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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Aidand 2y 6 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 38 (4) | 64 (3) | 49 (4) | 78 (1) | 56 (3) | 43 (5) | 58 (3) | 43 (6) | 77 (1) | 67 (2) | 38 | 34 | 32 | 25 | 54 | 46 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Snazzy Honeyb 2y 7 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 47 | 75 (1) | 81 (3) | 78 (2) | 82 (4) | 79 (3) | 89 (2) | 64 (2) | 60 (2) | 64 (2) | 70 (4) | 49 | 47 | 49 | 70 | 65 | 62 | 1 | 15/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Deal For Twob 2y 211 | G A Griffiths — 20% R163 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 54 | 75 (1) | 72 (1) | 45 (6) | 43 (6) | 42 (4) | 58 (2) | 42 (5) | 77 (1) | 57 (4) | 36 (6) | 52 | 33 | - | 31 | 55 | 49 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Tromora Diamondd 2y 13 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 51 | 27 (5) | 31 (5) | 45 (5) | 59 (6) | 58 (4) | 73 (3) | 56 (1) | 56 (2) | 46 (3) | - | 41 | 37 | 14 | 39 | 48 | 45 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Coppice Enzod 3yN/R 7 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 53 | 28 (4) | 77 (1) | 66 (2) | 75 (1) | 61 (2) | 57 (2) | 51 (4) | 36 (6) | 33 (1) | 28 (2) | 66 | 49 | 40 | 39 | 58 | 56 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Boxing Friendsd 3y 3 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 51 | 37 (6) | 59 (2) | 62 (2) | 59 (3) | 37 (6) | 38 (5) | 63 (3) | 47 (6) | 69 (3) | 48 (6) | 41 | 34 | 24 | 33 | 59 | 51 | 2 | 10/3 | |
Coppice Enzo is the Pred1 projected winner and the case for him is built on an exceptional speed rating of 64 — 7 points clear of the next best in the field. He's been rising rapidly through the grades with consecutive wins at A6 (P72) and A5 (P75), and his latest A4 run was P66 for 2nd, showing he's already competitive at this level. His Closer profile (EP52, CS56) gives him enough early pace to stay in touch without being detached, and his bend rating of 53 is solid. His trap suitability of 66 from the snapshot is the best in the field by a margin, and his track suitability of 49 is also field-best. T5 wins 18.06% from 155 runs — near expected with no structural advantage. The case against is that his avgPerf of 58 is third-best behind Snazzy Honey (65), and his form trajectory (rising from A6) means he's untested at the sharp end of A4. But the speed advantage is genuine and significant — on Monmore's fair track, speed is a strong predictor.
Best avgPerf by 6 points with rock-solid consistency and proven higher-grade form. Her pure Closer profile needs pace to run at, and the slow-looking tempo is the main concern. But the class edge is genuine — she's the quality runner in this field.
Drawn in the dominant trap with genuine A3/A4 ability on his day, but inconsistent form and below-average speed/bend make him an unreliable capitaliser of the structural edge. Could place with the T1 advantage but unlikely to win against the pick's superior speed.
In a dominant trap with good trap suitability but the worst speed in the field and a P36 last time at A4. The rising form from lower grades hasn't yet translated to this level. Needs to improve significantly to feature.
May lead by default but declining form and the weakest trap position mean he's likely to weaken when the closers arrive. Not a credible winning chance in this field.
Talented but unreliable. The A4 win shows he belongs at this grade on his day, but the P47 last time and alternating form pattern make him impossible to trust. Could run into a place if he turns up.
NORMAL SEPARATION — R1 wins 22.20% vs R3 at 15.92%, a gap of 6.28pp. The composite has genuine predictive power at A4 grade. T1 dominates at 25% from 200 runs — significant signal. But the pick sits in T5 (18.06%) with the best speed in the field by a clear margin (64 vs 57). Speed rank 1 wins 22.63% at Monmore 480m.
T1:25.00%(200) T2:18.30%(224) T3:20.69%(203) T4:15.12%(205) T5:18.06%(155) T6:16.57%(169)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Aidan | 44 | 63 | Closer |
2Snazzy Honey | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Deal For Two | 48 | 39 | All-Rounder |
4Tromora Diamond | 54 | 29 | All-Rounder |
5Coppice Enzo | 52 | 56 | Closer |
6Boxing Friends | 53 | 44 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.