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The Racing Again Saturday Night 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballygur Andyd 6y 33 | - | - | 45 | - | 55 (3) | 36 (5) | 36 (5) | 37 (6) | 45 (4) | 38 (5) | 39 (5) | 31 (6) | 43 (5) | 49 (4) | 13 | 3 | - | - | 42 | 21 | 6 | N/P | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Risk Management? ? 4 | - | - | 38 | - | 46 (3) | 39 (4) | 35 (5) | 30 (6) | 47 (2) | 30 (6) | 42 (5) | 38 (5) | 49 (2) | 52 (3) | 9 | 18 | 22 | 15 | 40 | 32 | 5 | N/P | - | |
| 3 | ▶ St Moling Lad? ? 4 | - | - | 53 | - | 41 (6) | 42 (5) | 39 (6) | 47 (4) | 41 (5) | 41 (6) | 68 (1) | 48 (3) | 51 (3) | 36 (5) | 41 | 21 | 23 | 12 | 44 | 46 | 2 | N/P | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Crack On Duke? ? 14 | - | - | 60 | - | 67 (1) | 56 (2) | 44 (5) | 49 (3) | 55 (3) | 39 (5) | 40 (6) | 66 (1) | 51 (3) | 47 (4) | 1 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 53 | 45 | 1 | N/P | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Club Cue? ? 44 | - | - | 48 | - | 50 (2) | 40 (4) | 38 (5) | 39 (6) | 44 (5) | 50 (2) | 47 (5) | 52 (2) | 54 (3) | 48 (3) | 25 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 45 | 20 | 4 | N/P | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Whiteys Thornb 3y 23 | - | - | 53 | - | 57 (3) | 43 (4) | 58 (2) | 38 (5) | 51 (2) | 46 (5) | 66 (1) | 47 (4) | 40 (5) | 46 (3) | 13 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 50 | 33 | 3 | N/P | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | St Moling Lad | 29.73 | 30.27 | 30.59 | 53 | +0.86 | Fading 3 straight | |
| 4 | Crack On Duke | 30.00 | 30.19 | 30.00 | 60 | 0.00 | Won LTO, pace best | |
| 6 | Whiteys Thorn | 30.05 | 30.28 | 30.26 | 53 | +0.21 | Runs on late | |
| 5 | Club Cue | 30.18 | 30.51 | 30.18 | 48 | 0.00 | 11.3% box | |
| 1 | Ballygur Andy | 30.21 | 30.59 | 30.21 | 45 | 0.00 | 0 from 7 at C&D | |
| 2 | Risk Management | 30.33 | 30.64 | 30.49 | 38 | +0.16 | Slowest here |
Trap 3 heads the A7 trap table over Kilcohan Park's 525 metres at 19.9%, with traps 5 and 1 the weak draws at around 11% — but the sharper angle at this grade is pace, where the fastest-ranked dog wins 24.6%, the strongest rank signal at the trip. Crack On Duke owns that rank outright, five points clear of the field, and he won this very grade twelve days ago with a strong finish. The complication is the golden box: it houses St Moling Lad, the top-rated runner whose actual form — three straight well-beaten efforts, fading each time — does not remotely match his rating. This looks a race where the front two on the clock, Duke and Whiteys Thorn, fight it out late, with the box-favoured but out-of-form inside runners setting the early fractions.
The clear pace standout — his clock ranking of 60 leads this field by five points, and the fastest-ranked dog wins nearly one in four A7 races here, the best rank statistic at the track. He won this exact grade twelve days ago in 30.00 flat, shrugging off a first-bend bump to lead late, and he has two wins and three places from ten course and distance starts, all in graded company, no trials. Trap 4 is fair at this grade at 15%. A last-time-out winner holding the strongest single signal at the grade, from a workable draw, in a race where the top-rated rival is badly out of form — the pick is straightforward.
The second-best clock ranking in the field and the most consistent recent form of the rest — third, then a close second two runs back, placing in three of his last five at this grade. All graded form, one win and three places from ten course and distance starts. He is habitually slow away and does his best work late, which makes trap 6 — middling at 14.3% — workable since he needs a clear run more than a fast start. If the selection falters, this is where the race goes.
The top-rated runner and the golden-box occupant — trap 3 wins 19.9% at this grade — but the form is a horror show: sixth, fifth and sixth in his last three, showing early pace and fading badly each time. His rating average of 44 is propped up by the box statistics rather than anything he has done on the track lately, and he has one win from ten course and distance starts, all graded. The draw guarantees him a first-bend look; the last month says he will not sustain it.
Ran his best race for months when third at this grade five weeks ago, but the wider record is bleak — no wins and no places from seven course and distance starts, and only one other rated run above 45 in his last six. All graded form. Trap 1 wins just 11.7% at this grade, the second-worst box, and he has not raced since mid-June. Very hard to make a winning case.
Placed third at this grade a fortnight ago after early trouble, one of only two placings from ten course and distance starts. His ratings have lived in the 30s and 40s all season, he is the slowest in the field on the clock rankings, and he has lacked early pace in the majority of recent runs. All graded form. Trap 2 is unremarkable at this grade at 14.5%. Others are simply better on every measure.
Second at this grade five weeks ago — his best run of the year — but he has no wins from ten course and distance starts and his ratings have sat in the 38-50 band all season. All graded form. He has been off since mid-June and now draws trap 5, the worst box at this grade at 11.3%. The recent second entitles him to place consideration; a win would be a shock on everything he has shown.
Key insight: Fastest-ranked dog wins 24.6% at A7 — the track's best rank signal — and the pick holds it by 5 points having won this grade 12 days ago; the golden-box top-rated dog is fading in every start.
T1:11.7% T2:14.5% T3:19.9% T4:15.0% T5:11.3% T6:14.3%
924 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.