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The Welcome To Kilchoan Park 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Keplar Suzie? ? 4 | - | - | 51 | - | 50 (5) | 57 (3) | 52 (5) | 44 (6) | 56 (5) | 63 (2) | 67 (1) | 54 (3) | 50 (5) | 52 (3) | 16 | 22 | 14 | 13 | 54 | 44 | 4 | 2/1COF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Billawayd 2y 12 | - | - | 38 | - | 60 (3) | 30 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 46 | 29 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hello Tomd 2y 16 | - | - | 47 | - | 65 (2) | 54 (5) | 32 (6) | 35 (6) | 50 (5) | 53 (3) | 38 (6) | 49 (6) | 84 (1) | 54 (3) | 19 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 38 | 1 | 2/1COF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Monbeg Kalib 1y 25 | - | - | 49 | - | 68 (1) | 43 (5) | 35 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 20 | - | 27 | 50 | 32 | 5 | 2/1COF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chiltern Vixenb 2y 16 | Gordon Rotheram — 21% R38 W8 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 59 (2) | 53 (3) | 38 (6) | 58 (4) | 42 (6) | 64 (1) | 39 (5) | - | - | - | - | 23 | 11 | 21 | 51 | 39 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dashing Oscord 2y 28 | - | - | 54 | - | 68 (1) | 71 (1) | 52 (3) | 36 (6) | 55 (3) | 44 (6) | 48 (6) | 37 (6) | 69 (2) | 56 (4) | 7 | 15 | 16 | 29 | 56 | 40 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keplar Suzie | 29.37 | 29.99 | 30.04 | 51 | +0.67 | 3.8% box | |
| 6 | Dashing Oscor | 29.45 | 30.04 | 29.75 | 54 | +0.30 | Won last two | |
| 3 | Hello Tom | 29.57 | 30.18 | 29.83 | 47 | +0.26 | Golden box | |
| 5 | Chiltern Vixen | 29.62 | 30.02 | 29.98 | 48 | +0.36 | 6.8% box | |
| 4 | Monbeg Kali | 29.80 | 29.97 | 29.80 | 49 | 0.00 | 3 career runs | |
| 2 | Billaway | 29.88 | 30.41 | 29.88 | 38 | 0.00 | 2 career runs |
Trap 3 is the golden box over Kilcohan Park's 525 metres, and at A6 grade the pattern is extreme: trap 3 wins 23.6% from 123 runs while trap 1 is a graveyard — just four winners from 105 runs, 3.8%, the worst box-and-grade combination at the track, with trap 5 barely better at 6.8%. That immediately compromises Keplar Suzie, the top-rated dog here, and Chiltern Vixen. The pace should come from Dashing Oscor, quick away in both his recent wins from the wide box, and Hello Tom, who led the first bend from this same favoured trap 3 draw last time before being caught on the line. Expect Oscor and Tom to fight it out from the second bend — the winner most likely comes from those two.
Won his last two on the bounce — an A6 in 29.98 and an A7 in 29.75 where he was fastest away and held on gamely — and he is the quickest dog in this field on the clock rankings, a real edge at a grade where the fastest-ranked runner wins about one in five here. All his recent form is from graded races between A4 and A7, no trials, with six previous course and distance runs behind him. Trap 6 is only a middling draw at this level, but with the two highest-rated rivals stuck in boxes that win 3.8% and 6.8% at this grade, the in-form speed dog gets the vote.
Drawn in the best box in the race — trap 3 wins nearly one in four at this grade here — and he produced his best run for months from this very draw last time, leading at the first bend and only headed near the line. All graded form, no trials, though before that effort he had a string of blocked and crowded runs. If he pings the lids again from the inside he will be very hard to pass, and he is the clear danger.
The highest-rated dog in the race on the site's figures and her 29.37 best is the quickest raw time in the field — but she is drawn in the one box you cannot be in at this level. Trap 1 has won just four of 105 A6 races here, and her own record echoes it: one win from ten course and distance starts. Fifth at A5 grade last time when fading late, all graded form. The draw is the dealbreaker.
Just two career runs, so treat the figures with caution — two starts do not make a form line. He was slow away both times, running a fair third at this grade last time in 29.88 after giving the field a start. Trap 2 is a reasonable draw at this level at 17.7%, but he is the slowest in the field on the clock rankings and needs to learn to break before he can trouble these.
Lightly raced with only three career runs, but won an A7 here last month in 29.80 after disputing the lead, and trap 4 is the second-best box at this grade at 19.7%. All graded form. The concern is that both defeats came when he weakened late, and this is a step up in grade on very limited experience. Place claims if he breaks on terms, but the sample is thin.
Ran well last time — led the first bend and was collared late when second at this grade — and she has placed in two of her last three, all graded form. But trap 5 is nearly as unhelpful as trap 1 at this level, winning under 7% from 118 runs, and her single win from seven course and distance starts came from a kinder draw. Her trainer wins at a fair 24% clip; the box makes life hard regardless.
Key insight: Trap 1 wins just 3.8% of A6 races here (4/105) and trap 5 only 6.8% — both fancied inside runners are structurally compromised. Fastest-ranked dog wins 21.4% at this grade.
T1:3.8% T2:17.7% T3:23.6% T4:19.7% T5:6.8% T6:13.4%
719 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.