The top-rated dog in the race and a 29.57 course winner in May — the fastest winning time in this field — but the recent picture is messy: well beaten last time after getting checked, and only one win from ten course and distance starts. All graded form. Trap 1 wins just 11.7% at this grade, and her best runs have come with a clear run she rarely gets from the rail. Capable of better than her last run, hard to trust for it.

The nearly-dog of the race: no wins but four placings from ten course and distance starts, and she has been headed near the line twice in her last five — including from the front both times. Good early pace, all graded form between A6 and A7. Trap 2 is unremarkable here at 14.5%. She will be in the mix again at the business end; history says someone passes her late.

Only two career runs — a fourth in a novice stakes and a fourth at this grade twelve days ago, showing decent early pace both times. Two runs do not make a form line and she has no wins or places at the course yet. Trap 4 is fair at this grade at 15%. There may be ability here, but backing a two-run novice against exposed rivals at this level is guesswork.

Ten course and distance runs without a win or a place tells its own story, and she has been slowly away in the majority of her recent starts. A joint-fast clock ranking shows the raw speed exists, but she gives the field a start every week and trap 5 is the worst box at this grade at 11.3%. All graded form; her trainer operates at a modest 12%. Needs everything to change at once.