in the field), decent suitability (trap 41 field-best, track 41 field-best), and competitive recent form — P39 for 2nd at A10 last time, his best result in recent memory. He's an All-Rounder (EP45, CS49) with balanced pace that won't expose him in any dimension. His avgPerf of 30 is joint-lowest, dragged down by a horror run (P18 for 6th two starts back), but the P39 last time suggests improvement. T3 wins 17.83% from 286 runs — near expected with no structural advantage, which is a concern when two dominant traps (T1 and T2) have credible runners. Trainer C Jones at 8% is the worst strike rate in the race. The case for him is the composite's NORMAL separation (7.29pp gap — the strongest on the card at any grade) and his individual suitability scores being the best in the field.
The danger with the best avgPerf, a dominant trap, and the best trainer. His worst-in-field speed is the main concern but at A10 grade, consistency and structural position carry more weight than raw pace.
In a dominant trap with the best bend for navigating the rail. Her 264m sprint wins don't tell us much about 480m ability, but the A10 place form and structural advantage make her a place contender.
Good bend but poor recent A10 form (P20 for last). The 264m sprint win is irrelevant at 480m. Needs significant improvement to feature in this field.
Decent speed but the worst suitability in the field and a below-average trap. The structural data offers no path to victory. Mid-pack runner at best.
The only Closer in a field of All-Rounders, which is distinctive but not necessarily advantageous in a race with moderate pace. His A10 win shows he belongs at this level. Could close into a place.
NORMAL SEPARATION (R1:21.70% vs R3:14.41% = 7.29pp) — the composite has the strongest predictive power at A10 of any grade on this card. T1 and T2 are dominant — and the runners in those traps (Vixons Ariel and Stormy Bonito) both have competitive profiles. The pick sits in T3 (17.83%) — near expected with no structural advantage.
T1:22.01%(159) T2:20.18%(228) T3:17.83%(286) T4:18.38%(272) T5:16.13%(279) T6:16.72%(299)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Vixons Ariel | 52 | 48 | All-Rounder |
2Stormy Bonito | 52 | 36 | All-Rounder |
3Winterfield Bud | 45 | 49 | All-Rounder |
4Englewood | 52 | 51 | All-Rounder |
5Road Runner Lou | 48 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Whisky Insta | 48 | 62 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vixons Ariel | 0.608 | 0.624 |
| 2 | Stormy Bonito | 0.619 | 0.626 |
| 3 | Winterfield Bud | — | 0.630 |
| 4 | Englewood | 0.620 | 0.624 |
| 5 | Road Runner Lou | 0.622 | 0.626 |
| 6 | Whisky Insta | — | 0.626 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.