The SIS Racing From Waterford 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slaneyside Ethan? ? 16 | Derek Kehoe — 23% R120 W27 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 62 (4) | 60 (4) | 84 (1) | 83 (1) | 68 (3) | 70 (3) | 87 (1) | 68 (3) | 84 (1) | 60 (2) | 44 | 37 | 36 | 41 | 71 | 56 | 1 | 6/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Blue Bucko? ? 23 | Jonathan Rolle — 14% R7 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 54 (5) | 85 (1) | 54 (6) | 74 (2) | 58 (6) | 66 (4) | 63 (4) | 81 (1) | 74 (1) | - | 13 | 28 | 20 | 31 | 66 | 50 | 2 | 6/4JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Boderan Queenb 2y 45 | - | - | 42 | - | 36 (6) | 39 (6) | 44 (6) | 85 (1) | 69 (4) | 58 (4) | 39 (6) | 60 (4) | 71 (3) | 76 (1) | 30 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 53 | 21 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Aughermon Bomberd 2y 35 | - | - | 44 | - | 56 (3) | 36 (6) | 76 (1) | 45 (6) | 52 (5) | 60 (4) | 75 (1) | 50 (5) | 41 (6) | 50 (5) | 2 | 20 | - | 18 | 54 | 23 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Classy Wild? ? 4 | - | - | 56 | - | 54 (5) | 49 (6) | 84 (1) | 53 (5) | 51 (5) | 79 (2) | 45 (6) | 62 (5) | 66 (5) | 86 (1) | 27 | 23 | 30 | 23 | 61 | 50 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Almighty Lorcan? ? 32 | - | - | 39 | - | 56 (5) | 56 (4) | 71 (1) | 55 (3) | 45 (5) | 39 (6) | 48 (4) | 67 (1) | 48 (3) | 52 (3) | 16 | 24 | - | 21 | 55 | 29 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Classy Wild | 29.08 | 29.74 | 29.90 | 56 | +0.82 | 29.08 best | |
| 2 | Blue Bucko | 29.19 | 29.52 | 29.90 | 58 | +0.71 | Fastest ranking | |
| 3 | Boderan Queen | 29.30 | 29.86 | 30.42 | 42 | +1.12 | Golden box, poor form | |
| 1 | Slaneyside Ethan | 29.33 | 29.63 | 29.76 | 56 | +0.43 | 40% C&D wins | |
| 6 | Almighty Lorcan | 29.34 | 30.17 | 30.19 | 39 | +0.85 | Slowest here | |
| 4 | Aughermon Bomber | 29.38 | 30.00 | 30.02 | 44 | +0.64 |
Trap 3 wins a quarter of all A4 races over Kilcohan Park's 525 metres — 25% from 152 runs — while trap 1 is a shocking draw at this grade, just ten winners from 148 runs at 6.8%. That is the central tension of this race: Slaneyside Ethan is comfortably the classiest dog in the field but has the worst box, while the weakest recent form, Boderan Queen, sits in the golden draw. Ethan and Blue Bucko both like to lead — Ethan has led at the first bend in four of his last six — and Classy Wild has the raw pace to go with them if she breaks, though she has missed the kick in two of her last three. Expect Ethan to try to make it from the rail with Bucko pressing him through the early bends.
Head and shoulders above this field on form — his average rating of 71 is five points clear of anything else here, he has won four of ten course and distance starts, and he clocked 29.33 winning at this grade only six weeks ago. All recent form at A4, no trials. The one big black mark is the draw: trap 1 wins under 7% of A4 races at this track, one of the worst boxes at any grade here, and he faded from the front last time out. He has the class to defy the statistic — he leads early and this field is not deep — but it is a genuine structural risk, hence the cautious confidence rather than a strong one.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock rankings with the second-best form figures, and he won at this grade in 29.32 only a month ago. All graded form at A3 and A4. He missed the break badly in two recent defeats — if he traps level he is the biggest threat to the selection, and trap 2, while below average here at 11.6%, is still a kinder box than the favourite's.
Has the golden draw — trap 3 wins 25% at this grade — but little else going for her. Beaten out of sight in her last three, the most recent a 30.42 clocking over a second slower than the principals, and her form average sits well below this field. All graded form including two sprint runs. The box gives her a first-bend chance; the recent evidence says she cannot sustain it.
In-and-out sort whose best recent effort was an A6 win in 29.38 back in May. Lacked early pace last time and has not finished better than third at this grade all summer. Nine course and distance runs with two wins, all graded form, no trials. Trap 4 is fair at this level at 15.7%, but he needs several of these to underperform to figure.
Owns the fastest raw time in the race — 29.08 at this trip — and a strong clock ranking, but she has missed the break in two of her last three and was well beaten in both runs since her 29.43 win in June. All graded form at A3 and A4, ten course and distance runs. The ability is unquestionable; the consistency is the problem. Dangerous fresh out of the boxes, opposable on the recent pattern.
Stepped up from A7 grade, where he won in 29.34 in late May, but has found this level harder — fifth and fourth in two runs since, slowly away both times. The slowest in the field on the clock rankings, and trap 6 wins under 10% of A4 races here. All graded form, but he needs significant improvement and a better start than he has been showing.
Key insight: Trap 1 wins only 6.8% of A4 races here (10/148) yet houses the class dog — while the 25% golden box holds the weakest form. Class against structure.
T1:6.8% T2:11.6% T3:25.0% T4:15.7% T5:15.9% T6:9.7%
871 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slaneyside Ethan | — | 0.564 |
| 2 | Blue Bucko | — | 0.562 |
| 3 | Boderan Queen | 0.561 | 0.569 |
| 4 | Aughermon Bomber | — | 0.571 |
| 5 | Classy Wild | — | 0.566 |
| 6 | Almighty Lorcan | — | 0.575 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.