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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Jenkinsd 2y 27 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 52 (5) | 76 (4) | 77 (3) | 79 (1) | 63 (2) | 78 (1) | 66 (3) | 65 (2) | 78 (1) | 57 (3) | 40 | 47 | 17 | 39 | 68 | 59 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Coppice Freedomd 3y 36 | N J Hunt — 19% R372 W72 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 70 | 41 (6) | 48 (5) | 48 (5) | 53 (5) | 75 (5) | 52 (2) | 76 (3) | 59 (6) | - | - | 49 | 65 | 27 | 46 | 65 | 61 | 1 | 2/1F | |
| 3 | ▶ Rambling Homed 2y 26 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 56 | 34 (5) | 64 (3) | 78 (1) | 72 (1) | 56 (3) | 38 (1) | 28 (4) | 57 (3) | 43 (6) | 50 (5) | 44 | 37 | 21 | 41 | 56 | 51 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Tromora Forced 2y 14 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 49 | 34 (4) | 63 (4) | 53 (5) | 71 (3) | 63 (6) | 82 (1) | 62 (3) | 82 (1) | 56 (4) | 68 (2) | 46 | 43 | 27 | 38 | 63 | 56 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Aero Chrisd 2y 35 | M J Russell — 14% R179 W25 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 41 | 60 (6) | 52 (3) | 62 (6) | 75 (3) | 55 (2) | 79 (5) | 64 (1) | 51 (3) | 66 (4) | - | 41 | 31 | - | 26 | 63 | 52 | 5 | 9/4 | |
Coppice Freedom is the Pred1 projected winner primarily on the strength of his exceptional bend rating of 70 — the highest in the field by 14 points — and his Fader profile (EP67) that guarantees early lead. His track suitability of 65 from the snapshot is the best in the field, suggesting genuine Monmore affinity. He's been competing at OR and A2 level recently (P75 at OR for 2nd, P53 at A2 for 5th), which represents a significant class advantage dropping to A3. However, his form is wildly inconsistent: P53, P75, P52, P22(trial), P25 — brilliant one day, poor the next. The elephant in the room is his closing speed ratio of ZERO — the most extreme Fader profile in the entire meeting. Over 480m at Monmore, that means he will weaken through every one of the four bends. His T2 draw wins 18.58% from 183 runs — near expected with no structural edge. He needs to build such an enormous early lead that even the inevitable fade doesn't cost him.
The danger with the best raw ability and most consistent A3 form. His Closer profile is ideally suited to running down the extreme Fader ahead. If Coppice Freedom's fade kicks in early — which at CS0 is likely — Swift Jenkins has the class to capitalise.
Rising through the grades with back-to-back wins but faces a serious class test at A3 for the first time. The form trajectory is impressive but untested at this level. Could surprise but the field quality is a big step up.
Consistent A3 runner who'll be competitive for a place but lacks the pace or closing speed to trouble the principals. A safe each-way option.
Good closer with A4 form but drawn in a dead trap at A3 grade. The structural disadvantage from T6 and limited A3 experience make him hard to support despite the closing speed that should exploit the Fader ahead.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 wins 17.91% vs R3 at 13.60%, a gap of 4.31pp. T5 is dominant at 21.30% but no runner is drawn there in this 5-runner field. T6 is dead at 13.33%. The trap bias is relatively flat at A3 grade — no overwhelming structural advantage for any position occupied in this race.
T1:17.31%(156) T2:18.58%(183) T3:19.62%(158) T4:17.81%(146) T5:21.30%(108) T6:13.33%(120)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Jenkins | 50 | 57 | Closer |
2Coppice Freedom | 67 | 0 | Fader |
3Rambling Home | 54 | 22 | All-Rounder |
4Tromora Force | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Aero Chris | 42 | 78 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.